UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang takes place Saturday, October 3, 2026 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Natália Silva (20-5-1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds. The vacant UFC women's flyweight championship is on the line.
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Payton Talbott vs. Deiveson Figueiredo is the three-round bantamweight co-main event. Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier, King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics, Khaos Williams vs. Roberto Soldić also feature on the announced card.
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Main event
Women's Flyweight · 5 rounds
Market differences are not a ranking of best bets. Conviction is editorial; a close matchup does not automatically mean poor data.
Fights shown: 13/13 · Analyses available: 13/13
20-5-1
Model estimate
Not assessed
10-1-0
Tactical key
Wang's higher published output and accuracy support a pressure-led approach. Silva's lower absorption and stronger recorded striking defence point toward clean exits and disciplined range management. In a five-round title fight, the key is whether Wang can keep Silva exchanging without sacrificing her own defensive resets.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Wang's volume must survive Silva's movement, while Silva must turn defence into scoring. Neither side receives an assumed championship-round advantage.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Talbott's published striking pace is much higher, giving him a route through repeated scoring exchanges. Figueiredo's wrestling and submission attempts give him ways to interrupt that rhythm. Talbott cannot treat defensive success on the first entry as the end of the sequence.
Editorial forecast: Lean: Payton Talbott
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Figueiredo's submission activity and power give him ways to make a lower-volume fight more consequential. Talbott must avoid treating pressure as safety.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Gautier's published knockdown rate highlights his early damaging potential, while Kopylov's longer UFC sample offers more evidence of varied exchanges. Both have high recorded takedown defence, but that does not remove clinch or wrestling adjustments. Clean entries and balanced recovery matter more than treating a knockout rate as a guarantee.
Editorial forecast: Lean: Ateba Gautier
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Kopylov's broader UFC exposure and layered striking remain relevant. Gautier's career averages have not been adjusted to this level of resistance.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Ribovics's high striking volume is accompanied by higher absorption than Green's. Green's route is to make that activity inefficient through reads, counters and changes of rhythm. Ribovics needs to sustain attacks without giving Green a predictable exit after each combination.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Green's long-term averages may not represent his current level, and Ribovics's output comes with substantial absorption.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Williams has a substantial UFC striking sample, including meaningful offensive output and defensive exposure. Soldić enters without UFC rates, so his outside-UFC experience must be assessed on its own merits. A blank statistical column is not evidence that he lacks offence or defence.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: No UFC rate for Soldić does not mean no high-level experience. A current review of his recent opposition and performances is essential.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Parkin's higher wrestling frequency gives him a way to interrupt Walker's long-range attacks. Walker's reach and finishing history offer danger during the approach, but most of his UFC evidence comes from light heavyweight. His heavyweight preparation and recovery cannot be inferred from that history alone.
Editorial forecast: Lean: Mick Parkin
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Walker's historical figures largely reflect a different divisional context. They cannot be transferred directly into a heavyweight probability.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Coria's grappling activity gives him a route to break up Rodriguez's striking bursts. Rodriguez's knockdown rate is extreme because his sample is brief; it should not be treated as a sustainable fifteen-minute pace. The first safe entry and the next defensive exchange are the key tests.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: That missing defensive observation is central to the matchup. It cannot be replaced with either zero resistance or perfect resistance.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Pinas's striking and knockdown rates reflect a short, explosive sample, accompanied by considerable absorption. Pulyaev's route is to preserve structure and make Pinas work through repeated defended attacks. Pinas needs clean openings without turning pressure into uncontrolled trading.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Pinas's knockdown rate is particularly sensitive to short fights. Pulyaev's ability to make him work beyond the opening exchanges needs separate evidence.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
McGee's experience and published wrestling activity support a route through sustained pressure and repeated changes of position. Nolan's UFC sample is much smaller and his recorded offensive output lower. The question is whether he can stop McGee from making the fight a sequence of defensive tasks.
Editorial forecast: Lean: Court McGee
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: McGee's career averages and unresolved record difference need context from current form. Nolan's single appearance does not establish his ceiling.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Vettori's higher published striking output supports sustained pressure; Naurdiev's lower absorption and stronger recorded defence suggest a route through cleaner exchanges. Their takedown rates are similar enough that positional execution, rather than a simple wrestling label, deserves attention.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Neither a larger UFC sample nor lower absorption alone establishes who can impose the relevant pace in this matchup.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Hernandez's striking output gives him a route through active exchanges, while dos Anjos's greater takedown frequency and submission history point toward connected phases. Dos Anjos's long career sample is informative, but recent activity and physical readiness matter more than the size of that sample alone.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Dos Anjos's 35-bout UFC sample is extensive but not a measure of present form; Hernandez's greater output also comes with defensive exposure.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
McGhee's higher striking output and lower absorption support a route at distance. Sopaj's takedown frequency and submission attempts give him ways to interrupt it, but McGhee's recorded takedown defence makes the setup important. The follow-up to the first entry may decide the position.
Editorial forecast: Lean: Marcus McGhee
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Sopaj's submission activity means that one lost transition can matter more than several clean striking exchanges. Three UFC bouts leave his averages unstable.
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Wint's early UFC rates describe a brief successful performance, while Armand has no UFC rate sample. The useful comparison is how each responds when the first attack fails. Neither Wint's extreme defensive figures nor Armand's undefeated regional record establish that response.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: Wint's near-perfect defensive numbers are a small-sample observation, while Armand's missing profile prevents a meaningful assessment of the matchup.
Capture date unavailable
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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Deep Dive
The full story behind UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang: event format, featured matchups and the evidence needed for a prediction.
The Story
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang takes place Saturday, October 3, 2026 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Natália Silva (20-5-1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds. The vacant UFC women's flyweight championship is on the line.
Payton Talbott vs. Deiveson Figueiredo is the three-round bantamweight co-main event. Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier, King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics, Khaos Williams vs. Roberto Soldić also feature on the announced card. Matchup previews are available for every listed fight. Win probabilities, fair prices and betting edges remain pending while the supporting evidence is verified.
Main Event — Women's Flyweight Title
01Natália Silva vs. Cong Wang
Natália Silva (20-5-1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds.
Co-Main — Bantamweight
02Payton Talbott vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Payton Talbott (11-1-0) meets Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) at bantamweight over 3 rounds.
Main Card — Middleweight
03Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier
Roman Kopylov (15-5-0) meets Ateba Gautier (11-1-0) at middleweight over 3 rounds.
Prelim Spotlight — Heavyweight
04Mick Parkin vs. Johnny Walker
Mick Parkin (10-1-0) meets Johnny Walker (22-10-0) at heavyweight over 3 rounds.
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang takes place Saturday, October 3, 2026 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Natália Silva (20-5-1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds. The vacant UFC women's flyweight championship is on the line.
The main card starts at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 3, 2026 on CBS · Paramount+. That is 5:00 PM PT, 1:00 AM BST on Sunday, 2:00 AM CEST on Sunday and 4:00 AM in Abu Dhabi on Sunday. Broadcast schedules are subject to change.
Natália Silva (20-5-1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds. Payton Talbott (11-1-0) meets Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) at bantamweight over 3 rounds. Roman Kopylov (15-5-0) meets Ateba Gautier (11-1-0) at middleweight over 3 rounds. King Green (36-17-1) meets Esteban Ribovics (16-3-0) at lightweight over 3 rounds. Khaos Williams (16-5-0) meets Roberto Soldić (21-4-0) at welterweight over 3 rounds. Mick Parkin (10-1-0) meets Johnny Walker (22-10-0) at heavyweight over 3 rounds. Alden Coria (13-3-0) meets Imanol Rodriguez (7-0-0) at flyweight over 3 rounds. Damian Pinas (10-1-0) meets Andrey Pulyaev (10-5-0) at middleweight over 3 rounds. Court McGee (22-14-0) meets Eric Nolan (8-5-0) at welterweight over 3 rounds. Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) meets Ismail Naurdiev (25-8-0) at middleweight over 3 rounds. Alexander Hernandez (18-9-0) meets Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) at lightweight over 3 rounds. Marcus McGhee (11-2-0) meets Benardo Sopaj (13-3-0) at bantamweight over 3 rounds. Anthony Wint (8-0-0) meets Lucas Armand (6-0-0) at heavyweight over 3 rounds.
Matchup previews are available for every listed fight. Win probabilities, fair prices and betting edges remain pending while the supporting evidence is verified.
Natália Silva vs. Cong Wang is scheduled for five rounds for the vacant women’s flyweight title. Every other listed matchup is scheduled for three rounds. Card order and matchups remain subject to change.
Methodology
No black box. Published probabilities follow the same three steps, and you can check each one yourself.
1. We watch every fight
Recorded UFC performances provide the evidence — strikes landed and absorbed, takedowns, damage, pace, and who each fighter has actually faced. No highlight reels, no reputation: just recorded performance.
2. We estimate the matchup
Each analysis weighs styles, cardio, durability and level of competition to describe likely outcomes. The 100-square chart visualizes that probability distribution; the number of squares is not evidence of model accuracy.
3. We compare it to the market
We compare the estimate with sportsbook prices, prioritizing BetOnline. Positive expected value depends on both the probability estimate and the available price. Quote age, bookmaker margin and model uncertainty all affect how useful the comparison is.
What the percentages mean
74% next to a fighter means that fighter is estimated to win about 74 out of 100 comparable matchups under the model assumptions. Odds like -425 are the market's price; converting them to an implied percentage lets us compare like-for-like. The 🔴 🟡 🟢 icons tell you how much UFC data we have on each fighter; they do not measure prediction accuracy.
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: Analysis availability is labeled on every fight card. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Editorial forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silva vs Wang🟢 | Natália Silva | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Cong Wang | Forecast pending | N/A | — | No clear leanQualitative assessment |
| Talbott vs Figueiredo🟢 | Payton Talbott | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Deiveson Figueiredo | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Lean: Payton TalbottQualitative assessment |
| Kopylov vs Gautier🟢 | Roman Kopylov | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Ateba Gautier | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Lean: Ateba GautierQualitative assessment |
| Green vs Ribovics🟢 | King Green | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Esteban Ribovics | Forecast pending | N/A | — | No clear leanQualitative assessment |
| Williams vs Soldić🔴 | Khaos Williams | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Roberto Soldić | Forecast pending | N/A | — | No clear leanQualitative assessment |
| Parkin vs Walker🟢 | Mick Parkin | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Johnny Walker | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Lean: Mick ParkinQualitative assessment |
| Coria vs Rodriguez🔴 | Alden Coria | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Imanol Rodriguez | Forecast pending | N/A | — | No clear leanQualitative assessment |
| Pinas vs Pulyaev🔴 | Damian Pinas | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Andrey Pulyaev | Forecast pending | N/A | — | No clear leanQualitative assessment |
| McGee vs Nolan🔴 | Court McGee | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Eric Nolan | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Lean: Court McGeeQualitative assessment |
| Vettori vs Naurdiev🟢 | Marvin Vettori | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Ismail Naurdiev | Forecast pending | N/A | — | No clear leanQualitative assessment |
| Hernandez vs Anjos🟢 | Alexander Hernandez | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Rafael dos Anjos | Forecast pending | N/A | — | No clear leanQualitative assessment |
| McGhee vs Sopaj🟡 | Marcus McGhee | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Benardo Sopaj | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Lean: Marcus McGheeQualitative assessment |
| Wint vs Armand🔴 | Anthony Wint | Forecast pending | N/A | — | Lucas Armand | Forecast pending | N/A | — | No clear leanQualitative assessment |
