UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang takes place Saturday, October 3, 2026 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Natália Silva (20-5-1, ranked #1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0, ranked #8) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds. The vacant UFC women's flyweight championship is on the line.
Get picks for this card — model picks + card previews in your inbox.
Payton Talbott vs. Deiveson Figueiredo is the three-round bantamweight co-main event. Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier, King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics, Khaos Williams vs. Roberto Soldić also feature on the announced card.
BetOnline is our preferred sportsbook reference. We show the quoted price and its implied probability; this is not a guarantee of the best price across all books. Lines move, so check the current price before acting on an estimated edge.
Main event
Women's Flyweight · 5 rounds
Market differences are not a ranking of best bets. Conviction is editorial; a close matchup does not automatically mean poor data.
Fights shown: 14/14 · Analyses available: 0/14
20-5-1
Model estimate
Preview
10-1-0
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Deep Dive
The full story behind UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang: event format, featured matchups and how our predictions are built.
The Story
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang takes place Saturday, October 3, 2026 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Natália Silva (20-5-1, ranked #1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0, ranked #8) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds. The vacant UFC women's flyweight championship is on the line.
Payton Talbott vs. Deiveson Figueiredo is the three-round bantamweight co-main event. Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier, King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics, Khaos Williams vs. Roberto Soldić also feature on the announced card. The MMA Analytics model gives Natália Silva a 56% win probability and Cong Wang 44% (conviction 5/10), a modest lean built on her record of winning decisions. BetOnline lists Silva at -200 and Wang at +169 as of September 30 and prices a decision at -260 (72% implied), against the model’s 60%. Probabilities, fair prices and betting edges for the other bouts appear on their fight pages.
Main Event — Women's Flyweight Title
01Natália Silva vs. Cong Wang
Natália Silva (20-5-1, ranked #1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0, ranked #8) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds.
Co-Main — Bantamweight
02Payton Talbott vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Payton Talbott (11-1-0, ranked #11) meets Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1, ranked #9) at bantamweight over 3 rounds.
Main Card — Middleweight
03Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier
Roman Kopylov (15-5-0) meets Ateba Gautier (11-1-0) at middleweight over 3 rounds.
Prelim Spotlight — Heavyweight
04Mick Parkin vs. Johnny Walker
Mick Parkin (10-1-0) meets Johnny Walker (22-10-0) at heavyweight over 3 rounds.
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang takes place Saturday, October 3, 2026 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Natália Silva (20-5-1, ranked #1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0, ranked #8) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds. The vacant UFC women's flyweight championship is on the line.
The main card starts at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 3, 2026 on CBS and Paramount+. Local Salt Lake City time is 6:00 PM MT. That is 5:00 PM PT, 1:00 AM BST on Sunday, 2:00 AM CEST on Sunday and 4:00 AM in Abu Dhabi on Sunday. Prelims begin at 6:00 PM ET and early prelims at 4:00 PM ET. Broadcast schedules are subject to change.
Natália Silva (20-5-1, ranked #1) meets Cong Wang (10-1-0, ranked #8) at women's flyweight over 5 rounds. Payton Talbott (11-1-0, ranked #11) meets Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1, ranked #9) at bantamweight over 3 rounds. Roman Kopylov (15-5-0) meets Ateba Gautier (11-1-0) at middleweight over 3 rounds. King Green (36-17-1) meets Esteban Ribovics (16-3-0) at lightweight over 3 rounds. Khaos Williams (16-5-0) meets Roberto Soldić (21-4-0) at welterweight over 3 rounds. Mick Parkin (10-1-0) meets Johnny Walker (22-10-0) at heavyweight over 3 rounds. Alden Coria (13-3-0) meets Imanol Rodriguez (7-0-0) at flyweight over 3 rounds. Damian Pinas (10-1-0) meets Andrey Pulyaev (10-5-0) at middleweight over 3 rounds. Court McGee (23-14-0) meets Eric Nolan (8-5-0) at welterweight over 3 rounds. Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) meets Ismail Naurdiev (25-8-0) at middleweight over 3 rounds. Alexander Hernandez (18-9-0) meets Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) at lightweight over 3 rounds. Marcus McGhee (11-2-0) meets Benardo Sopaj (13-3-0) at bantamweight over 3 rounds. Anthony Wint (8-0-0) meets Lucas Armand (6-0-0) at heavyweight over 3 rounds. Jacobe Smith (12-0-0) meets Bruce Whitehead (8-2-0) at welterweight over 3 rounds.
Yes. The MMA Analytics model gives Natália Silva a 56% win probability and Cong Wang 44% (conviction 5/10), a modest lean built on her record of winning decisions. BetOnline lists Silva at -200 and Wang at +169 as of September 30 and prices a decision at -260 (72% implied), against the model’s 60%. Probabilities, fair prices and betting edges for the other bouts appear on their fight pages.
Natália Silva vs. Cong Wang is scheduled for five rounds for the vacant women’s flyweight title. Every other listed matchup is scheduled for three rounds. Card order and matchups remain subject to change.
Methodology
No black box. Published probabilities follow the same three steps, and you can check each one yourself.
1. We watch every fight
Recorded UFC performances provide the evidence — strikes landed and absorbed, takedowns, damage, pace, and who each fighter has actually faced. No highlight reels, no reputation: just recorded performance.
2. We estimate the matchup
Each analysis weighs styles, cardio, durability and level of competition to describe likely outcomes. The 100-square chart visualizes that probability distribution; the number of squares is not evidence of model accuracy.
3. We compare it to the market
We compare the estimate with sportsbook prices, prioritizing BetOnline. Positive expected value depends on both the probability estimate and the available price. Quote age, bookmaker margin and model uncertainty all affect how useful the comparison is.
What the percentages mean
74% next to a fighter means that fighter is estimated to win about 74 out of 100 comparable matchups under the model assumptions. Odds like -425 are the market's price; converting them to an implied percentage lets us compare like-for-like. The 🔴 🟡 🟢 icons tell you how much UFC data we have on each fighter; they do not measure prediction accuracy.
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Short UFC résumé. Analysis leans more heavily on pre-UFC performance patterns and regional fight history.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: Every fight on the card carries its reliability icon. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
Yellow marks our forecast favorite. The comparison shows our win estimate against the probability implied by each quote. Gap is in percentage points (pp), includes bookmaker margin, and is not expected return.
| Fight | Fighter A | Win estimate A | Market / implied A | Fighter B | Win estimate B | Market / implied B | Model / market & our read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silva vs Wang🟢 | Natália Silva | — | -200 (BetOnline)66.7% implied | Cong Wang | — | +169 (BetOnline)37.2% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Talbott vs Figueiredo🟢 | Payton Talbott | — | -650 (BetOnline)86.7% implied | Deiveson Figueiredo | — | +482 (BetOnline)17.2% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Kopylov vs Gautier🟢 | Roman Kopylov | — | +177 (BetOnline)36.1% implied | Ateba Gautier | — | -205 (BetOnline)67.2% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Green vs Ribovics🟢 | King Green | — | +200 (BetOnline)33.3% implied | Esteban Ribovics | — | -240 (BetOnline)70.6% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Williams vs Soldić🔴 | Khaos Williams | — | +226 (BetOnline)30.7% implied | Roberto Soldić | — | -275 (BetOnline)73.3% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Parkin vs Walker🟢 | Mick Parkin | — | +115 (BetOnline)46.5% implied | Johnny Walker | — | -135 (BetOnline)57.4% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Coria vs Rodriguez🔴 | Alden Coria | — | +135 (BetOnline)42.6% implied | Imanol Rodriguez | — | -155 (BetOnline)60.8% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Pinas vs Pulyaev🔴 | Damian Pinas | — | -500 (BetOnline)83.3% implied | Andrey Pulyaev | — | +383 (BetOnline)20.7% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| McGee vs Nolan🔴 | Court McGee | — | +219 (BetOnline)31.3% implied | Eric Nolan | — | -265 (BetOnline)72.6% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Vettori vs Naurdiev🟢 | Marvin Vettori | — | +114 (BetOnline)46.7% implied | Ismail Naurdiev | — | -134 (BetOnline)57.3% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Hernandez vs Anjos🟢 | Alexander Hernandez | — | -255 (BetOnline)71.8% implied | Rafael dos Anjos | — | +211 (BetOnline)32.2% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| McGhee vs Sopaj🟡 | Marcus McGhee | — | -145 (BetOnline)59.2% implied | Benardo Sopaj | — | +125 (BetOnline)44.4% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Wint vs Armand🔴 | Anthony Wint | — | -550 (BetOnline)84.6% implied | Lucas Armand | — | +415 (BetOnline)19.4% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
| Smith vs Whitehead🔴 | Jacobe Smith | — | -950 (BetOnline)90.5% implied | Bruce Whitehead | — | +637 (BetOnline)13.6% implied | Matchup preview Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page. |
