UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, November 7, 2026
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Meta APEX
⚡ Upcoming Event2 Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 5:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Main Card
5:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada (Local)
Main Card
2:00 PM
GMT
United Kingdom / Ireland
Main Card
10:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Main Card
11:00 PM
GST
Abu Dhabi, UAE
Main Card
2:00 AM (Sun)
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APEX Welterweight: Two Grapplers, One Top-Five Spot

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady — Meta APEX, Las Vegas — November 7, 2026

This is one of the better grappling main events the APEX will host all year. Gabriel Bonfim (20-1) is a submission specialist whose only professional loss came in his second UFC appearance, and he has since rebuilt into the welterweight top ten. Across from him, Sean Brady (19-2) brings 15 UFC bouts, a top-five ranking and the smothering positional wrestling that has already beaten several of the division's best. Two grapplers who both want to be on top — the winner is squarely in the title conversation.

Also announced is a bantamweight scrap between Davey Grant (16-8), a 13-fight UFC veteran with heavy hands, and unbeaten-in-defeat prospect Elijah Smith (10-1). The remainder of the card has not yet been announced and will be added to this page as bouts are confirmed. Every bout below includes BetOnline odds and a full breakdown; model probabilities are still pending for this card.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady?

It is a UFC APEX card on November 7, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main event is a five-round welterweight bout between Gabriel Bonfim (20-1) and Sean Brady (19-2). Main card starts at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+.

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What is the matchup between Bonfim and Brady?

It is a pure grappling collision at welterweight: Bonfim's submission hunting and front-headlock game against Brady's smothering positional wrestling and ride time. Neither man wants to be underneath, so the entries and scrambles decide it — and five rounds rewards whoever controls the pace. Model probabilities for this card are still pending and will publish once full UFC rate statistics are in. Every fight below includes BetOnline odds and a full breakdown.

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How to watch this card and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady takes place Saturday, November 7, 2026. Main card at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. The Meta APEX in Las Vegas hosts the action.

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Is the Bonfim vs. Brady main event confirmed?

Yes. Gabriel Bonfim vs. Sean Brady is official as the five-round welterweight main event, with Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith also announced at bantamweight. The rest of the card has not been released yet and will be added here as bouts are confirmed.

Main Event — Welterweight

Bonfim vs. Brady

Gabriel Bonfim (20-1) meets Sean Brady (19-2) over five rounds — submission hunting against smothering positional wrestling, with the winner in the title conversation.

Prelim Spotlight — Bantamweight

Grant vs. Smith

Davey Grant (16-8), a 13-fight UFC veteran with heavy hands, faces prospect Elijah Smith (10-1) at bantamweight.

Card Status

Remaining bouts TBA

Two bouts are official so far. This page updates as the UFC announces the rest of the November 7 APEX card.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Gabriel Bonfim

Gabriel Bonfim

“Marretinha”

20-1-0

Welterweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Sean Brady

Sean Brady

19-2-0

🟡🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Davey Grant

Davey Grant

“Dangerous”

16-8-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Elijah Smith

Elijah Smith

“Swift”

10-1-0

The Meta APEX in Las Vegas uses the smaller 25-foot cage, which historically compresses distance and favours pressure fighters over out-fighters. This card is still being assembled — remaining bouts will be added as the UFC announces them.

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob B
Bonfim vs Brady🟢Gabriel BonfimUpcomingN/A—Sean BradyUpcomingN/A—
Grant vs Smith🟡Davey GrantUpcomingN/A—Elijah SmithUpcomingN/A—

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