UFC 336: Van vs. Kape in Toronto
Two title fights headline the card: Joshua Van (18-2) vs. Manel Kape (23-7) for the flyweight belt, and Carlos Prates (24-7) vs. Michael Morales (19-0) for the interim welterweight belt.
UFC 336: Van vs. Kape
A Toronto pay-per-view on Saturday, January 30. Flyweight champion Joshua Van (18-2) defends against Manel Kape (23-7) over five rounds, and Carlos Prates (24-7) meets the unbeaten Michael Morales (19-0) for the interim welterweight title. Main card live on Paramount+ at 9:00 PM ET.
Saturday, January 30, 2027Toronto, Ontario, CanadaScotiabank Arena
⚡ Upcoming Event2 Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 9:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Main-card time as listed. The U.S. is on standard time. Prelims start earlier the same day.
ET
New York / Toronto (Local)
9:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
6:00 PM
GMT
United Kingdom / Ireland
2:00 AM (Sun)
CET
Central Europe
3:00 AM (Sun)
AEDT
Sydney (Sunday)
1:00 PM
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UFC 336: Van vs. Kape Fights, Analytics & Predictions
💡 Odds shown are BetOnline prices where posted, alongside the probability each quote implies. They are not a guarantee of the best price across all books. The win splits on this card are editorial handicaps, not calibrated model outputs.
Main event
Joshua Van vs Manel Kape
Flyweight · 5 rounds
How to read these filters
Market differences are not a ranking of best bets. Conviction is editorial; a close matchup does not automatically mean poor data.
Fights shown: 2/2 · Analyses available: 2/2
Main Card
🏆 Main eventEstablished UFC sample (5+ bouts each)12 / 11 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
🏆 UFC Flyweight Championship
5 Rounds
Editorial estimate
56%VS44%
Tactical key
Kape wants the first clean exchange: a counter left over Van's entry, thrown from the longer reach before the champion's volume settles in. Van wants the opposite, touching the body, drawing the counter and stacking work into rounds four and five, where only he has been. The third round, where Kape does most of his finishing, is the hinge.
⭐ Co-MainEstablished UFC sample (5+ bouts each)8 / 7 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Tactical key
Morales wants this decided by his jab and the right hand behind it, thrown down the open-stance line at a switch-hitter who does much of his work southpaw. Prates wants kicking range, taxing the body and lead leg until Morales slows, then countering when he steps in. If Morales is still landing first after the fifteen minutes he has never gone past, the fight shifts his way.
Two title fights are booked so far. Every bout links to its full analysis.
Deep Dive
Event Preview, FAQ & Methodology
The January 30 Toronto card, its two title fights and the published matchup analyses.
🥊
The Story
UFC 336: Van vs. Kape in Toronto
📍 Toronto, Ontario, Canada🗓 Saturday, January 30, 2027📺 Paramount+
UFC 336 is built around two five-round title fights. Flyweight champion Joshua Van (18-2) puts the belt on the line against Manel Kape (23-7) in Toronto.
In the co-main event, Carlos Prates (24-7) meets the unbeaten Michael Morales (19-0) for the interim welterweight title. Both fights have full matchup analyses on their fight pages.
Main event — Flyweight title
01Van vs. Kape
Flyweight champion Joshua Van (18-2) defends against Manel Kape (23-7) over five rounds in Toronto. Editorial handicap: Van 56%, Kape 44%.
Full breakdown
Co-main — Interim welterweight title
02Prates vs. Morales
Carlos Prates (24-7) meets the unbeaten Michael Morales (19-0) for the interim welterweight title over five rounds. Editorial handicap: Prates 55%, Morales 45%.
Full breakdown
🥊What is UFC 336: Van vs. Kape?
FAQ·01
UFC 336: Van vs. Kape takes place on Saturday, January 30, 2027 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Main event: Joshua Van vs. Manel Kape for the UFC flyweight championship (5 rounds). Co-main event: Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales for the interim UFC welterweight championship (5 rounds). The main card streams on Paramount+ at 9:00 PM ET, after prelims at 7:00 PM ET.
🕒When is UFC 336: Van vs. Kape and what time does it start?
FAQ·02
UFC 336: Van vs. Kape streams from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto on Saturday, January 30, 2027. The main card starts at 9:00 PM ET on Paramount+, which is 9:00 PM local time in Toronto, 6:00 PM PT, and 2:00 AM GMT and 3:00 AM CET on Sunday. Prelims start at 7:00 PM ET.
📋Who is fighting at UFC 336: Van vs. Kape?
FAQ·03
Two title fights headline the card. Main event: Joshua Van vs. Manel Kape for the UFC flyweight championship (5 rounds). Co-main event: Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales for the interim UFC welterweight championship (5 rounds). More bouts are added as the UFC books them.
🤖What are the editorial win estimates for UFC 336?
FAQ·04
Joshua Van 56% to Manel Kape 44% in the flyweight title fight, and Carlos Prates 55% to Michael Morales 45% for the interim welterweight title, each with conviction 4 of 10. Each fight page has the full matchup analysis, method breakdown and fair prices. These are MMA Analytics editorial assessments, not calibrated model probabilities.
⚠️How many title fights are on UFC 336?
FAQ·05
Two. Flyweight champion Joshua Van defends against Manel Kape, and Carlos Prates meets the unbeaten Michael Morales (19-0) for the interim welterweight championship. Card order remains subject to change.
📊Analysis Reliability Framework
UFC experience describes the size of the available sample, not the chance of winning. A short UFC record leaves more uncertainty about how a fighter performs against different styles. Opponent quality, recent changes and missing statistics also matter; five bouts alone do not establish that a prediction is well calibrated.
🔴
Limited UFC sample
<3 UFC Bouts
Fewer than three UFC fights. Analysis leans more heavily on pre-UFC performance patterns and fighting style.
🟡
Developing UFC sample
3-4 UFC Bouts
Some UFC evidence is available, but a few matchups can strongly influence the averages. Check opponent quality and the limitations in each analysis.
🟢
Established UFC sample
5+ UFC Bouts
More UFC observations are available. This does not guarantee predictive accuracy; changes in opposition, injuries and style can still limit the estimate.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. Analyst conviction is an editorial assessment, not a measured probability or statistical confidence interval.
Model vs market
Yellow marks the editorial favorite. The comparison shows that estimate against the probability implied by each quote. Gap is in percentage points (pp), includes bookmaker margin, and is not expected return. These estimates are not calibrated model outputs.
| Fight | Fighter A | Win estimate A | Market / implied A | Fighter B | Win estimate B | Market / implied B | Model / market & our read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van vs Kape🟢 | Joshua VanAnalyst favorite | 56% | —— | Manel Kape | 44% | —— | Win probabilityAnalystMarketGapJoshua Van56%——Manel Kape44%—— Our read: We favor Joshua Van. A market price is needed to assess value. Analyst estimate · not a calibrated model |
| Prates vs Morales🟢 | Carlos PratesAnalyst favorite | 55% | —— | Michael Morales | 45% | —— | Win probabilityAnalystMarketGapCarlos Prates55%——Michael Morales45%—— Our read: We narrowly lean Carlos Prates. A market price is needed to assess value. Analyst estimate · not a calibrated model |