Who is fighting at UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva?

The featherweight main event features Yair Rodriguez (20-5) vs. Jean Silva (17-3). The co-main is Manon Fiorot vs. Alexa Grasso at women's flyweight. Main-card depth includes Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales, Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Curtis Blaydes, Tim Elliott vs. Edgar Cháirez, and David Martinez vs. Dan Ige, plus prelims JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin, Kelvin Gastelum vs. Yousri Belgaroui, Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Muslim Salikhov, Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt, and Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki.

Who does the MMA Analytics model favor in Rodriguez vs. Silva?

MMA Analytics' preliminary ensemble lean is Jean Silva at approximately 57% versus Yair Rodriguez at 43%. The lean favors Silva's finishing heat and pressure over five rounds against Yair's unorthodox kicking game and championship-round experience. On the same Glendale card, Fiorot is projected near 58% over Grasso and Moreno near 63% over Morales. These leans will be recalibrated once full UFC.com rate stats replace placeholder composites. Full fight pages compare model probabilities to BetOnline odds across the Noche UFC-style lineup.

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva

Saturday, September 12, 2026

Glendale, Arizona, United States

Desert Diamond Arena

⚡ Upcoming Event11 Fights

Main Card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Start Time: 5:00 PM ET

Start Time by Timezone

Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.

Eastern US/Canada

Main Card

5:00 PM

Pacific US/Canada

Main Card

2:00 PM

MST

Arizona (Local)

Main Card

2:00 PM

BST

United Kingdom / Ireland

Main Card

10:00 PM

CET

Central Europe

Main Card

11:00 PM

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Noche UFC Glendale: Spinning Kicks, Title Names, Desert Heat

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva — Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale — September 12, 2026

This is Glendale in Noche UFC mode — Mexican fight-night atmosphere, championship-caliber names, and a featherweight main event built for highlight reels. Former interim champion Yair Rodriguez (20-5) brings unorthodox kicks and spinning chaos against surging finisher Jean Silva (17-3). The co-main keeps women's flyweight center stage: pressure striker Manon Fiorot (13-2) vs. former champion Alexa Grasso (17-5-1). And the main card still has room for former champion Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) vs. Joseph Morales (14-2), plus Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Curtis Blaydes at heavyweight.

Our preliminary ensemble currently leans Silva near 57%, Fiorot ~58%, and Moreno ~63%. The Paramount+ depth continues with Tim Elliott vs. Edgar Cháirez, David Martinez vs. Dan Ige, and prelims including Kelvin Gastelum vs. Yousri Belgaroui, Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Muslim Salikhov, JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin, and Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt. Every bout below includes BetOnline odds, model probabilities, and a full breakdown.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva (Noche UFC)?

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva is a Noche UFC-style Glendale card on September 12, 2026, at Desert Diamond Arena. The featherweight main event pits Yair Rodriguez (20-5) against Jean Silva (17-3), with Fiorot vs. Grasso in the co-main and Brandon Moreno on the main card. Main card starts at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+.

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What is the matchup between Rodriguez and Silva?

Rodriguez vs. Silva is veteran chaos against rising finishing heat: Yair's spinning kicks and championship-round experience versus Silva's relentless pressure and power. Our preliminary model currently projects Silva around 57%. The co-main keeps Glendale's Mexican fight-night atmosphere centered on women's flyweight — Fiorot (~58%) against Grasso — while Moreno (~63%) adds another storyline on the main card. Every fight below includes BetOnline odds and a full breakdown.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva takes place Saturday, September 12, 2026. Main card at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT / 2:00 PM MST local) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale hosts the action.

Main Event — Featherweight

Rodriguez vs. Silva

Former interim champion Yair Rodriguez (20-5) brings his unorthodox striking against surging finisher Jean Silva (17-3) in a five-round featherweight main event.

Co-Main — Women's Flyweight

Fiorot vs. Grasso

Manon Fiorot (13-2) brings pressure striking against former champion Alexa Grasso (17-5-1) in a women's flyweight co-main between two of the division's elite.

Undercard Spotlight

Cortes-Acosta vs. Blaydes & Gastelum vs. Belgaroui

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3) takes on Curtis Blaydes (19-6) at heavyweight, while Kelvin Gastelum (20-11) meets Yousri Belgaroui (10-3) at middleweight.

UFC Debut

Aldrich vs. Tarin

Undefeated Regina Tarin (8-0) makes her UFC debut against veteran JJ Aldrich (15-7) at women's flyweight — the card's clearest new-blood test.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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Marwan Rahiki

“Freaky”

9-0-0

Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale hosts UFC Fight Night with a standard UFC Octagon.

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Fight	Fighter A	Model Prob A	Market Odds A	Implied Prob A	Fighter B	Model Prob B	Market Odds B	Implied Prob B
Rodriguez vs Silva🟢	Yair Rodriguez	44%	N/A	—	Jean Silva	56%	N/A	—
Fiorot vs Grasso🟢	Manon Fiorot	57%	N/A	—	Alexa Grasso	43%	N/A	—
Moreno vs Morales🟢	Brandon Moreno	61%	N/A	—	Joseph Morales	39%	N/A	—
Cortes-Acosta vs Blaydes🟢	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	42%	N/A	—	Curtis Blaydes	58%	N/A	—
Elliott vs Cháirez🟢	Tim Elliott	55%	N/A	—	Edgar Cháirez	45%	N/A	—
Martinez vs Ige🟢	David Martinez	49%	N/A	—	Dan Ige	51%	N/A	—
Gastelum vs Belgaroui🟢	Kelvin Gastelum	47%	N/A	—	Yousri Belgaroui	53%	N/A	—
Bahamondes vs Salikhov🟢	Ignacio Bahamondes	57%	N/A	—	Muslim Salikhov	43%	N/A	—

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