UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo — Macau

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, May 30, 2026
Macau, China
Galaxy Arena
⚡ Upcoming Event12 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 3:00 AM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
CST (Local)
Macau / China
Early
11:00 AM
Prelims
1:00 PM
Main
3:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
11:00 PM (Fri)
Prelims
1:00 AM
Main
3:00 AM
PT
US West Coast
Early
8:00 PM (Fri)
Prelims
10:00 PM (Fri)
Main
12:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
4:00 AM
Prelims
6:00 AM
Main
8:00 AM
AEST
Australia (East)
Early
1:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
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UFC Macau: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo — Galaxy Arena, Macau — May 30, 2026

The UFC lands in Macau with a headliner built for the Asian market — in a rare 30-foot cage at Galaxy Arena. Yadong Song (22-9-1, 11-4-1 UFC) brings the higher pace, the taller frame, and elite takedown defense against former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1, 14-6-1 UFC), who counters with cleaner distance accuracy, chain-wrestling volume, and a live submission threat in a five-round bantamweight main event. Both men are coming off January 2026 setbacks; the winner re-enters the top-tier conversation at 135.

The Paramount+ card stacks local heat around that headline: hometown finisher Mingyang Zhang vs. veteran slugger Alonzo Menifield at light heavyweight, Sergei Pavlovich vs. rising heavyweight Tallison Teixeira, and Alex Perez vs. streaking southpaw Sumudaerji at flyweight — plus a deep prelim slate. Every bout below includes data-backed breakdowns, BetOnline odds where available, and stylistic matchup notes from our full-card analysis.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo?

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo is an MMA event on Saturday, May 30, 2026, at Galaxy Arena in Macau, China. The five-round bantamweight main event pits China's top contender Yadong Song (22-9-1, 11-4-1 UFC) against former two-time flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1, 14-6-1 UFC) in a large cage. Our breakdown frames it as pace, volume, and takedown denial (Song) versus precision counter-striking, chain wrestling, and neck danger (Figueiredo) — with real five-round cardio questions on both sides after recent losses. The card airs on Paramount+; main card begins at 3:00 PM HKT in Macau (3:00 AM ET / 12:00 AM PT). Co-main and featured bouts include Zhang vs. Menifield, Pavlovich vs. Teixeira, and Perez vs. Sumudaerji.

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What should we expect from Yadong Song vs. Deiveson Figueiredo?

Expect a stylistic chess match that can still detonate at any moment. Song wants the outside lane in the big cage — higher significant-strike pace, stronger defensive striking numbers, and the sprawl to shut down Figueiredo's takedown chains. Figueiredo lives in the pockets Song cannot ignore: cleaner distance accuracy, more control time when grappling hits, and early submission sequences off level changes and front-head position. Song has shown he can win slow fights (Henry Cejudo) and struggle versus elite movers (Sean O'Malley, Petr Yan); Figueiredo remains dangerous late but faces volume and cardio stress across 25 minutes. The winner plants a flag as a legitimate top-five name. Use the fight links below for full statistical breakdowns, matchup maps, and BetOnline odds.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo takes place Saturday, May 30, 2026, at Galaxy Arena, Macau. All times below are for the main card on Paramount+: 3:00 PM HKT (Macau / Hong Kong), 3:00 AM ET, 12:00 AM PT (Saturday), 8:00 AM BST, and 5:00 PM AEST. Prelims begin about two hours earlier (e.g. 1:00 PM HKT / 1:00 AM ET / 10:00 PM PT Friday). See the timezone grid above for early prelims. US East Coast fans get a late-night/early-morning card; Macau gets a Saturday afternoon show.

Main Event — Bantamweight

Song vs. Figueiredo

Yadong Song (22-9-1) vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1) in a five-round main event and 30-foot cage. Song's volume and takedown defense vs. Fig's counters, chain wrestling, and neck threat — high-stakes bantamweight chess with finish equity on both sides.

Co-Feature — Light Heavyweight

Zhang vs. Menifield

Mingyang Zhang (19-7) brings explosive early finishes and hometown noise; Alonzo Menifield (17-6-1) has the veteran UFC miles and decision equity. Both are coming off KO losses — expect a violent, short-clock light heavyweight co-main in the big cage.

Undercard Spotlight

Pavlovich vs. Teixeira & Perez vs. Sumudaerji

Pavlovich (20-3) is the patient southpaw counter vs. Teixeira's (9-1) size and round-one storm. Perez (26-10) is live in bursts but volatile; Sumudaerji (19-7) banks minutes on a seven-inch reach edge — flyweight geometry in a 30-foot cage.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢
Yadong Song

Yadong Song

22-9-1

Bantamweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

62%VS38%

Market Odds

……
Deiveson Figueiredo

Deiveson Figueiredo

25-6-1

⭐ Co-Main🟡
Mingyang Zhang

Mingyang Zhang

19-7-0

Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

58%VS42%

Market Odds

……
Alonzo Menifield

Alonzo Menifield

17-6-1

Main Card

Main Card🟡
Sergei Pavlovich

Sergei Pavlovich

20-3-0

Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

62%VS38%

Market Odds

……
Tallison Teixeira

Tallison Teixeira

9-1-0

Main Card🟢
Alex Perez

Alex Perez

26-10-0

Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

42%VS58%

Market Odds

……
Sumudaerji

Sumudaerji

19-7-0

Main Card🟡
Kai Asakura

Kai Asakura

21-6-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

42%VS58%

Market Odds

……
Cameron Smotherman

Cameron Smotherman

12-6-0

Main Card🔴
Angela Hill

Angela Hill

“Overkill”

18-16-0

Strawweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

43%VS57%

Market Odds

……
Jingnan Xiong

Jingnan Xiong

19-2-0

Prelims

Prelims🔴
Luis Felipe Dias

Luis Felipe Dias

16-5-0

Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

63%VS37%

Market Odds

……
Yi Sak Lee

Yi Sak Lee

8-1-0

Prelims🟡
Rei Tsuruya

Rei Tsuruya

10-1-0

Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

61%VS39%

Market Odds

……
Jesus Aguilar

Jesus Aguilar

12-4-0

Prelims🟢
Loma Lookboonmee

Loma Lookboonmee

10-4-0

Strawweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

61%VS39%

Market Odds

……
Jaqueline Amorim

Jaqueline Amorim

10-2-0

Prelims🟡
Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng

26-12-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

39%VS61%

Market Odds

……
Cody Haddon

Cody Haddon

8-1-0

Prelims🔴
Meng Ding

Meng Ding

35-9-0

Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

61%VS39%

Market Odds

……
José Henrique

José Henrique

8-1-0

Prelims🔴
Kangjie Zhu

Kangjie Zhu

21-4-0

Featherweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

55%VS45%

Market Odds

……
Rodrigo Vera

Rodrigo Vera

21-1-1

Cancelled & Fizzled Bouts

⛔ CANCELLED — Salikhov withdrew
Muslim Salikhov

Muslim Salikhov

22-6-0

Welterweight
3 Rounds
CANCELLED
Jake Matthews

Jake Matthews

22-8-0

⛔ CANCELLED — Taveras withdrew
Kangjie Zhu

Kangjie Zhu

21-4-0

Featherweight
3 Rounds
CANCELLED
Ramon Taveras

Ramon Taveras

10-3-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Song vs Figueiredo🟢Yadong Song62%N/A—Deiveson Figueiredo38%N/A—
Song +62.0%Song vs Figueiredo breakdown
Zhang vs Menifield🟡Mingyang Zhang58%N/A—Alonzo Menifield42%N/A—
Zhang +58.0%Zhang vs Menifield breakdown
Pavlovich vs Teixeira🟡Sergei Pavlovich62%N/A—Tallison Teixeira38%N/A—
Pavlovich +62.0%Pavlovich vs Teixeira breakdown
Perez vs Sumudaerji🟢Alex Perez42%N/A—Sumudaerji58%N/A—
Sumudaerji +58.0%Perez vs Sumudaerji breakdown
Asakura vs Smotherman🟡Kai Asakura42%N/A—Cameron Smotherman58%N/A—
Smotherman +58.0%Asakura vs Smotherman breakdown
Tsuruya vs Aguilar🟡Rei Tsuruya61%N/A—Jesus Aguilar39%N/A—
Tsuruya +61.0%Tsuruya vs Aguilar breakdown
Lookboonmee vs Amorim🟢Loma Lookboonmee61%N/A—Jaqueline Amorim39%N/A—
Lookboonmee +61.0%Lookboonmee vs Amorim breakdown
Aoriqileng vs Haddon🟡Aoriqileng39%N/A—Cody Haddon61%N/A—
Haddon +61.0%Aoriqileng vs Haddon breakdown

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