UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

Canada gets a five-round main event. On Saturday, October 17, Rogers Place hosts welterweight knockout artist Joaquin Buckley (21-8) against Canada's Mike Malott (14-2-1), who brings a four-fight win streak into a building where he has already won. Malott owns the cleaner rate sheet — 52% striking accuracy against 36%, 73% takedown defense, never knocked down in the Octagon — while Buckley brings 15 career KO/TKO wins and the only championship-round experience in the fight. Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius takes the women's flyweight co-main. Model leans: Malott ~55% and Blanchfield ~64%. Live on Paramount+ at 8:00 PM ET / 6:00 PM Edmonton.

UFC Edmonton Buckley vs Malott official poster — Rogers Place, October 17, 2026
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Rogers Place
⚡ Upcoming Event13 Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 8:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Main-card times. Prelims start earlier the same day. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Main Card
8:00 PM
MT
Edmonton / US Mountain
Main Card
6:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Main Card
5:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Main Card
1:00 AM (Sun)
CEST
Central Europe
Main Card
2:00 AM (Sun)
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Edmonton: Malott's Precision vs. Buckley's Deep Water

A five-round welterweight main event on Canadian soil: Mike Malott (14-2-1, four straight wins) lands 52% of his significant strikes, absorbs 2.83 a minute and has never been knocked down in the Octagon. Joaquin Buckley (21-8) answers with 15 career KO/TKO wins, a 76-inch reach and twenty-five minutes with Kamaru Usman — Malott has never fought a fourth round. Model lean: Malott ~55%.

Co-main: Blanchfield vs. Jasudavicius📺 Paramount+🕒 8:00 PM ET / 6:00 PM EdmontonFull preview & FAQ ↓

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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BetOnline is our preferred sportsbook reference. We show the selected book and its implied probability; this is not a guarantee of the best price across all books. Check the quote time before treating an estimated edge as current.

Welterweight · 5 rounds

How to read these filters

Market differences are not a ranking of best bets. Conviction is editorial; a close matchup does not automatically mean poor data.

Fights shown: 16/16 · Analyses available: 0/16

Main Card

🏆 Main eventEstablished UFC sample (5+ bouts each)17 / 8 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Joaquin Buckley

Joaquin Buckley

“New Mansa”

21-8-0

Welterweight
5 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Mike Malott

Mike Malott

“Proper”

14-2-1

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Uncertainty & price details

Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Joaquin Buckley

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Mike Malott

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⭐ Co-MainEstablished UFC sample (5+ bouts each)9 / 12 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Erin Blanchfield

Erin Blanchfield

“Cold Blooded”

14-2-0

Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Erin Blanchfield

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Jasmine Jasudavicius

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Main CardLimited UFC sample (<3 bouts)12 / 0 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Kyle Nelson

Kyle Nelson

“The Monster”

17-7-1

Lightweight
3 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Cristian Perez

Cristian Perez

“Puas”

15-2-0

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Kyle Nelson

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Cristian Perez

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Main CardEstablished UFC sample (5+ bouts each)17 / 10 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Middleweight
3 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Kyle Daukaus

Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Marc-André Barriault

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Kyle Daukaus

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Main CardLimited UFC sample (<3 bouts)0 / 5 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Louis Jourdain

Louis Jourdain

“The Mad Prince”

9-3-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Timmy Cuamba

Timmy Cuamba

“Twilight”

10-4-0

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Louis Jourdain

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Timmy Cuamba

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Main CardLimited UFC sample (<3 bouts)1 / 11 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Mandel Nallo

Mandel Nallo

“Mango”

14-4-0

Lightweight
3 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Nate Landwehr

Nate Landwehr

“The Train”

18-8-0

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Mandel Nallo

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Nate Landwehr

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Prelims

PrelimsEstablished UFC sample (5+ bouts each)11 / 5 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Tanner Boser

Tanner Boser

“The Bulldozer”

22-11-1

Heavyweight
3 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Tanner Boser

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Jhonata Diniz

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PrelimsUFC experience1 / — UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Middleweight
3 Rounds

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Preview

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Julien Leblanc

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Nick Galanti

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PrelimsUFC experience0 / — UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Heavyweight
3 Rounds

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Preview

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Javad Mahjoub

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Joel Faglier

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PrelimsUFC experience17 / — UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds

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Preview

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Katlyn Cerminara

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Mackenzie Stiller

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PrelimsLimited UFC sample (<3 bouts)6 / 1 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Chad Anheliger

Chad Anheliger

“The Monster”

13-8-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Steven Koslow

Steven Koslow

“Obi Won Shinobi The Pillow”

6-1-0

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Chad Anheliger

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Steven Koslow

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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

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PrelimsDeveloping UFC sample (3–4 bouts)3 / 6 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds

Model estimate

Preview

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Melissa Croden

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Chelsea Chandler

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Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

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PrelimsLimited UFC sample (<3 bouts)4 / 0 UFC boutsCounts follow fighter order. The smaller UFC sample determines the color: under 3 red, 3–4 yellow, 5+ green. Sample size is not a win probability or a measure of analysis quality.
Bantamweight
3 Rounds

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Preview

Matchup preview. Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

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Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Su Young You

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Cody Chovancek

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Cancelled

⛔ CANCELLED — Horth injury
Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
CANCELLED
⛔ CANCELLED — Urbina withdrew
Middleweight
3 Rounds
CANCELLED
Gilbert Urbina

Gilbert Urbina

“The RGV Bad Boy”

8-4-0

⛔ CANCELLED — Sutherland withdrew
Heavyweight
3 Rounds
CANCELLED
Rogers Place in Edmonton hosts this Paramount+ Fight Night with a standard UFC Octagon.

Deep Dive

Event Preview, FAQ & Methodology

The full story behind UFC Edmonton — the narrative, the card spotlights, the questions everyone asks, and how the model reads the data.

🥊

The Story

Edmonton: Malott's Precision vs. Buckley's Deep Water

📍 Rogers Place, Edmonton🗓 Saturday, October 17, 2026📺 Paramount+

UFC Canada lands at Rogers Place with a five-round welterweight main event that splits cleanly between the rate sheet and the résumé. Mike "Proper" Malott (14-2-1), the Ontario finisher on a four-fight win streak, lands 52% of his significant strikes to Buckley's 36%, absorbs 2.83 a minute to Buckley's 3.10, scores 0.98 knockdowns per 15 minutes to Buckley's 0.68 and has never been knocked down in the Octagon. He brings a second layer too: 1.57 takedowns per 15 minutes at 57% accuracy, and 73% takedown defense. Joaquin "New Mansa" Buckley (21-8, 76-inch reach) answers with 15 career KO/TKO wins — Stephen Thompson, Vicente Luque and Colby Covington among his stoppages — and twenty-five minutes with Kamaru Usman. Malott has never fought a fourth round. The co-main is three rounds of grappling chess: Erin Blanchfield (14-2) vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (15-4) at women's flyweight.

13 active bouts. Main card: Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott (welterweight, 5 rounds); Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (women's flyweight, 3 rounds); Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Perez (lightweight, 3 rounds); Marc-André Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus (middleweight, 3 rounds); Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (bantamweight, 3 rounds); Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr (lightweight, 3 rounds). Prelims: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (heavyweight); Julien Leblanc vs. Nick Galanti (middleweight); Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (heavyweight); Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (women's flyweight); Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (bantamweight); Melissa Croden vs. Chelsea Chandler (women's bantamweight); Su Young You vs. Cody Chovancek (bantamweight). Cancelled: Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Katlyn Cerminara — Horth injury; Julien Leblanc vs. Gilbert Urbina — Urbina withdrew; Louie Sutherland vs. Javad Mahjoub — Sutherland withdrew.

🥊

What is UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott?

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott is UFC Edmonton — a UFC Canada Fight Night on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. The five-round welterweight main event pairs knockout artist Joaquin "New Mansa" Buckley (21-8, ranked #10) against Canada's Mike "Proper" Malott (14-2-1, ranked #13), who carries a four-fight win streak and has already won in Edmonton. Malott owns the cleaner rate sheet — 52% striking accuracy against 36%, 73% takedown defense, never knocked down in the Octagon — while Buckley brings 15 career KO/TKO wins and the only championship-round experience in the fight. The co-main is three rounds of women's flyweight grappling: Erin Blanchfield (14-2) vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (15-4). The thirteen-fight lineup is stacked with Canadians, including Louis Jourdain, Mandel Nallo, Tanner Boser, Marc-André Barriault, Julien Leblanc and Chad Anheliger. MMA Analytics leans Malott ~55%. The card streams on Paramount+ at 8:00 PM ET (6:00 PM in Edmonton).

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When is UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott streams live from Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada on Saturday, October 17, 2026, with the main card beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Paramount+. The in-arena clock in Edmonton reads 6:00 PM — the same hour as Denver and the rest of US Mountain Daylight Time — and the Pacific coast sees 5:00 PM PT. Viewers in the United Kingdom and Ireland should expect a 1:00 AM BST start on Sunday, and Central Europe tunes in at 2:00 AM CEST. Prelims begin earlier the same day, also on Paramount+. All listed times remain subject to broadcast changes; the timezone grid covers ET, Edmonton, PT, BST, and CEST at a glance.

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Who is fighting at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott?

13 active bouts. Main card: Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott (welterweight, 5 rounds); Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (women's flyweight, 3 rounds); Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Perez (lightweight, 3 rounds); Marc-André Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus (middleweight, 3 rounds); Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (bantamweight, 3 rounds); Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr (lightweight, 3 rounds). Prelims: Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (heavyweight); Julien Leblanc vs. Nick Galanti (middleweight); Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (heavyweight); Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (women's flyweight); Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (bantamweight); Melissa Croden vs. Chelsea Chandler (women's bantamweight); Su Young You vs. Cody Chovancek (bantamweight). Cancelled: Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Katlyn Cerminara — Horth injury; Julien Leblanc vs. Gilbert Urbina — Urbina withdrew; Louie Sutherland vs. Javad Mahjoub — Sutherland withdrew.

🤖

Who does the MMA Analytics model favor in Buckley vs. Malott?

MMA Analytics currently favors Mike Malott at approximately 55% win probability versus Joaquin Buckley at 45% for the UFC Edmonton main event at Rogers Place. The lean is built on Malott's cleaner rate sheet: 52% striking accuracy against 36%, 2.83 significant strikes absorbed per minute against 3.10, and 0.98 knockdowns per 15 minutes against 0.68 without ever being knocked down in the UFC. He also has a second way to win rounds — 1.57 takedowns per 15 minutes at 57% accuracy, with 73% takedown defense against Buckley's 70% — plus four straight wins, a 5-1 UFC record in Canada and a previous win in Edmonton. Buckley's 45% is real: 15 career KO/TKO wins, a three-inch reach edge, output that climbs as fights age and twenty-five minutes with Kamaru Usman, while Malott has never fought a fourth round. Conviction is modest, and the longer the fight runs, the more of it tilts toward Buckley. On the same card, Erin Blanchfield faces Jasmine Jasudavicius in the three-round co-main. Full fight pages compare these model probabilities to BetOnline odds.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

UFC experience describes the size of the available sample, not the chance of winning. A short UFC record leaves more uncertainty about how a fighter performs against different styles. Opponent quality, recent changes and missing statistics also matter; five bouts alone do not establish that a prediction is well calibrated.

🔴

Limited UFC sample

<3 UFC Bouts

Fewer than three UFC fights. Analysis leans more heavily on pre-UFC performance patterns and fighting style.

🟡

Developing UFC sample

3-4 UFC Bouts

Some UFC evidence is available, but a few matchups can strongly influence the averages. Check opponent quality and the limitations in each analysis.

🟢

Established UFC sample

5+ UFC Bouts

More UFC observations are available. This does not guarantee predictive accuracy; changes in opposition, injuries and style can still limit the estimate.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. Analyst conviction is an editorial assessment, not a measured probability or statistical confidence interval.

Model vs market

Yellow marks our forecast favorite. The comparison shows our win estimate against the probability implied by each quote. Gap is in percentage points (pp), includes bookmaker margin, and is not expected return.

Fighter AWin estimate AMarket / implied AFighter BWin estimate BMarket / implied BModel / market & our read
Joaquin Buckley———Mike Malott———

Matchup preview

Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Erin Blanchfield———Jasmine Jasudavicius———

Matchup preview

Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Marc-André Barriault———Kyle Daukaus———

Matchup preview

Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Tanner Boser———Jhonata Diniz———

Matchup preview

Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Melissa Croden———Chelsea Chandler———

Matchup preview

Styles, form and paths to victory are broken down on the fight page.

Event Discussion

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