UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, August 29, 2026
Shanghai, China
Shanghai Indoor Stadium
⚡ Upcoming Event6 Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 6:00 AM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; prelims start at approximately 4:00 AM ET. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Main Card
6:00 AM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Main Card
3:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Main Card
11:00 AM
CET
Central Europe
Main Card
12:00 PM
CST
Shanghai, China
Main Card
6:00 PM
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Shanghai: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song — Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Shanghai — August 29, 2026

The UFC returns to China with a five-round bantamweight main event: Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1), one of the division's most technical grapplers, meets home favorite Yadong Song (23-9-1), a heavy-handed striker fighting in front of a Shanghai crowd. The co-main pits flyweights Alex Perez (26-10) against Sumudaerji (19-7).

The Paramount+ card leans heavily on China's growing roster, with Xiaonan Yan vs. Denise Gomes at women's strawweight and prospect bouts across the prelims. Every fight below includes best available odds and a full breakdown.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song?

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song is an MMA event on August 29, 2026, at Shanghai Indoor Stadium in Shanghai, China. The main event pits Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1) against Yadong Song (23-9-1) in a five-round bantamweight bout. The card airs on Paramount+ (main card at approximately 6:00 AM ET).

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What is the matchup between Nurmagomedov and Song?

Nurmagomedov vs. Song is a classic grappler-versus-striker main event: Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1) looks to control range, chain wrestling and pace over five rounds, while Yadong Song (23-9-1) counters with power boxing and knockout threat in front of his home crowd. Every fight on the card below includes best available odds and a full breakdown on its fight page.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song takes place Saturday, August 29, 2026. Because Shanghai is 12 hours ahead of the US East Coast, the main card starts at approximately 6:00 AM ET (6:00 PM local time) on Paramount+. Prelims start at approximately 4:00 AM ET, also on Paramount+. Shanghai Indoor Stadium hosts the action.

Main Event — Bantamweight

Nurmagomedov vs. Song

Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1) brings elite grappling and wrestling pressure against the power boxing of home favorite Yadong Song (23-9-1) over five rounds in Shanghai.

Co-Main — Flyweight

Perez vs. Sumudaerji

Veteran Alex Perez (26-10) meets the rangy, home-soil striker Sumudaerji (19-7) in a flyweight bout with divisional stakes.

Main Card Spotlight

Yan vs. Gomes

Xiaonan Yan (19-5) headlines the women's strawweight action against the hard-hitting Denise Gomes (12-3).

Prospect Watch

Tsuruya vs. Borjas

Unbeaten-in-defeat-averse flyweight Rei Tsuruya (11-1) faces Kevin Borjas (11-5) in a prelim matchup of rising 125-pounders.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢
Bantamweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

80%VS20%

Market Odds

⭐ Co-Main🟢
Alex Perez

Alex Perez

26-10-0

Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

56%VS44%

Market Odds

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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

58%VS42%

Market Odds

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Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

65%VS35%

Market Odds

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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

44%VS56%

Market Odds

Ce Liu

Ce Liu

3-1-0

🔴
Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

58%VS42%

Market Odds

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob B
Nurmagomedov vs Song🟢Umar Nurmagomedov80%N/AYadong Song20%N/A
Perez vs Sumudaerji🟢Alex Perez56%N/ASumudaerji44%N/A
Yan vs Gomes🟢Xiaonan Yan58%N/ADenise Gomes42%N/A
Tsuruya vs Borjas🟡Rei Tsuruya65%N/AKevin Borjas35%N/A

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