UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 — Las Vegas

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, July 11, 2026
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
T-Mobile Arena
⚡ Upcoming Event12 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 5:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
PT (Local)
Las Vegas (PT shown)
Early
11:00 AM
Prelims
1:00 PM
Main
2:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
2:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
7:00 PM
Prelims
8:00 PM
Main
10:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
8:00 PM
Prelims
9:00 PM
Main
11:00 PM
AEST
Australia (East)
Early
6:00 AM (Sun)
Prelims
7:00 AM (Sun)
Main
9:00 AM (Sun)
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UFC 329 Las Vegas: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 — T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas — July 11, 2026

The UFC returns to Las Vegas with a blockbuster welterweight headliner: Conor McGregor (22-6) meets former featherweight champion Max Holloway (27-9) in a five-round rematch years in the making. McGregor still carries fight-ending power and sharp timing; Holloway brings elite cardio, volume, and durability that has aged gracefully into fresh weight classes.

The Paramount+ card stacks meaningful names — Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett, Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista, Olympic gold medalist Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison, and former title challenger Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh. AI-powered analytics cover every bout with best available odds and full card breakdowns.

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What is UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2?

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 is an MMA event on July 11, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The five-round welterweight main event pits Conor McGregor (22-6) against Max Holloway (27-9) — a stylistic clash between explosive finishing threat and high-output durability. The card airs on Paramount+ with a US-friendly evening window (main card listed at 5:00 PM ET). Highlights include Saint-Denis vs. Pimblett, Sandhagen vs. Bautista, Steveson vs. Ellison, and Royval vs. Kavanagh, plus deep prelims featuring veterans like Whittaker and Garbrandt.

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What are the predictions for Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway?

McGregor vs. Holloway is a premium main-event puzzle: McGregor can flip a fight in seconds with timing and power, while Holloway's pace, conditioning, and layered boxing volume tend to snowball as rounds accumulate. At welterweight, physicality and shot selection matter as much as cardio — expect swing rounds early with massive variance if McGregor lands clean. Every fight on the card below includes AI-generated win probabilities, best available odds, and detailed breakdowns to support informed analysis.

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How to watch UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 and what time does it start?

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 takes place Saturday, July 11, 2026. Main card at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM BST) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas hosts the action — a marquee Vegas night card with a stacked lineup top-to-bottom.

Main Event — Welterweight

McGregor vs. Holloway

Conor McGregor (22-6) runs it back with Max Holloway (27-9) at 170 pounds — power and timing against marathon pace and iron chin. Early volatility meets championship-round endurance in a true Vegas headliner.

Co-Main — Lightweight

Saint-Denis vs. Pimblett

Benoit Saint-Denis (17-3) brings relentless pressure and grappling malice; Paddy Pimblett (23-4) counters with slick scrambles and submission hunting. A stylistic firefight at 155 with real divisional stakes.

Undercard Spotlight

Sandhagen vs. Bautista & Royval vs. Kavanagh

Cory Sandhagen (18-6) vs. Mario Bautista (17-3) showcases technical range vs. athletic wrestling entries at bantamweight. Brandon Royval (17-9) vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (10-1) pairs chaotic creativity against a rising flyweight contender.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢
Welterweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

33%VS67%

Market Odds

⭐ Co-Main🟢
Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

58%VS42%

Market Odds

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Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

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Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

🟡
Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

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Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

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Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

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Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

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Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

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Featherweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

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Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
McGregor vs Holloway🟢Conor McGregor33%N/AMax Holloway67%N/A
Holloway +67.0%Early KO power vs volume supremacy
Saint-Denis vs Pimblett🟢Benoit Saint-Denis58%N/APaddy Pimblett42%N/A
Saint-Denis +58.0%Elite grappling vs iron chin
Sandhagen vs Bautista🟢Cory SandhagenUpcomingN/AMario BautistaUpcomingN/A
Upcoming
Royval vs Kavanagh🟡Brandon RoyvalUpcomingN/ALone'er KavanaghUpcomingN/A
Upcoming
Durden vs Osbourne🟢Cody DurdenUpcomingN/AOde OsbourneUpcomingN/A
Upcoming
Garbrandt vs Yanez🟢Cody GarbrandtUpcomingN/AAdrian YanezUpcomingN/A
Upcoming
III vs Riley🟡Kai Kamaka IIIUpcomingN/ALuke RileyUpcomingN/A
Upcoming
Whittaker vs Krylov🟢Robert WhittakerUpcomingN/ANikita KrylovUpcomingN/A
Upcoming
Cortez vs Wang🟢Tracy CortezUpcomingN/ACong WangUpcomingN/A
Upcoming

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