The UFC's loudest prospect meets its quietest wall. On Saturday, September 26, the Meta APEX hosts five bantamweight rounds: Raul "El Niño Problema" Rosas Jr. (12-1, #11, age 21) and his 6.10 takedowns per 15 minutes against Raoni Barcelos (22-5, #13, age 39) and an 88% takedown defense built over fifteen UFC bouts. Norma Dumont (#4) vs. Ailín Pérez (#5) features on the preliminary card. Model lean: Barcelos 57–43. Live on Paramount+ at 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT.
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Youth and grappling volume against the sturdiest wall in the building: Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1, 6.10 takedowns per 15) meets Raoni Barcelos (22-5, 88% takedown defense) over five rounds at the APEX. Model lean: Barcelos 57–43.
BetOnline is our preferred reference when available. We show the selected source and implied probability; this is not a guarantee of the best price across all books. Check the capture date before treating an estimated edge as current.
Main event
Bantamweight · 5 rounds
Market differences are not a ranking of best bets. Conviction is editorial; a close matchup does not automatically mean poor data.
Fights shown: 12/12 · Analyses available: 12/12
Tactical key
Rosas's high takedown volume meets Barcelos's recorded 88% takedown defence. The decisive distinction is between stopping the first shot and escaping the whole sequence: Rosas needs repeated entries and attacking positions, while Barcelos needs separation that lets him punish the next approach.
What limits this estimate
Raul Rosas Jr.: Land takedowns at will, early and often. His entire measured advantage lives in Round 1 — +3.8 differential, 45% takedown accuracy, 2:50 of control — against a documented slow starter, and every conversion is worth a round on the cards.
Raoni Barcelos: Stuff the first three entries and make the fourth expensive. 88% takedown defence over 41 attempts that rises to 92% by the third round, against a man whose only other tool lands 1.34 significant strikes per minute.
Reference quote: -180 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -18.9 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: +153 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +18.9 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Model estimate
Tactical key
Pérez needs to turn repeated wrestling entries into attacking positions against Dumont, rather than collect brief takedowns. Their contrasting results against Chiasson make that route worth examining, but a common opponent does not predict this fight; Dumont's hand-fighting and ability to separate remain central.
What limits this estimate
Norma Dumont: Sixty-seven inches of range in the middle of a cage she has to be willing to walk forward across. If Pérez is shooting from distance rather than locking hands on the fence, Dumont out-lands her by two rounds and wins a technical decision.
Ailín Pérez: A body lock on the fence inside the first ninety seconds. Three or four landed takedowns and six-plus minutes of control across fifteen minutes wins two rounds on modern scoring, even while losing the strike count.
Reference quote: +120 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +2.2 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: -140 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -2.2 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Model estimate
Not assessed
Tactical key
Length and a cold UFC sample against an unbeaten finisher with no UFC statistics. No win probability is assigned.
Editorial forecast: No clear lean
Model forecast pending.
What limits this estimate: A published UFC sample for Hernandez, or a market price at 205, is the point to put a number on this.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Tactical key
Both Akylbek Uulu and Osmanli have submission-heavy records, so the decisive moment may be who secures position after the initial scramble. Osmanli's submission loss makes defensive transitions worth watching, but one result does not prove a recurring weakness or guarantee the same opening here.
What limits this estimate
Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu: Turn the submission mirror into a back-control fight. Six career submissions and consecutive rear-naked chokes attack the method behind Osmanli's only loss.
Mehemmedeli Osmanli: Use the broader recent portfolio. Make Akylbek Uulu defend strikes before grappling, then build toward the Round-2 window that produced three supplied finishes.
Reference quote: +231 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +15.9 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: -279 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -15.9 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Tactical key
Black's nine decision wins support a route through consistent scoring across three rounds, while Amaya's knockout and submission wins offer ways to disrupt that rhythm. The key is whether Amaya can create decisive exchanges against sustained resistance; neither has a UFC sample to confirm that advantage.
What limits this estimate
Tina Black: Turn the debut into repeatable five-minute segments. If the fight reaches the cards without a clean Amaya finishing sequence, Black's nine decision wins and larger professional sample become the best evidence available.
Melissa Amaya: Break the decision rhythm. Amaya has a supplied finish in every round and wins 62.5% of her fights inside the distance; one decisive sequence can make the experience gap irrelevant.
Reference quote: -220 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -11.2 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: +185 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +11.2 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Tactical key
Nakamura's route is to close distance behind controlled entries and turn his wrestling into top-position offence. Hiestand's reach and submission attacks give him ways to contest the entry and threaten in scrambles. The first takedown matters less than who controls the transition that follows.
What limits this estimate
Rinya Nakamura: Close distance, chain takedowns with 82% accuracy, control top position and finish by ground-and-pound or bank damage for a decision.
Brady Hiestand: Use the 71-inch reach to manage space, survive the entries and hunt rear-naked chokes in scrambles — both of his Octagon finishes arrived in the third round.
Reference quote: -335 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -19.2 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: +273 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +19.2 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Tactical key
Vieira lands 3.09 takedowns per 15 minutes, but his recorded 23% conversion meets Bryczek's 85% takedown defence. Vieira needs to chain entries into top position before attacking the submission; Bryczek needs early separation and counters that make each re-entry costly. Limited samples temper that statistical contrast.
What limits this estimate
Rodolfo Vieira: Chain takedowns, establish top control, and finish by arm-triangle or choke — the Petrosyan template against a striker with 85% takedown defence but zero UFC submission offence.
Robert Bryczek: Manage the two-inch reach edge, sprawl on entries, and land the power combinations that stopped Tavares — especially if the fight is standing past ten minutes.
Reference quote: -145 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +1.0 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: +124 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -1.0 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Model estimate
Tactical key
Bellato's higher recorded output and accuracy give him a route through sustained attacking exchanges. Edwards needs to control distance and make those entries less efficient. His limited UFC minutes leave uncertainty about the size of the gap, especially if Bellato cannot maintain his preferred pace.
What limits this estimate
Rodolfo Bellato: Strikes get thrown and counted. At established rates he lands roughly 2.2 significant strikes for every one Edwards lands — some 44 more over fifteen minutes — and every takedown entry that comes back at him meets a 94% wall.
Christian Edwards: One clean shot on a 47% striking defence inside the first ten minutes, or fifteen very quiet minutes in which almost nothing is thrown and his 55% defence steals close rounds. There is very little middle ground.
Reference quote: -175 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +0.7 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: +149 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -0.7 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Tactical key
Brener is a cautious editorial selection at 60–40, with low conviction because Harrell is making 155 for the first time and Harrell's limited UFC sample.
What limits this estimate
Elves Brener: Fight at seventy-two inches for fifteen minutes. If he survives a nervy opening five and starts collecting the lead leg, his output curve and a 12:39 average fight time take the cards from a man with one career decision win.
Josiah Harrell: Close four and a half inches and make it a firefight. Brener has been out-landed in every UFC round he has ever fought and absorbs 5.86 a minute — accumulate on the fence and something breaks.
Reference quote: +111 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +14.4 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: -130 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -14.4 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Tactical key
Their first meeting showed that Jackson's striking advantage could be offset by Simón's wrestling. Jackson needs to pair clean combinations with immediate entry defence; Simón needs sustained attacking positions after the takedown. The 2018 result is tactical context, with substantial time for both fighters to have changed.
What limits this estimate
Montel Jackson: Fight at seventy-five inches for fifteen minutes and punish every failed entry. Simón misses roughly two of every three shots, and the counter left on a level change is the highest-value strike in the fight.
Ricky Simón: Win Rounds 1 and 2 outright. His takedown rate peaks at 1.31 and 1.43 in exactly those rounds, and Round 3 is his worst frame on every metric he owns.
Reference quote: -205 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -2.7 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: +173 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +2.7 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Model estimate
Tactical key
Castañeda's stronger recorded striking output and accuracy favour repeated exchanges at range. Alatengheili needs to interrupt that rhythm with pressure or grappling and make Castañeda defend before restarting. Historical round averages describe the pattern to test, not a guaranteed result in each round.
What limits this estimate
John Castañeda: Out-land him at nearly double the accuracy for as long as the fight lasts, and defend one telegraphed five-minute surge. He does not need a new idea — he needs the one his own round data already describes.
Alatengheili: Get to minute eleven within a round on the cards, then land the takedown. That is the entire plan, it has won him four fights, and it now points directly at a 76% takedown defence.
Reference quote: -330 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -7.9 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: +269 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +7.9 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Tactical key
Jauregui's high striking output targets Demopoulos's recorded 41% striking defence. Jauregui needs disciplined combinations and exits to keep that advantage in play; Demopoulos needs to interrupt the pace and force grappling exchanges where sustained striking volume matters less.
What limits this estimate
Yazmin Jauregui: Fight at 64 inches for fifteen minutes. Out-landing a 41%-striking-defence opponent by roughly two to one requires no cooperation from anybody, and she has never lost a decision.
Vanessa Demopoulos: One scramble in the first five minutes. A knockdown, a follow-up to the mat, and an armbar from guard — exactly the sequence that finished Silvana Gómez Juárez at UFC 270.
Reference quote: -850 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: -18.2 pp
Freshness unverified
Reference quote: +596 (BetOnline)
Edge vs no-vig market: +18.2 pp
Freshness unverified
Editorial assessment of the evidence, not a win probability or a calibrated confidence interval.
Deep Dive
The full story behind UFC Vegas — the narrative, the card spotlights, the questions everyone asks, and how the model reads thin data.
The Story
This UFC Vegas APEX card is a classic timeline test, and the main event is its purest collision. Raul "El Niño Problema" Rosas Jr. (12-1, #11, age 21) owns 6.10 takedowns per 15 minutes and the highest control-time percentage in UFC bantamweight history (56.9%) — including 16 takedowns on Rob Font, the second-most ever in a UFC bantamweight bout. Across from him, Raoni Barcelos (22-5, #13, age 39) is a five-time Brazilian national freestyle wrestling champion with 88% takedown defense — 5 of 41 attempts conceded across fifteen UFC bouts — and a five-fight win streak. It is youth and grappling volume against the sturdiest wall in the building, with the winner moving inside the bantamweight top ten.
MMA Analytics leans Barcelos 57% / Rosas 43% — five rounds extend Barcelos's documented strong-finisher window (his Round-3 output runs at 161% of his Round 1), and neither man has contested a Round 4 in the UFC. The co-main is a women's bantamweight rankings collision: Norma Dumont (#4, 13-3) versus Ailín Pérez (#5, 13-2) in the women's bantamweight co-main. Mickey Gall is off the card; Sedriques Dumas (10-5) meets unbeaten Luis Hernandez (8-0) at 205 on the main card. Rodolfo Vieira vs. Robert Bryczek is now a middleweight preliminary. Each matchup has a dedicated page.
Main Event — Bantamweight
01Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Ranked #11 vs. #13. Rosas brings 6.10 takedowns per 15 into Barcelos's 88% takedown defense — 5 of 41 attempts conceded. Model leans ~57% Barcelos over five rounds.
Full breakdown
Co-Main — Women's Bantamweight
02Dumont vs. Pérez
Official rankings collision moved to the co-main: Dumont is #4 (13-3) and Pérez is #5 (13-2). The model edges Pérez at ~54%, capped by Dumont's schedule and a career-long refusal to lose consecutive fights.
Full breakdown
Main Card — Light Heavyweight
03Dumas vs. Hernandez
Mickey Gall is out. Sedriques Dumas (10-5) meets unbeaten Luis Hernandez (8-0, The Stache) at 205. Hernandez's published line is 11.14 SLpM and 2.5 submissions per 15, with no UFC sample. No win probability is assigned.
Full breakdown
Prelim — Middleweight
04Vieira vs. Bryczek
Rodolfo Vieira (11-5) vs. Robert Bryczek (18-7) moved off the co-main onto the preliminary card at 185. Model leans Vieira ~58% / Bryczek 42%, conviction 5/10.
Full breakdown
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos is a UFC Vegas Fight Night on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada — a 12-fight card headlined by a five-round bantamweight main event. Raul "El Niño Problema" Rosas Jr. (12-1, ranked #11, age 21) brings 6.10 takedowns per 15 minutes and the highest control-time percentage in UFC bantamweight history (56.9%) against Raoni Barcelos (22-5, ranked #13, age 39), a five-time Brazilian national freestyle wrestling champion with 88% takedown defense measured over 41 attempts and a five-fight win streak. The co-main is Norma Dumont (#4) vs. Ailín Pérez (#5) at women's bantamweight. Mickey Gall is out; Sedriques Dumas meets Luis Hernandez at light heavyweight on the main card. MMA Analytics leans Barcelos 57% / Rosas 43%. The main card streams on Paramount+ at 8:00 PM ET (5:00 PM PT).
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos streams live from the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, September 26, 2026, with the main card beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Paramount+. Local Las Vegas time is 5:00 PM PT. Viewers in the United Kingdom and Ireland should expect a 1:00 AM BST start on Sunday, Central Europe tunes in at 2:00 AM CEST, and Abu Dhabi runs at 4:00 AM on Sunday. Prelims begin at 5:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM PT, also on Paramount+. All listed times follow the UFC.com listing and remain subject to broadcast changes; the timezone grid on this page covers ET, PT, BST, CEST, and UAE at a glance.
Main event, bantamweight, five rounds: Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1, #11) vs. Raoni Barcelos (22-5, #13). Co-main, women's bantamweight: Norma Dumont (13-3, #4) vs. Ailín Pérez (13-2, #5). Main card: Sedriques Dumas (10-5) vs. Luis Hernandez (8-0) at light heavyweight, replacing Mickey Gall; Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu (10-3) vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (12-1) at bantamweight; Tina Black, billed on some listings as Valesca Machado (15-4), vs. Melissa Amaya (8-0) at women's strawweight. Prelims: Rinya Nakamura (10-1) vs. Brady Hiestand (8-2) at bantamweight; Rodolfo Vieira (11-5) vs. Robert Bryczek (18-7) at middleweight; Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1) vs. Christian Edwards (8-5) at light heavyweight; Elves Brener (16-6) vs. Josiah Harrell (11-1) at lightweight; Montel Jackson (15-4, #19) vs. Ricky Simón (22-7-1, #27) at bantamweight; John Castañeda (21-8-1) vs. Alatengheili (17-10-2) at bantamweight; Yazmin Jauregui (11-2) vs. Vanessa Demopoulos (11-8) at women's strawweight.
MMA Analytics currently favors Raoni Barcelos at approximately 57% win probability versus Raul Rosas Jr. at 43% for the UFC Vegas bantamweight main event. The lean is the matchup's sturdiest defensive wall ( 88% TDD measured over 41 attempts) against the division's highest-volume takedown engine (6.10 TD/15, 56.9% career control). Round-by-round data makes it worse for the 21-year-old: Rosas's landed-minus-absorbed differential runs +3.8 in Round 1 then turns negative, his striking output is the second-lowest in a 79-man division, and he has never fought past fifteen minutes — while Barcelos is a documented strong finisher whose Round-3 output runs at 161% of his Round 1. Neither man has contested a Round 4 in the UFC, so five rounds extend Barcelos's best window. Conviction is capped by an eighteen-year age gap and a 39-year-old who was dropped in Round 1 five months ago. Full fight pages compare these model probabilities to BetOnline odds.
Yes. Raul Rosas Jr. (#11) vs. Raoni Barcelos (#13) is official as the five-round bantamweight main event at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Norma Dumont (#4) vs. Ailín Pérez (#5) is the women's bantamweight co-main. Mickey Gall withdrew; Sedriques Dumas now meets Luis Hernandez (8-0) at light heavyweight on the main card. All twelve fights stream on Paramount+; the card order above reflects the announced bout order and remains subject to change.
UFC experience describes the size of the available sample, not the chance of winning. A short UFC record leaves more uncertainty about how a fighter performs against different styles. Opponent quality, recent changes and missing statistics also matter; five bouts alone do not establish that a prediction is well calibrated.
Limited UFC sample
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Developing UFC sample
3-4 UFC Bouts
Some UFC evidence is available, but a few matchups can strongly influence the averages. Check opponent quality and the limitations in each analysis.
Established UFC sample
5+ UFC Bouts
More UFC observations are available. This does not guarantee predictive accuracy; changes in opposition, injuries and style can still limit the estimate.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. Analyst conviction is an editorial assessment, not a measured probability or statistical confidence interval.
Yellow marks our forecast favorite. The comparison shows our win estimate against the probability implied by each quote. Gap is in percentage points (pp), includes bookmaker margin, and is not expected return.
| Fight | Fighter A | Win estimate A | Market / implied A | Fighter B | Win estimate B | Market / implied B | Model / market & our read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jr. vs Barcelos🟢 | Raul Rosas Jr. | 43% | -180 (BetOnline)64.3% implied | Raoni BarcelosModel favorite | 57% | +153 (BetOnline)39.5% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapRaul Rosas Jr.43%64.3%-21.3 ppRaoni Barcelos57%39.5%+17.5 pp Our read: We favor Raoni Barcelos. The quoted price also offers a positive gap against our estimate. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Dumont vs Pérez🟢 | Norma Dumont | 46% | +120 (BetOnline)45.5% implied | Ailín PérezModel favorite | 54% | -140 (BetOnline)58.3% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapNorma Dumont46%45.5%+0.5 ppAilín Pérez54%58.3%-4.3 pp Our read: We narrowly lean Ailín Pérez. Norma Dumont offers the positive price gap, despite not being our outright pick. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Dumas vs Hernandez🔴 | Sedriques Dumas | — | N/A— | Luis Hernandez | — | N/A— | Matchup under review A numerical win estimate is not available yet, so we cannot assess the price gap. |
| Uulu vs Osmanli🔴 | Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu | 45% | +231 (BetOnline)30.2% implied | Mehemmedeli OsmanliModel favorite | 55% | -279 (BetOnline)73.6% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapIlimbek Akylbek Uulu45%30.2%+14.8 ppMehemmedeli Osmanli55%73.6%-18.6 pp Our read: We narrowly lean Mehemmedeli Osmanli. Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu offers the positive price gap, despite not being our outright pick. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Black vs Amaya🔴 | Tina BlackModel favorite | 55% | -220 (BetOnline)68.8% implied | Melissa Amaya | 45% | +185 (BetOnline)35.1% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapTina Black55%68.8%-13.8 ppMelissa Amaya45%35.1%+9.9 pp Our read: We narrowly lean Tina Black. Melissa Amaya offers the positive price gap, despite not being our outright pick. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Nakamura vs Hiestand🟡 | Rinya NakamuraModel favorite | 55% | -335 (BetOnline)77.0% implied | Brady Hiestand | 45% | +273 (BetOnline)26.8% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapRinya Nakamura55%77.0%-22.0 ppBrady Hiestand45%26.8%+18.2 pp Our read: We narrowly lean Rinya Nakamura. Brady Hiestand offers the positive price gap, despite not being our outright pick. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Vieira vs Bryczek🔴 | Rodolfo VieiraModel favorite | 58% | -145 (BetOnline)59.2% implied | Robert Bryczek | 42% | +124 (BetOnline)44.6% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapRodolfo Vieira58%59.2%-1.2 ppRobert Bryczek42%44.6%-2.6 pp Our read: We favor Rodolfo Vieira. Neither quote offers a meaningful positive gap against our estimate. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Bellato vs Edwards🔴 | Rodolfo BellatoModel favorite | 62% | -175 (BetOnline)63.6% implied | Christian Edwards | 38% | +149 (BetOnline)40.2% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapRodolfo Bellato62%63.6%-1.6 ppChristian Edwards38%40.2%-2.2 pp Our read: We favor Rodolfo Bellato. Neither quote offers a meaningful positive gap against our estimate. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Brener vs Harrell🔴 | Elves BrenerModel favorite | 60% | +111 (BetOnline)47.4% implied | Josiah Harrell | 40% | -130 (BetOnline)56.5% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapElves Brener60%47.4%+12.6 ppJosiah Harrell40%56.5%-16.5 pp Our read: We favor Elves Brener. The quoted price also offers a positive gap against our estimate. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Jackson vs Simón🟢 | Montel JacksonModel favorite | 62% | -205 (BetOnline)67.2% implied | Ricky Simón | 38% | +173 (BetOnline)36.6% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapMontel Jackson62%67.2%-5.2 ppRicky Simón38%36.6%+1.4 pp Our read: We favor Montel Jackson. Ricky Simón offers the positive price gap, despite not being our outright pick. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Castañeda vs Alatengheili🟢 | John CastañedaModel favorite | 66% | -330 (BetOnline)76.7% implied | Alatengheili | 34% | +269 (BetOnline)27.1% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapJohn Castañeda66%76.7%-10.7 ppAlatengheili34%27.1%+6.9 pp Our read: We favor John Castañeda. Alatengheili offers the positive price gap, despite not being our outright pick. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
| Jauregui vs Demopoulos🟢 | Yazmin JaureguiModel favorite | 68% | -850 (BetOnline)89.5% implied | Vanessa Demopoulos | 32% | +596 (BetOnline)14.4% implied | Win probabilityModelMarketGapYazmin Jauregui68%89.5%-21.5 ppVanessa Demopoulos32%14.4%+17.6 pp Our read: We favor Yazmin Jauregui. Vanessa Demopoulos offers the positive price gap, despite not being our outright pick. Quote dates unverified · recheck prices |
