Saturday, November 21, 2026 · Ali Bin Hamad al-Attiyah Arena, Doha · Paramount+ · 10:00 AM ET
Market differences are not a ranking of best bets. Conviction is editorial; a close matchup does not automatically mean poor data.
Fights shown: 2/2 · Analyses available: 0/2
Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.
A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.
A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.
Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.
Deep Dive
Two announced bouts. Win probabilities are not assigned yet.
The Card
Kyoji Horiguchi (36-6, ranked #6) meets Asu Almabayev (24-3, ranked #7) at flyweight over three rounds on the main card. Santiago Luna (8-1, ranked #44) meets Aleksandre Topuria (7-1, ranked #57) at bantamweight on the preliminary card. No five-round main event is announced.
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Almabayev is a UFC Fight Night on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at Ali Bin Hamad al-Attiyah Arena in Doha, Qatar. Two bouts are announced. Kyoji Horiguchi (36-6, #6) meets Asu Almabayev (24-3, #7) at flyweight over three rounds on the main card. Santiago Luna (8-1, #44) meets Aleksandre Topuria (7-1, #57) at bantamweight over three rounds on the preliminary card. The broadcast is Paramount+, with the main card listed at 10:00 AM ET.
The card is scheduled for Saturday, November 21, 2026 at Ali Bin Hamad al-Attiyah Arena in Doha, Qatar. The U.S. broadcast listing is 10:00 AM ET on Paramount+. Local Qatar time is 6:00 PM Arabia Standard Time. That listing can still move.
Two bouts are announced. Main card, flyweight, three rounds: Kyoji Horiguchi (36-6, ranked #6) vs. Asu Almabayev (24-3, ranked #7). Preliminary card, bantamweight, three rounds: Santiago Luna (8-1, ranked #44) vs. Aleksandre Topuria (7-1, ranked #57). Neither bout is booked for five rounds.
UFC experience describes the size of the available sample, not the chance of winning. A short UFC record leaves more uncertainty about how a fighter performs against different styles. Opponent quality, recent changes and missing statistics also matter; five bouts alone do not establish that a prediction is well calibrated.
Limited UFC sample
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Developing UFC sample
3-4 UFC Bouts
Some UFC evidence is available, but a few matchups can strongly influence the averages. Check opponent quality and the limitations in each analysis.
Established UFC sample
5+ UFC Bouts
More UFC observations are available. This does not guarantee predictive accuracy; changes in opposition, injuries and style can still limit the estimate.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. Analyst conviction is an editorial assessment, not a measured probability or statistical confidence interval.
