LightweightNOT FIGHTING
Clay Guida
38-22
Age
43
Height
5'7"
Weight
155 lbs
Reach
70"
Avg Fight Time
12:12
Gym
Joel Diaz Boxing
Wins By
7 KO · 14 Sub · 17 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
R1 2R2 4R3 12
Last 5
WLWWL
Finish Rate
55%
Bonuses
—
Style
Freestyle
Location
Round Lake, United States
Fight History
WIN
SS
vs Samy Schiavo
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punches to Head From Mount
R1 4:15
KO/TKOPunches to Head From Mount·R1 4:15
LOSS
DT
vs Din Thomas
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
TK
vs Tatsuya Kawajiri
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
MD
vs Mac Danzig
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
JS
vs Joaquim Silva
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
RG
vs Rafa Garcia
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
SH
vs Scott Holtzman
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
MM
vs Mark Madsen
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
WIN
MJ
vs Michael Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
CP
vs Claudio Puelles
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade· 2025-09-27
Submission
Kneebar From Bottom Half Guard
R1 3:01
SubmissionKneebar From Bottom Half Guard·R1 3:01
LOSS
KG
vs King Green
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
LS
vs Leonardo Santos
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo· 2025-09-27
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R2 1:21
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 1:21
LOSS
JM
vs Jim Miller
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler· 2025-09-27
Submission
Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard
R1 0:58
SubmissionGuillotine Choke After Drop to Guard·R1 0:58
WIN
JL
vs Joe Lauzon
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R1 1:07
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 1:07
WIN
EK
vs Erik Koch
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
TT
vs Thiago Tavares
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3· 2025-09-27
Submission
Guillotine Choke From Bottom
R1 0:39
SubmissionGuillotine Choke From Bottom·R1 0:39
WIN
RP
vs Robert Peralta
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
CH
vs Chase Hooper
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura· 2024-12-07
Submission
Armbar From Mount
R1 3:41
SubmissionArmbar From Mount·R1 3:41
WIN
BP
vs BJ Penn
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade· 2019-05-11
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
CO
vs Charles Oliveira
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2· 2018-06-09
Submission
Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard
R1 2:18
SubmissionGuillotine Choke After Drop to Guard·R1 2:18
LOSS
BO
vs Brian Ortega
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2· 2016-06-04
KO/TKO
Knee to Head At Distance
R3 4:40
KO/TKOKnee to Head At Distance·R3 4:40
LOSS
CM
vs Chad Mendes
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2· 2013-08-31
KO/TKO
Punch to Head In Clinch
R3 0:30
KO/TKOPunch to Head In Clinch·R3 0:30
LOSS
GM
vs Gray Maynard
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida· 2013-05-18
Decision - Split
R5 5:00
Decision - Split·R5 5:00
WIN
TG
vs Takanori Gomi
UFC 125: Resolution· 2011-01-01
Submission
Guillotine Choke From Bottom Half Guard
R2 4:27
SubmissionGuillotine Choke From Bottom Half Guard·R2 4:27
WIN
RD
vs Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen· 2010-08-07
Submission
Injury Jaw Injury
R3 1:51
SubmissionInjury Jaw Injury·R3 1:51
LOSS
KF
vs Kenny Florian
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez· 2009-12-12
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R2 2:19
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 2:19
WIN
ND
vs Nate Diaz
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2· 2009-01-31
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
WIN
MA
vs Marcus Aurelio
UFC 74: Respect· 2007-08-25
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
TG
vs Tyson Griffin
UFC 72: Victory· 2007-06-16
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
WIN
JJ
vs Justin James
UFC 64: Unstoppable· 2006-10-14
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R2 4:42
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 4:42
LOSS
DS
vs Diego Sanchez
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
RH
vs Roger Huerta
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R3 0:51
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R3 0:51
WIN
SG
vs Shannon Gugerty
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Submission
Arm Triangle From Side Control
R2 3:40
SubmissionArm Triangle From Side Control·R2 3:40
WIN
AP
vs Anthony Pettis
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
HH
vs Hatsu Hioki
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
BH
vs Benson Henderson
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
DB
vs Dennis Bermudez
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R2 2:57
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 2:57
Fighter Archetype
Submission Artist
Front-Choke Specialist
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
2.6/min
Grappling
3.10 TD
Defense
61%
⚖️Clay adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
22 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Knees
Core of offensive identity
Dominant Level
73%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Leg Kicks
64%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Elbows
50%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
🥊Head/Hand
Jabs
41%
⭐Other
Uppercuts
41%
Damage Events
36%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
3× detected
Clinch → Takedown
3× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Knees (73%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (137%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 269% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
2
29% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
5
71% of career finishes
⚡ Knockout Arsenal (2 techniques)
Punch to Head At Distance
#11
50% of KOs
Punches to Head From Mount
#21
50% of KOs
🔒 Submission Arsenal (4 techniques, 5 total finishes)
From Back Control
Rear Naked Choke
#12
40% of subs
From Guard
Guillotine Choke From Bottom Half Guard
#31
20% of subs
From Side Control
Arm Triangle From Side Control
#21
20% of subs
Other
Injury
Jaw Injury
#41
20% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡🔒 Submission specialist: 71% of career finishes via submission. Elite grappling with dangerous ground finishing.
- 🎯🎯 Signature KO: Punch to Head At Distance (1x, 50% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
- 🔒🔒 Submission arsenal: 4 different submission techniques. Led by Rear Naked Choke (2x). Versatile ground finisher.
- 🎪🎪 Finishing tool collection: 6 different techniques used. No clear pattern - adapts based on position and opportunity.
- 📊📊 Style profile: Grappling-dominant strategy with striking opportunities. Prefers ground control to finishing.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
⚖️
Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.💪
Peak strengths: TD/15min (3.1) and Strike Def% (61%).⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (24/100). Opponents exploit this.🛡️
Defensive stance: Strong defense (61%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
34%
Low
0%100%
Striking Defense
61%
Above Avg
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
26% acc65%
Clinch
70% acc14%
Ground
65% acc21%
Striking Differential-0.37/min
2.63 landed/min3.00 absorbed/min
2.63
Landed/Min
3.00
Absorbed/Min
0.18
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed1285
Sig. Strikes Attempted3798
Key Insights
Clay is active on the ground (25%).
Uses leg kicks strategically (22%).
Utilizes an effective jab.
Effective ground striker: 21% from ground at 65% accuracy.
High pace fighter: 4.3 strikes/min engagement.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
36%
Below Avg
0%100%
TD Defense
66%
Elite
0%100%
TD Success Rate
22%
Landed
63
Defended
218
Total
281
3.10
TD / 15min
0.61
Sub / 15min
63
TD Landed
281
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
156
Landed
464
Attempted
34%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
16 total attempts
Opportunistic
R1
19%
R2
56%
R3
25%
Key Insights
Aggressive wrestler averaging 3.10 TD/15min.
Solid TD defense at 66%.
14 career submission wins.
Prolific submission hunter: 16 career attempts.
Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.
Ground active: 21% of output from ground position.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
2,312
1.15
Ratio
Absorbed
2,018
Chin Rating
GoodKD Exchange
12/8
KD Recovery
25%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
37.3
High
Strikes/Min
4.3
Standing %
66%
R3 vs R1 Output
96%
Key Insights
⚠️ Struggles after knockdowns - only 25% win rate when dropped.
⚙️ High engagement score (37.3) - maintains relentless pace.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 37 fights
R1 Control
1:23
R2 Control
2:04
R3 Control
1:46
R1 to Final
+10%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Adapts targeting and range based on opponent and fatigue.
Target Selection Evolution
Head
-5.3pp
Body
+10.1pp
Leg
-4.7pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
+1.3pp
Round Patterns
➡️ Maintains consistent output throughout fight
Championship Rounds
Based on 1 five-round fight
Rounds 1-3 Avg
12.5
sig strikes / round
Rounds 4-5 Avg
10.5
sig strikes / round
Output Change
84%
R4-5 vs R1-3
Slight Fade
Competitive Profile
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
2947
EliteCareer-wide opponent strength
Elite Wins (ELO 3000+)
0
/ 6
0% Win Rate
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights