Who is fighting at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld?

The lightweight main event features Mateusz Gamrot (26-4) vs. Quillan Salkilld (12-1). The co-main is Billy Quarantillo vs. Diego Ferreira. Main-card depth includes Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle, Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara, and Ty Miller vs. Billy Ray Goff, plus prelims such as Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda, Miles Johns vs. Jessie Rosas, and José Montanha's UFC heavyweight debut against Louie Sutherland.

Who does the MMA Analytics model favor in Gamrot vs. Salkilld?

MMA Analytics' five-model ensemble leans Mateusz Gamrot at approximately 62% win probability versus Quillan Salkilld at 38%. The lean is driven by Gamrot's elite wrestling (rank-tier takedown defense near 83%), proven five-round motor, and the smaller 25-foot APEX cage that compresses space for clinch entries. Salkilld's path is early power and explosive wrestling volume (7.25 takedowns per 15 minutes). Full fight-page breakdowns compare model probabilities to BetOnline market odds for every bout on the card.

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld

Q: What is UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld?

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld is a UFC Apex card on Saturday, August 8, 2026, at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The lightweight main event pairs Mateusz Gamrot (26-4) — a pressure wrestler with 83% takedown defense — against Quillan Salkilld (12-1), an undefeated-in-the-UFC prospect averaging 5.01 significant strikes per minute. The bout is contested inside the smaller 25-foot APEX Octagon, five feet tighter than a standard UFC cage, which historically rewards clinch work and wrestling sequences. The card streams on Paramount+ with the main card at 6:00 PM ET.

Saturday, August 8, 2026

Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Meta APEX

⚡ Upcoming Event12 Fights

Main Card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Start Time: 6:00 PM ET

Start Time by Timezone

Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.

Eastern US/Canada

Main Card

6:00 PM

Pacific US/Canada (Local)

Main Card

3:00 PM

BST

United Kingdom / Ireland

Main Card

11:00 PM

CET

Central Europe

Main Card

12:00 AM (Sun)

Abu Dhabi, UAE

Main Card

2:00 AM (Sun)

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Las Vegas Apex: Why the 25-Foot Cage Changes Gamrot vs. Salkilld

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld — Meta APEX, Las Vegas — August 8, 2026

This Apex card is a classic veteran-vs-prospect lightweight story — with a geometric twist. Mateusz Gamrot (26-4) is a durable pressure wrestler with 83% takedown defense and years of five-round pacing. Quillan Salkilld (12-1) is still undefeated in the UFC, averaging 5.01 significant strikes per minute and 7.25 takedowns per 15 minutes. They meet inside Meta APEX's 25-foot Octagon — five feet smaller than a standard cage — which compresses exits, rewards clinch entries, and historically tilts toward wrestlers who can pin opponents to the fence.

Our ensemble currently leans Gamrot near 62%, with Salkilld's live path centered on early power and chaotic wrestling volume before the grind sets in. The co-main keeps the lightweight theme alive: Billy Quarantillo vs. Diego Ferreira. Also on Paramount+: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara at strawweight, Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Bruno Lopes at light heavyweight, and José Montanha's heavyweight debut. Every bout below includes BetOnline odds, model probabilities, and a full breakdown.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld?

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld is a UFC Apex event on August 8, 2026, at Meta APEX in Las Vegas. The lightweight main event pits pressure wrestler Mateusz Gamrot (26-4) against rising finisher Quillan Salkilld (12-1) inside the smaller 25-foot Octagon. Main card starts at 6:00 PM ET on Paramount+.

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What is the matchup between Gamrot and Salkilld?

Gamrot vs. Salkilld is veteran grinding wrestling against explosive prospect volume. Gamrot's 83% takedown defense and five-round motor set a slow-bleed pace; Salkilld answers with 7.25 takedowns per 15 minutes and 5.01 SLpM. The Apex cage shrinks the escape routes that usually keep athletes upright for 25 minutes. Our model currently projects Gamrot around 62% — Salkilld remains live if he forces chaos early. Every fight below includes BetOnline odds and a full breakdown.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld takes place Saturday, August 8, 2026. Main card at 6:00 PM ET (3:00 PM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. Meta APEX in Las Vegas hosts the action.

Main Event — Lightweight

Gamrot vs. Salkilld

Mateusz Gamrot (26-4) brings pressure wrestling and an 83% takedown defense rate against the explosive volume of unbeaten-in-the-UFC Quillan Salkilld (12-1).

Co-Main — Lightweight

Quarantillo vs. Ferreira

Billy Quarantillo (18-7) meets veteran Diego Ferreira (19-7) in a lightweight bout between two finishers — 72% and 63% career finish rates across a combined 28 Octagon appearances.

Undercard Spotlight

Lemos vs. Thainara & Nurgozhay vs. Lopes

Amanda Lemos (15-6-1) takes on unbeaten Alexia Thainara (14-1) at strawweight, while Diyar Nurgozhay (11-2) meets Bruno Lopes (14-3) at light heavyweight.

UFC Debut

Montanha vs. Sutherland

José Montanha (6-1) makes his official UFC debut against Louie Sutherland (11-5, 1-2 in the UFC) in a heavyweight bout — the card's clearest new-blood test.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main eventEstablished UFC sample (5+ bouts each)

Mateusz Gamrot

26-4-0

Lightweight

5 Rounds

Model estimate

62%VS38%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Quillan Salkilld

12-1-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

⭐ Co-MainEstablished UFC sample (5+ bouts each)

Billy Quarantillo

18-7-0

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

55%VS45%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Diego Ferreira

19-7-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Developing UFC sample (3–4 bouts)

Darren Elkins

29-12-0

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

46%VS54%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Yadier del Valle

10-1-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Developing UFC sample (3–4 bouts)

Amanda Lemos

15-6-1

Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

57%VS43%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Alexia Thainara

14-1-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Limited UFC sample (<3 bouts)

Ty Miller

7-0-0

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

58%VS42%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Billy Ray Goff

9-4-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Limited UFC sample (<3 bouts)

Steven Asplund

7-2-0

Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

55%VS45%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Guilherme Pat

6-1-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Developing UFC sample (3–4 bouts)

Diyar Nurgozhay

11-2-0

Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

55%VS45%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Bruno Lopes

14-3-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Limited UFC sample (<3 bouts)

José Montanha

6-1-0

Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

48%VS52%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Louie Sutherland

11-5-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Limited UFC sample (<3 bouts)

Manoel Sousa

14-1-0

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

53%VS47%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Richie Miranda

13-1-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Limited UFC sample (<3 bouts)

Miles Johns

15-5-0

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

52%VS48%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Jessie Rosas

8-1-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Developing UFC sample (3–4 bouts)

Juliana Miller

5-4-0

Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

55%VS45%

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Ravena Oliveira

7-4-1

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Limited UFC sample (<3 bouts)

Gigi Canuto

7-1-0

Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Model estimate

Not assessed

Market Odds

……

Model win probability vs reference market odds

Carol Foro

9-1-0

Model forecast pending. A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Uncertainty & price details

A current matchup estimate is required before publishing win probabilities, fair odds or expected value. No betting edge is established for this preview.

Quotes older than 48 hours are marked outdated. EV at an old or undated price is a historical calculation, not a current opportunity. Date-only snapshots have no verified capture time.

View fight preview

Meta APEX uses a 25-foot Octagon, five feet smaller than the standard UFC event cage.

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Fight	Fighter A	Model Prob A	Market Odds A	Implied Prob A	Fighter B	Model Prob B	Market Odds B	Implied Prob B
Gamrot vs Salkilld🟢	Mateusz Gamrot	62%	N/A	—	Quillan Salkilld	38%	N/A	—
Quarantillo vs Ferreira🟢	Billy Quarantillo	55%	N/A	—	Diego Ferreira	45%	N/A	—
Elkins vs Valle🟡	Darren Elkins	46%	N/A	—	Yadier del Valle	54%	N/A	—
Lemos vs Thainara🟡	Amanda Lemos	57%	N/A	—	Alexia Thainara	43%	N/A	—
Nurgozhay vs Lopes🟡	Diyar Nurgozhay	55%	N/A	—	Bruno Lopes	45%	N/A	—
Miller vs Oliveira🟡	Juliana Miller	55%	N/A	—	Ravena Oliveira	45%	N/A	—

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