vs – Fight Analytics & Prediction

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The Frame

What this fight is really about — and the measurements that shape it

The Analyst's Take

Attribute

Age

Height

Reach

Leg Reach

Stance

Team

Octagon Debut

Fighting Style

Venue Factor

The Fighters

Careers, chins, schedules — and the form they bring into the cage

Pro Record

UFC Record

Streak

Finish Rate

Avg Fight Time

Chin · SOS ·

Pro Record

UFC Record

Streak

Finish Rate

Avg Fight Time

Chin · SOS ·

0 dealt · 0 absorbed

Knockdown Exchange

KD dealt vs absorbed

0 dealt · 0 absorbed

signature weapons

×0

signature weapons

×0

Pattern

Win Methods

Wins by Round

Win Methods

Wins by Round

Critical Insight

Common Opponents

Opponent

The Numbers

Composites, division ranks and round-by-round evidence

Striking

SLpM 25% · StrAcc 30% · StrDef 30% · SApM 15%

Grappling

TD/15 25% · TDAcc 25% · TDDef 30% · Sub/15 20%

Technical

(Striking + Grappling) / 2

Cardio

Fight time · pace · R3/R1 output · champ rounds

Overall

(Technical + Cardio) / 2

Metric
Avg Fight TimeAvg Fight TimeAverage fight duration — long averages mark proven cardio and decision-ready grinders.
Pace Tier
R3/R1 OutputR3/R1 OutputThird-round output as % of first-round output. Above 100% = builds into the fight; below = fades.
Slow Start %Slow Start %Share of fights where the fighter starts below their usual pace. 0% = fast starter every time.
Champ RoundsChamp RoundsEvidence from rounds 4-5 — only fighters with five-round experience have data here.

Archetype Base Rate

50%50%

· 0 fighters

Stat	rank	Div avg	rank
SLpMSLpMSignificant Strikes Landed per Minute — offensive striking volume. Higher = busier striker.	0/0		0/0
Str AccStr AccStriking Accuracy — share of significant strikes thrown that land. Higher = more precise.	0/0		0/0
Str DefStr DefStriking Defense — share of opponents' significant strikes that do NOT land. Higher = harder to hit.	0/0		0/0
SApMSApMSignificant Strikes Absorbed per Minute — how much a fighter gets hit. Lower = better.	0/0		0/0
KD AvgKD AvgKnockdown Average — knockdowns scored per 15 minutes. The one-shot power indicator.	0/0		0/0
Damage RatioDamage RatioStrikes landed vs absorbed, normalized. Above 1.15 (division avg) = you hurt more than you get hurt.	0/0		0/0
TD/15TD/15Takedowns Landed per 15 minutes — wrestling pressure / takedown engine.	0/0		0/0
TD DefTD DefTakedown Defense — share of opponents' takedown attempts stuffed.	—	—	—
Sub/15Sub/15Submission Attempts per 15 minutes — how actively a fighter hunts the finish on the mat.	0/0		0/0
Avg Fight TimeAvg Fight TimeAverage fight duration — long averages mark proven cardio and decision-ready grinders.	—	—	—

Statistical Verdict

Significant Strikes Landed per Round

⚠ R1, R2, R3, R4, R5: single-fight sample for

Control Time per Round (sec)

Critical Insight

Strike Targeting (career avg)

Head hunting vs body work vs leg attack — the shape of the damage.

Range Profile — where the minutes go

0%Distance0%

0%Clinch0%

0%Ground0%

Share of strike volume by range — who lives in open space and who lives chest-to-chest or on the mat.

The Story of the Fight

Advantages, worst cases, gameplans — and the patterns underneath

Where the fight lives

Who owns each phase — and by how much

Open SpaceEven

Pocket / ExchangesEven

ClinchEven

GroundEven

Path to Victory

Why they win

The gameplan

Path to Victory

Why they win

The gameplan

Danger Zone

How loses

Danger Zone

How loses

The Five-Round Clock

danger window danger windowNeutral / contested

R1 · 0:00–5:00

Critical Insight

Finish Threat by Round

Share of each fighter's wins that end in each round — early finishers spike left, grinders rise right.

The Verdict

One hundred simulated fights, the betting market, and our conviction

100 Simulated Fights

— 0% — 0% — 0% — 0% — 0% — 0%

Each square = 1 simulated fight. gold · orange · full color = decision, 70% = submission, 45% = KO/TKO.

Fight Scripts

of simulations

Scripted outcomes for vs — how each version of this fight unfolds.

win probability

KO/TKODECSUB

win probability

KO/TKODECSUB

Projected Scorecards

How the model scores each round

Even

Moneyline

Props: model vs market

Implied %	Model %	Fair	Verdict
0.0%	0.0%	—	FAIR
0.0%	0.0%	—	FAIR
0.0%	0.0%	—	FAIR
0.0%	0.0%	—	FAIR
0.0%	0.0%	—	FAIR

Best Value

Conviction

0/10

Lean: .

What backs the lean

What limits it

Final Assessment

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