UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, August 15, 2026
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
Xfinity Mobile Arena
⚡ Upcoming Event10 Fights🏆 2 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 5:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada (Local)
Main Card
5:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Main Card
2:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Main Card
10:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Main Card
11:00 PM
AE
Abu Dhabi, UAE
Main Card
1:00 AM (Sun)
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Philadelphia: Two-Title Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry — Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia — August 15, 2026

UFC 330 carries two championships. In the main event, Islam Makhachev (28-1) defends the welterweight title against unbeaten challenger Ian Machado Garry (17-1). Makhachev brings elite control — 91% takedown defense and 1.13 submission attempts per 15 minutes. The co-main is a strawweight title fight: Mackenzie Dern (16-5) challenges champion Gillian Robertson (17-8).

The Paramount+ card also features Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius, veteran Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics, and Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes. Every bout below includes best available odds and a full breakdown.

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What is UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry?

UFC 330 is a pay-per-view event on August 15, 2026, at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, headlined by two title fights. Islam Makhachev (28-1) defends the welterweight championship against Ian Machado Garry (17-1), while Mackenzie Dern (16-5) challenges Gillian Robertson (17-8) for the strawweight title. The card airs on Paramount+ (main card at 5:00 PM ET).

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What is the matchup between Makhachev and Machado Garry?

Makhachev vs. Machado Garry pits championship-level control against an unbeaten challenger: Makhachev's 91% takedown defense and 1.13 submission attempts per 15 minutes have defined his title reign, while Machado Garry enters undefeated in the UFC. Every fight on the card below includes best available odds and a full breakdown on its fight page.

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How to watch UFC 330 and what time does it start?

UFC 330 takes place Saturday, August 15, 2026. Main card at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia hosts the action.

Main Event — UFC Welterweight Championship

Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Champion Islam Makhachev (28-1) defends against unbeaten challenger Ian Machado Garry (17-1) in a title bout with real stakes at the top of the welterweight division.

Co-Main — UFC Strawweight Championship

Dern vs. Robertson

Mackenzie Dern (16-5) challenges champion Gillian Robertson (17-8) for the strawweight title in a second title fight on the card.

Undercard Spotlight

Blanchfield vs. Jasudavicius & Barboza vs. Ribovics

Erin Blanchfield (14-2) meets Jasmine Jasudavicius (15-4) at flyweight, while veteran Edson Barboza (24-14) takes on rising Esteban Ribovics (15-3) at lightweight.

Deepest Card of the Summer

A Veteran-Heavy Lineup

Neil Magny (31-14) and Edson Barboza (24-14) each carry 20+ UFC bouts into this card. Kauê Fernandes (11-2) is the lone fighter here who hasn't yet cleared five UFC appearances.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢
🏆 UFC Welterweight Championship
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

74%VS26%

Market Odds

⭐ Co-Main🟢
🏆 UFC Strawweight Championship
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

54%VS46%

Market Odds

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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

64%VS36%

Market Odds

🟢
Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

40%VS60%

Market Odds

🟢
Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

77%VS23%

Market Odds

🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Neil Magny

Neil Magny

31-14-0

Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

🟡🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob B
Makhachev vs Garry🟢Islam Makhachev74%N/AIan Machado Garry26%N/A
Dern vs Robertson🟢Mackenzie Dern54%N/AGillian Robertson46%N/A
Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius🟢Erin Blanchfield64%N/AJasmine Jasudavicius36%N/A
Barboza vs Ribovics🟢Edson Barboza40%N/AEsteban Ribovics60%N/A
Luque vs Gore🟢Vicente Luque77%N/ATresean Gore23%N/A
Abdul-Malik vs Stoltzfus🟢Mansur Abdul-MalikUpcomingN/ADustin StoltzfusUpcomingN/A
Wells vs Orolbai🟢Jeremiah WellsUpcomingN/AMyktybek OrolbaiUpcomingN/A
Neal vs Njokuani🟢Geoff NealUpcomingN/AChidi NjokuaniUpcomingN/A
Magny vs Brahimaj🟢Neil MagnyUpcomingN/ARamiz BrahimajUpcomingN/A
Turner vs Fernandes🟡Jalin TurnerUpcomingN/AKauê FernandesUpcomingN/A

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