UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree — Abu Dhabi

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, July 25, 2026
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Etihad Arena
⚡ Upcoming Event12 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 9:00 AM ET
Main Card Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.
GST (Local)
Abu Dhabi (GST)
Main Card
5:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Main Card
9:00 AM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Main Card
6:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Main Card
2:00 PM
CEST
Central Europe
Main Card
3:00 PM
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Abu Dhabi: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree — Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi — July 25, 2026

The UFC returns to Abu Dhabi with a light heavyweight headliner: Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) faces dangerous power-striker Khalil Rountree Jr. (14-7). Ankalaev pairs suffocating top control with sharp, patient counter-striking; Rountree brings ferocious leg kicks and one-shot knockout power that can flip any round.

The Paramount+ card is loaded with elite prospects — Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1) vs. David Martinez, plus heavyweights Valter Walker and Rizvan Kuniev, and flyweight contender Steve Erceg. AI-powered analytics cover every bout with best available odds and full card breakdowns.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree?

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree It is an MMA event on July 25, 2026, at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The main event pits Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) against Khalil Rountree Jr. (14-7) — elite control and counter-striking against explosive knockout power. The card airs on Paramount+ (main card listed at 9:00 AM ET). Highlights include Umar Nurmagomedov vs. David Martinez and Steve Erceg vs. Ramazan Temirov.

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What are the predictions for Magomed Ankalaev vs. Khalil Rountree Jr.?

Ankalaev vs. Rountree is a control-vs-power equation: Ankalaev's wrestling, top pressure and disciplined striking favor a points-and-grind path, while Rountree's leg kicks and concussive power create real finishing variance in every exchange. Whether Ankalaev can neutralize Rountree's offense early is the key question. Every fight on the card below includes AI-generated win probabilities, best available odds, and detailed breakdowns.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree It takes place Saturday, July 25, 2026. Main card at 9:00 AM ET (5:00 PM local Abu Dhabi / 6:00 AM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi hosts the action — a morning US window for an evening card in the Gulf.

Main Event — Light Heavyweight

Ankalaev vs. Rountree

Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) faces Khalil Rountree Jr. (14-7) at 205 pounds — elite top control and counter-striking against ferocious leg kicks and one-shot knockout power.

Co-Main — Bantamweight

Nurmagomedov vs. Martinez

Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1) brings elite wrestling and slick striking against the rising David Martinez (14-1). A high-level bantamweight test with division-shaping stakes.

Undercard Spotlight

Walker, Kuniev & Erceg

Heavyweights Valter Walker (15-1) and Rizvan Kuniev (14-3-1) add finishing power, while former title challenger Steve Erceg (14-4) meets unbeaten-minded Ramazan Temirov (19-2) at flyweight.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢
Magomed Ankalaev

Magomed Ankalaev

21-2-1

Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

72%VS28%

Market Odds

……
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Khalil Rountree Jr.

14-7-0

⭐ Co-Main🔴
Umar Nurmagomedov

Umar Nurmagomedov

20-1-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

75%VS25%

Market Odds

……
David Martinez

David Martinez

14-1-0

🟢
Valter Walker

Valter Walker

15-1-0

Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

58%VS42%

Market Odds

……
Thomas Petersen

Thomas Petersen

11-4-0

🔴
Rizvan Kuniev

Rizvan Kuniev

14-3-1

Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

57%VS43%

Market Odds

……
Tyrell Fortune

Tyrell Fortune

18-3-0

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Steve Erceg

Steve Erceg

14-4-0

Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

62%VS38%

Market Odds

……
Ramazan Temirov

Ramazan Temirov

19-2-0

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Ismael Bonfim

Ismael Bonfim

20-6-0

Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

45%VS55%

Market Odds

……
Axel Sola

Axel Sola

11-1-1

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Brendson Ribeiro

Brendson Ribeiro

17-10-0

Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

41%VS59%

Market Odds

……
Magomed Tuchalov

Magomed Tuchalov

6-0-0

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Magomedrasul Gasanov

Magomedrasul Gasanov

23-2-0

Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

60%VS40%

Market Odds

……
Abubakar Vagaev

Abubakar Vagaev

24-4-0

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Islam Dulatov

Islam Dulatov

12-1-0

Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

62%VS38%

Market Odds

……
Wellington Turman

Wellington Turman

18-8-0

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Abdul Hussein

Abdul Hussein

15-2-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

55%VS45%

Market Odds

……
Muin Gafurov

Muin Gafurov

20-7-0

🟡🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Nurullo Aliev

Nurullo Aliev

11-0-0

Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

60%VS40%

Market Odds

……
Mike Davis

Mike Davis

12-3-0

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Damian Rzepecki

Damian Rzepecki

10-0-0

Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

45%VS55%

Market Odds

……
Magomed Zaynukov

Magomed Zaynukov

8-0-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Ankalaev vs Jr.🟢Magomed Ankalaev72%N/A—Khalil Rountree Jr.28%N/A—
Ankalaev +72.0%Elite control & counter-striking vs one-shot power
Walker vs Petersen🟢Valter Walker58%N/A—Thomas Petersen42%N/A—
Walker +58.0%Leg-lock & sub threat vs heavy-handed wrestler
Aliev vs Davis🟡Nurullo Aliev60%N/A—Mike Davis40%N/A—
Aliev +60.0%Undefeated grappling-decision vs veteran

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