UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez — Belgrade

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, August 1, 2026
Belgrade, Serbia
Belgrade Arena
⚡ Upcoming Event13 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 11:00 AM ET
Main Card Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.
CEST (Local)
Belgrade (CEST)
Main Card
5:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Main Card
11:00 AM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Main Card
8:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Main Card
4:00 PM
AEST
Australia (East)
Main Card
1:00 AM (Sun)
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Belgrade: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez — Belgrade Arena, Belgrade — August 1, 2026

The UFC makes its debut in Belgrade with a welterweight headliner: hometown favorite Uros Medic (13-3) faces battle-tested veteran Daniel Rodriguez (20-5). Medic is an explosive, finish-hunting striker with serious power; Rodriguez brings volume boxing, a granite chin and deep championship-level experience.

The Paramount+ card leans on European firepower — heavyweights Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakić, former champion Jan Błachowicz vs. Bogdan Guskov, and Ľudovít Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev. AI-powered analytics cover every bout with best available odds and full card breakdowns.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez?

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez It is an MMA event on August 1, 2026, at Belgrade Arena in Belgrade, Serbia. The main event pits Uros Medic (13-3) against Daniel Rodriguez (20-5) — explosive finishing power against durable volume boxing. The card airs on Paramount+ (main card listed at 11:00 AM ET). Highlights include Tybura vs. Rakić and Błachowicz vs. Guskov.

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What are the predictions for Uros Medic vs. Daniel Rodriguez?

Medic vs. Rodriguez is power-vs-pace: Medic's explosive entries and finishing instinct create early danger, while Rodriguez's volume, durability and ring craft reward a longer, accumulating fight. Whether Medic can land clean before Rodriguez settles into rhythm is the central question. Every fight on the card below includes AI-generated win probabilities, best available odds, and detailed breakdowns.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez It takes place Saturday, August 1, 2026. Main card at 11:00 AM ET (5:00 PM local Belgrade / 8:00 AM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. Belgrade Arena in Serbia hosts the action — a daytime US window for an evening card in the Balkans.

Main Event — Welterweight

Medic vs. Rodriguez

Uros Medic (13-3) meets Daniel Rodriguez (20-5) at 170 pounds — explosive finishing power against durable, high-volume boxing and deep veteran experience.

Co-Main — Heavyweight

Tybura vs. Rakić

Veteran Marcin Tybura (27-11) brings grappling and pressure against the rangy striking of Aleksandar Rakić (14-6) in a meaningful heavyweight clash.

Undercard Spotlight

Błachowicz vs. Guskov & Klein vs. Musayev

Former light heavyweight champion Jan Błachowicz (29-11-2) faces surging Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1), while Ľudovít Klein (24-5-1) tests Tofiq Musayev (23-6) at lightweight.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Welterweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

47%VS53%

Market Odds

⭐ Co-Main🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

45%VS55%

Market Odds

🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

45%VS55%

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

68%VS32%

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

53%VS47%

Market Odds

🟡🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

57%VS43%

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

63%VS37%

Market Odds

🟡🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Featherweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

56%VS44%

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

54%VS46%

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

64%VS36%

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

46%VS54%

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

58%VS42%

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

42%VS58%

Market Odds

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Medic vs Rodriguez🟢Uros Medic47%N/ADaniel Rodriguez53%N/A
Rodriguez +53.0%Explosive finisher vs durable volume boxer
Tybura vs Rakić🟢Marcin Tybura45%N/AAleksandar Rakić55%N/A
Rakić +55.0%Grappling-pressure vs rangy striking (Rakić to HW)
Błachowicz vs Guskov🟢Jan Błachowicz45%N/ABogdan Guskov55%N/A
Guskov +55.0%Aging former champ vs rising KO power
Todorović vs Valentin🟡Duško Todorović57%N/ARobert Valentin43%N/A
Todorović +57.0%Experience & clinch KO vs raw opponent
Grad vs Buzukja🟡Bogdan Grad56%N/ADennis Buzukja44%N/A
Grad +56.0%Grappling control vs striking

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