UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, August 22, 2026
Sacramento, California, United States
Golden 1 Center
⚡ Upcoming Event9 Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 5:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Main Card
5:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Main Card
2:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Main Card
10:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Main Card
11:00 PM
AE
Abu Dhabi, UAE
Main Card
1:00 AM (Sun)
Free newsletter

Get picks for this card

🥊

Sacramento: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues — Golden 1 Center, Sacramento — August 22, 2026

A middleweight main event pits Anthony Hernandez (15-3), a suffocating wrestler averaging 6.46 takedowns per 15 minutes, against Gregory Rodrigues (19-6), who owns 90% takedown defense and heavy hands. The co-main features Reinier de Ridder (21-4) against Roman Dolidze (15-5).

The Paramount+ card also features a heavyweight clash between Serghei Spivac and Vitor Petrino, plus Shamil Gaziev vs. Kennedy Nzechukwu. Every bout below includes best available odds and a full breakdown.

🥊

What is UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues?

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues is an MMA event on August 22, 2026, at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. The main event pits Anthony Hernandez (15-3) against Gregory Rodrigues (19-6) at middleweight. The card airs on Paramount+ (main card at 5:00 PM ET).

🤖

What is the matchup between Hernandez and Rodrigues?

Hernandez vs. Rodrigues is grappling volume against durable power: Hernandez's high takedown output (6.46 per 15 minutes) looks to control range and pace, while Rodrigues' 90% takedown defense and heavier output (5.54 significant strikes landed per minute) reward staying upright. Every fight on the card below includes best available odds and a full breakdown on its fight page.

📺

How to watch UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues takes place Saturday, August 22, 2026. Main card at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. Golden 1 Center in Sacramento hosts the action.

Main Event — Middleweight

Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Anthony Hernandez (15-3) brings a wrestling-heavy attack against the durable power of Gregory Rodrigues (19-6), who has stopped takedowns at a 90% clip in the UFC.

Co-Main — Middleweight

de Ridder vs. Dolidze

Reinier de Ridder (21-4) meets veteran Roman Dolidze (15-5) in a middleweight bout with real divisional stakes.

Undercard Spotlight

Spivac vs. Petrino & Gaziev vs. Nzechukwu

Serghei Spivac (18-6) takes on Vitor Petrino (14-2) at heavyweight, while Shamil Gaziev (14-3) meets Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-6-1) in another big-man clash.

Prospect Watch

Judice vs. Chaves

Jeisla Chaves (7-0) fights for just the second time in the UFC after a debut win in June 2026, taking on the more tested Carli Judice (6-2) at flyweight.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢
Middleweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

67%VS33%

Market Odds

⭐ Co-Main🟢
Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

65%VS35%

Market Odds

🟢
Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

57%VS43%

Market Odds

🔴
Middleweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

54%VS46%

Market Odds

🔴
Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

59%VS41%

Market Odds

🟡🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

🟢🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

🔴🔒 Full analysis coming soon
Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob B
Hernandez vs Rodrigues🟢Anthony Hernandez67%N/AGregory Rodrigues33%N/A
Ridder vs Dolidze🟢Reinier de Ridder65%N/ARoman Dolidze35%N/A
Spivac vs Petrino🟢Serghei Spivac57%N/AVitor Petrino43%N/A
Mederos vs Jones🟡MarQuel MederosUpcomingN/AMason JonesUpcomingN/A
Gaziev vs Nzechukwu🟢Shamil GazievUpcomingN/AKennedy NzechukwuUpcomingN/A

Event Discussion

No comments yet
Skip to main content
Use Tab to navigate through elements, Enter to activate buttons and links.