The first thing to correct is the idea that Fares Ziam does not wrestle. He averages 1.86 takedowns per fifteen minutes across roughly 145 minutes of Octagon time — about eighteen landed on 42 attempts, an accuracy of roughly 41–43% — and most of it comes from the clinch, where 26 of his 64 career entries have landed, a 40.6% conversion. He is a functioning offensive wrestler at 155 lbs.
That correction matters because it changes the archetype. Ziam is not a rangy striker with no plan B — he is a Clinch-Heavy Nak Muay, a Muay Thai fighter who scores in the clinch and converts from there. And the clinch is exactly where 24% of Axel Sola's offence lands, the highest share of any phase for him. The most contested ground in this fight is not the outside. It is the two feet where both men do their most efficient work.
The second correction runs the other way. Ziam's reputation is a late-fight one — the Frevola knee at 2:59 of the third, the Sadykhov stoppage with one second left in the second — but his eleven-fight round profile says his output peaks in Round 2 at 16.5 significant strikes and collapses to 9.3 in Round 3, with accuracy sliding every round and a quarter of his late offence coming from the ground off 87 seconds of control. The label on his profile is "Fades Late." That is how a six-fight win streak ends 30-27, and it is why the hardest lightweight in the division to hit cleanly is only a 55% favourite against a man with three Octagon fights.