Light Heavyweight#16 RankedACTIVE
Rafael Tobias
“Bipolar”
14Wins-2Losses
Age
23
Height
6'2"
Weight
—
Reach
74.5"
Avg Fight Time
—
Gym
—
Wins By
5 KO · 6 Sub · 3 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
—
Last 2
LL
Finish Rate
79%
Bonuses
—
Style
Submission-Heavy Finisher / Well-Rounded Attacker
Location
Lambari, Minas Gerais, Brazil
Next Fight2026-03-07
DN
vs Diyar Nurgozhay
Opponent Last Bout
L - Uran SatybaldievKO/TKOR1 4:59
Fight History
LOSS
LF
vs Lucas Fernando
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry· 2026-08-15
KO/TKO
Knee
R3 1:10
KO/TKOKnee·R3 1:10
LOSS
DN
vs Diyar Nurgozhay
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2· 2026-03-07
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
Fighter Archetype
Muay Thai Fighter
Clinch-Heavy Nak Muay
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
0.0/min
Grappling
0.00 TD
Defense
0%
⚖️Rafael adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
01
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
9 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Leg Kicks
Core of offensive identity
Dominant Level+77% vs div avg
78%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Jabs
78%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Knees
78%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
⭐Other
Counters
67%
🥊Head/Hand
Head Kicks
33%
🤼Clinch
Elbows
33%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
2× detected
Clinch → Takedown
2× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Leg Kicks (78%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (156%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 334% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
02
Finish Techniques
No finishes recorded (decision specialist)
03
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
⚖️
Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (0/100). Opponents exploit this.🔥
Finisher: 79% of wins end in finish (5 KO + 6 subs).⏱️
Fast starter: Peaks early in fights (76% in R3). Front-loads pressure.04
Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
0%
Low
0%100%
Striking Defense
0%
Low
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
24% acc71%
Clinch
55% acc10%
Ground
66% acc19%
0.00
Landed/Min
0.00
Absorbed/Min
0.00
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Key Insights
Utilizes an effective jab.
Distance-dominant: 71% of output at range with 24% accuracy.
Effective ground striker: 19% from ground at 66% accuracy.
05
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
0%
Low
0%100%
TD Defense
0%
Low
0%100%
0.00
TD / 15min
0.00
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
0
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Submission Timing
1 total attempts
Late Round Sub Artist
R1
0%
R2
0%
R3
100%
Key Insights
TD defense at 0% could be a vulnerability.
6 career submission wins.
Submission timing: "Late Round Sub Artist" — dangerous in later rounds.
07
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 2 fights
R1 Control
0:25
R2 Control
0:55
R3 Control
0:24
R1 to Final
-24%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+8.6pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+8.6pp
Body
-4.5pp
Leg
-4.1pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-5.9pp
Round Patterns
⬇️ Stronger in early rounds – starts fast
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights