Lightweight#16 RankedACTIVE
Tom Nolan

Tom Nolan

10-1
4 Win Streak
Age
25
Height
6'3"
Weight
1555 lbs
Reach
73"
Avg Fight Time
06:44
Gym
Team Compton Training Centre
UFC Record
4-1(5 bouts)
Wins By
1 KO 1 Sub 2 Dec
Losses By
1 KO 0 Sub 0 Dec
Wins by Rd
R1 2R3 3
Last 5
WWWWW
Finish Rate
56%
Bonuses
1
Style
Location
Australia
Last Fight2025-09-28
CC
W - Charlie Campbell
Decision - UnanimousR3 5:00
Opponent Last Bout
L - Tom NolanSubmissionR1 4:08· Rear Naked Choke

Fight History

WIN
FZ
vs Fares Ziam
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim· 2026-06-06
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
CC
vs Charlie Campbell
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes· 2025-09-27
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R1 4:08
WIN
VB
vs Viacheslav Borshchev
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2· 2025-02-08
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
AR
vs Alex Reyes
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya· 2024-08-17
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
VM
vs Victor Martinez
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy· 2024-05-18
KO/TKOKnee to Body In Clinch·R1 3:50
LOSS
NM
vs Nikolas Motta
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2· 2024-01-13
KO/TKOPunches to Head On Ground·R1 1:03
Fighter Archetype
Technical Striker
Outside Fighter
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
5.9/min
Grappling
0.74 TD
Defense
48%
⚖️Tom adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

Striking Foundation
12 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique

Elbows

Core of offensive identity

Dominant Level+91% vs div avg
92%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance

Knees

#2
75%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance

Leg Kicks

#3
67%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
Other
Spinning
58%
🥊Head/Hand
Head Kicks
50%
Jabs
42%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
2× detected
Clinch → Takedown
2× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
  • Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Elbows (92%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
  • Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
  • Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
  • Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (167%) of offensive output.
  • Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 342% of offense - limited but refined.
  • Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
  • Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.

Finish Techniques

Striking Finishes
1
50% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
1
50% of career finishes
Knockout Arsenal (1 techniques)
KO/TKO
#1
1
100% of KOs
🔒 Submission Arsenal (1 techniques, 1 total finishes)
Other
Submission
#1
1
100% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
  • ⚔️ Balanced finisher: 50% KO/TKO, 50% submissions. Equally lethal on feet and ground.
  • 🎯🎯 Signature KO: KO/TKO (1x, 100% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
  • 🔒🔐 Specialized submission: Relies exclusively on Submission (1x). Single-threat grappling finisher.
  • 🎪📊 Style profile: Threat across all ranges. Can finish standing or on ground - all-around dangerous.

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

🥊
Striking specialist: Dominates with devastating volume and accuracy. Avoids ground exchanges.
💪
Peak strengths: Sub/15min (1.9) and Strikes/Min (5.9).
⚠️
Vulnerability: TD/15min is below average (16/100). Opponents exploit this.
⏱️
Fast starter: Peaks early in fights (81% in R3). Front-loads pressure.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy
46%
Average
Division Rank#34 of 57
0%100%
Striking Defense
48%
Average
Division Rank#45 of 57
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
43% acc77%
Clinch
49% acc17%
Ground
57% acc6%
Striking Differential+1.14/min
5.87 landed/min4.73 absorbed/min
5.87
Landed/Min
4.73
Absorbed/Min
0.74
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed237
Sig. Strikes Attempted520

Key Insights

Tom is a distance-first striker, with 81% of output at range.

Effective body attack (32%).

Utilizes an effective jab.

Distance-dominant: 77% of output at range with 43% accuracy.

High pace fighter: 6.1 strikes/min engagement.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy
22%
Low
Division Rank#43 of 57
0%100%
TD Defense
71%
Elite
Division Rank#29 of 57
0%100%
TD Success Rate
22%(est)
Landed
2
Defended
7
Total
9
Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage
0.74
TD / 15min
1.86
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
9
TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Clinch Takedowns
4
Landed
18
Attempted
22%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
5 total attempts
Early Hunter
R1
60%
R2
20%
R3
20%

Key Insights

Solid TD defense at 71%.

Active submission threat (1.86/15min).

Lower TD accuracy (22%).

Submission timing: "Early Hunter" — most active early.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
474
1.37
Ratio
Absorbed
346
Chin Rating
Good
KD Exchange
4/2
KD Recovery
0%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
38.4
High
Strikes/Min
6.1
Standing %
84%
R3 vs R1 Output
81%
Slight Fade

Key Insights

🎯 Effective knockdown technician - deals significantly more than absorbs.

⚙️ High engagement score (38.4) - maintains relentless pace.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 6 fights
R1 Control
0:41
R2 Control
1:15
R3 Control
0:38
R1 to Final
-24%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Adapts targeting and range based on opponent and fatigue.
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+5.5pp
Body
+1.0pp
Leg
-6.4pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-1.6pp
Round Patterns
⬇️ Stronger in early rounds – starts fast
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter

Competitive Profile

Division Rankings
Performance metrics ranked within division
Volume
#9
of 57
🥇 Top 25%
Absorption
#44
of 57
📉 Below Average
Accuracy
#34
of 57
🥉 Mid-range
Str Defense
#45
of 57
📉 Below Average
Knockdowns
#11
of 57
🥇 Top 25%
Takedowns
#40
of 57
🥉 Mid-range
Submissions
#3
of 57
🥇 Top 25%
Damage Ratio
#19
of 57
🥈 Top 50%
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
2608
Strong
Career-wide opponent strength

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights
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