Flyweight#16 RankedACTIVE
Rafael Estevam
14-0
3 Win Streak
Age
28
Height
5'8"
Weight
130 lbs
Reach
69"
Avg Fight Time
13:06
Gym
Nova Uniao - Rio de Janeiro
UFC Record
3-0(3 bouts)
Wins By
0 KO 0 Sub 3 Dec
Losses By
0 KO 0 Sub 0 Dec
Wins by Rd
R3 3
Last 3
WWW
Finish Rate
50%
Bonuses
—
Style
MMA
Location
Macapa, Brazil
Last Fight2025-08-02
FB
W - Felipe Bunes
Decision - UnanimousR3 5:00
Opponent Last Bout
L - Rafael EstevamSubmissionR1 2:04· Armbar On Ground
Fight History
WIN
JA
vs Jesus Aguilar
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
CJ
vs Charles Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
FB
vs Felipe Bunes
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
Fighter Archetype
Submission Artist
Front-Choke Specialist
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
2.1/min
Grappling
6.01 TD
Defense
47%
⚖️Rafael adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
9 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Elbows
Core of offensive identity
Dominant Level+78% vs div avg
78%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Knees
78%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Triangles
67%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
🥊Head/Hand
Jabs
33%
⭐Other
Guillotines
33%
Counters
33%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
2× detected
Clinch → Takedown
2× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Elbows (78%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (156%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 289% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
Finish Techniques
No finishes recorded (decision specialist)
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
🤼
Grappling master: Controls through wrestling and submissions. Prefers mat exchanges.💪
Peak strengths: TD/15min (6.0) and Strike Acc% (54%).⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (12/100). Opponents exploit this.📈
Pace builder: Output increases in later rounds (139% in R3). Outworks opponents.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
54%
Average
Division Rank#8 of 32
0%100%
Striking Defense
47%
Average
Division Rank#25 of 32
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
37% acc73%
Clinch
69% acc8%
Ground
55% acc19%
Striking Differential-0.49/min
2.10 landed/min2.59 absorbed/min
2.10
Landed/Min
2.59
Absorbed/Min
0.00
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed110
Sig. Strikes Attempted203
Key Insights
Rafael is active on the ground (54%).
Primarily a headhunter with 77% targeting the head.
Utilizes an effective jab.
Distance-dominant: 73% of output at range with 37% accuracy.
Effective ground striker: 19% from ground at 55% accuracy.
Iron chin: exceptional durability under fire.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
39%
Below Avg
Division Rank#15 of 32
0%100%
TD Defense
67%
Elite
Division Rank#15 of 32
0%100%
TD Success Rate
6%
Landed
3
Defended
51
Total
54
6.01
TD / 15min
0.29
Sub / 15min
3
TD Landed
54
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
21
Landed
54
Attempted
39%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
1 total attempts
Opportunistic
R1
0%
R2
100%
R3
0%
Key Insights
Aggressive wrestler averaging 6.01 TD/15min.
Solid TD defense at 67%.
3 career submission wins.
Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
110
0.81
Ratio
Absorbed
136
Chin Rating
IronKD Exchange
0/0
KD Recovery
Never Dropped
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
59.1
Elite Activity
Strikes/Min
5.0
Standing %
35%
R3 vs R1 Output
139%
Key Insights
⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.81x) - absorbs more than deals.
🥊 Iron chin - rarely compromised by strikes.
⚙️ High engagement score (59.1) - maintains relentless pace.
📈 Improves dramatically in late rounds - R3 output 139% of R1.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 3 fights
R1 Control
3:30
R2 Control
4:09
R3 Control
2:10
R1 to Final
+38%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+44.2pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+44.2pp
Body
-5.3pp
Leg
-38.9pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-22.2pp
Round Patterns
⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power
💪 Peak performance in final round
🎮 High control time – dominant position fighter
Competitive Profile
Division Rankings
Performance metrics ranked within division
Volume
#29
of 32
📉 Below Average
Absorption
#9
of 32
🥈 Top 50%
Accuracy
#8
of 32
🥇 Top 25%
Str Defense
#25
of 32
📉 Below Average
Knockdowns
#24
of 32
🥉 Mid-range
Takedowns
#1
of 32
🥇 Top 25%
Submissions
#23
of 32
🥉 Mid-range
Damage Ratio
#24
of 32
🥉 Mid-range
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
2734
StrongCareer-wide opponent strength
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights