Flyweight#16 RankedACTIVE

Lucas Rocha

17-2

1 Win Streak

Age

Height

5'3"

Weight

1255 lbs

Reach

64"

Avg Fight Time

06:15

Gym

—

UFC Record

1-1(2 bouts)

Wins By

0 KO 0 Sub 1 Dec

Losses By

0 KO 1 Sub 0 Dec

Wins by Rd

R3 1

Last 2

Finish Rate

82%

Bonuses

—

Style

Muay Thai

Location

Coari, Brazil

Last Fight2025-10-11

W - Stewart Nicoll

SubmissionR2 2:12

Rear Naked Choke

Opponent Last Bout

L - Lucas RochaDecision - UnanimousR3 5:00

Fight History

LOSS

vs Clayton Carpenter

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira· 2025-09-27

Submission

Rear Naked Choke

R2 2:12

SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 2:12

WIN

vs Stewart Nicoll

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot· 2025-09-27

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

Fighter Archetype

Technical Striker

Outside Fighter

Why This Archetype

This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.

Striking

2.0/min

Grappling

0.00 TD

Defense

40%

⚖️Lucas adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies

📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

Striking Foundation

5 rounds of fight film analyzed

🎯

Signature Technique

Knees

Core of offensive identity

Dominant Level+100% vs div avg

100%

Of striking volume

Mastery Progress

Primary Arsenal

High Importance

Jabs

60%of arsenal

0%100%

Medium Importance

Uppercuts

40%of arsenal

0%100%

Supporting Techniques

⭐Other

Double Legs

40%

Triangles

40%

🦵Leg Strike

Leg Kicks

20%

Common Combinations

Distance → Clinch

2× detected

Clinch → Takedown

2× detected

Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data

Striking Pattern Analysis

◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Knees (100%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
▲Mixed arsenal: Primary technique (Knees) and secondary (Jabs) complement each other well.
●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (160%) of offensive output.
◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 280% of offense - limited but refined.
▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.

Finish Techniques

No finishes recorded (decision specialist)

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

🥊

Striking specialist: Dominates with devastating volume and accuracy. Avoids ground exchanges.

⚠️

Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (0/100). Opponents exploit this.

🔥

Finisher: 82% of wins end in finish (10 KO + 4 subs).

📈

Pace builder: Output increases in later rounds (400% in R3). Outworks opponents.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy

45%

Average

Division Rank#17 of 32

0%100%

Striking Defense

40%

Below Avg

Division Rank#31 of 32

0%100%

Range Breakdown

Distance

45% acc88%

Clinch

54% acc9%

Ground

63% acc3%

Striking Differential-2.48/min

2.00 landed/min4.48 absorbed/min

2.00

Landed/Min

4.48

Absorbed/Min

1.20

KD Avg

1st Rd Finishes

Sig. Strikes Landed25

Sig. Strikes Attempted56

Key Insights

Lucas is a distance-first striker, with 76% of output at range.

Effective body attack (28%).

Absorbs more than landing (2.2:1).

High KD rate (1.20/fight).

Utilizes an effective jab.

Distance-dominant: 88% of output at range with 45% accuracy.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy

Low

0%100%

TD Defense

61%

Above Avg

Division Rank#18 of 32

0%100%

0.00

TD / 15min

0.00

Sub / 15min

TD Landed

TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Key Insights

4 career submission wins.

Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange

Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight

Dealt

0.74

Ratio

Absorbed

Chin Rating

Iron

KD Exchange

2/0

KD Recovery

Never Dropped

Pace & Momentum

Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends

Engagement Score

34.8

Moderate

Strikes/Min

6.0

Standing %

94%

R3 vs R1 Output

400%

Strong Finisher

Key Insights

⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.74x) - absorbs more than deals.

🥊 Iron chin - rarely compromised by strikes.

🎯 Effective knockdown technician - deals significantly more than absorbs.

⚙️ High engagement score (34.8) - maintains relentless pace.

📈 Improves dramatically in late rounds - R3 output 400% of R1.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 2 fights

R1 Control

0:05

R2 Control

0:29

R3 Control

0:18

R1 to Final

+400%

In-Fight Adaptation

Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns

Shifts to headhunting late (+15.0pp in R3).

Target Selection Evolution

Head

+15.0pp

Body

-14.2pp

Leg

-0.9pp

Range Preference Evolution

Ground Shift

-4.2pp

Round Patterns

⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power

💪 Peak performance in final round

🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter

Competitive Profile

Division Rankings

Performance metrics ranked within division

Volume

#30

of 32

📉 Below Average

Absorption

#26

of 32

📉 Below Average

Accuracy

#17

of 32

🥉 Mid-range

Str Defense

#31

of 32

📉 Below Average

Knockdowns

of 32

🥇 Top 25%

Takedowns

#30

of 32

📉 Below Average

Submissions

#25

of 32

📉 Below Average

Damage Ratio

#32

of 32

📉 Below Average

Strength of Schedule

Opponent quality and career progression

Avg Opponent ELO

2632

Strong

Career-wide opponent strength

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights