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Women's Flyweight#16 RankedACTIVE
Ernesta Kareckaite

Ernesta Kareckaite

6-1-1
1 Win Streak
Age
26
Height
5'9"
Weight
126 lbs
Reach
71"
Avg Fight Time
15:00
Gym
UFC Record
1-1(2 bouts)
Wins By
0 KO 0 Sub 1 Dec
Losses By
0 KO 0 Sub 1 Dec
Wins by Rd
R3 1
Last 3
WLL
Finish Rate
33%
Bonuses
Style
MMA
Location
Kaunas, Lithuania
Next Fight2026-02-28
SM
vs Sofia Montenegro

Fight History

WIN
NC
vs Nicolle Caliari
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
DB
vs Dione Barbosa
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg· 2024-05-04
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
RT
vs Regina Tarin
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
Fighter Archetype
Muay Thai Fighter
Clinch-Heavy Nak Muay
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
7.4/min
Grappling
0.67 TD
Defense
48%
⚖️Ernesta adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

Striking Foundation
6 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique

Leg Kicks

Core of offensive identity

Dominant Level+49% vs div avg
50%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance

Uppercuts

#2
50%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance

Head Kicks

#3
33%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
🥊Head/Hand
Jabs
33%
🤼Clinch
Elbows
33%
Other
Knees
33%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
1× detected
Clinch → Takedown
1× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
  • Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Leg Kicks (50%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
  • Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
  • Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
  • Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (100%) of offensive output.
  • Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 199% of offense - limited but refined.
  • Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
  • Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.

Finish Techniques

No finishes recorded (decision specialist)

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

🥊
Striking specialist: Dominates with devastating volume and accuracy. Avoids ground exchanges.
💪
Peak strengths: Strikes/Min (7.4) and TD Acc% (67%).
⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (0/100). Opponents exploit this.
🚫
Anti-wrestler: 83% TD defense. Keeps fights standing.
📈
Pace builder: Output increases in later rounds (206% in R3). Outworks opponents.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy
42%
Below Avg
Division Rank#16 of 23
0%100%
Striking Defense
48%
Average
Division Rank#22 of 23
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
35% acc89%
Clinch
79% acc6%
Ground
55% acc5%
Striking Differential+1.29/min
7.38 landed/min6.09 absorbed/min
7.38
Landed/Min
6.09
Absorbed/Min
0.00
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed332
Sig. Strikes Attempted787

Key Insights

Ernesta is a distance-first striker, with 84% of output at range.

Primarily a headhunter with 76% targeting the head.

Utilizes an effective jab.

Distance-dominant: 89% of output at range with 35% accuracy.

Iron chin: exceptional durability under fire.

High pace fighter: 7.5 strikes/min engagement.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy
67%
Elite
Division Rank#2 of 23
0%100%
TD Defense
83%
Elite
Division Rank#3 of 23
0%100%
TD Success Rate
33%
Landed
1
Defended
2
Total
3
0.67
TD / 15min
0.00
Sub / 15min
1
TD Landed
3
TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Clinch Takedowns
4
Landed
6
Attempted
67%
Accuracy

Key Insights

Elite TD defense (83%).

High TD accuracy (67%).

Clinch TD specialist: 67% accuracy from clinch.

Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
664
1.21
Ratio
Absorbed
548
Chin Rating
Iron
KD Exchange
0/0
KD Recovery
Never Dropped
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
40.2
High
Strikes/Min
7.5
Standing %
83%
R3 vs R1 Output
206%
Strong Finisher

Key Insights

🥊 Iron chin - rarely compromised by strikes.

⚙️ High engagement score (40.2) - maintains relentless pace.

📈 Improves dramatically in late rounds - R3 output 206% of R1.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 2 fights
R1 Control
0:26
R2 Control
1:31
R3 Control
0:33
R1 to Final
+106%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+9.9pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+9.9pp
Body
-8.3pp
Leg
-1.6pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-1.6pp
Round Patterns
⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power
💪 Peak performance in final round
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter

Competitive Profile

Division Rankings
Performance metrics ranked within division
Volume
#4
of 23
🥇 Top 25%
Absorption
#20
of 23
📉 Below Average
Accuracy
#16
of 23
🥉 Mid-range
Str Defense
#22
of 23
📉 Below Average
Knockdowns
#15
of 23
🥉 Mid-range
Takedowns
#18
of 23
📉 Below Average
Submissions
#19
of 23
📉 Below Average
Damage Ratio
#13
of 23
🥉 Mid-range
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
2510
Strong
Career-wide opponent strength

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights
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