Lightweight#16 RankedACTIVE

Chris Duncan

14-2

4 Win Streak

Age

Height

5'10"

Weight

156 lbs

Reach

71.5"

Avg Fight Time

08:17

Gym

American Top Team

UFC Record

6-1(7 bouts)

Wins By

0 KO 3 Sub 3 Dec

Losses By

0 KO 1 Sub 0 Dec

Wins by Rd

R1 2R2 1R3 3

Last 5

WLWWW

Finish Rate

71%

Bonuses

Style

Striker

Location

Glasgow, Scotland

Last Fight2025-12-06

W - Terrance McKinney

Decision - UnanimousR3 5:00

Opponent Last Bout

L - Chris DuncanKO/TKOR1 2:01· Punches to Head From Back Control

Fight History

WIN

vs Yanal Ashmouz

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura· 2025-09-27

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

LOSS

vs Manuel Torres

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2· 2025-09-27

Submission

Rear Naked Choke

R1 1:46

SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R1 1:46

WIN

vs Jordan Vucenic

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady· 2025-09-27

Submission

Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard

R2 3:42

SubmissionGuillotine Choke After Drop to Guard·R2 3:42

WIN

vs Mateusz Rebecki

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park· 2025-09-27

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

WIN

vs Bolaji Oki

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis· 2025-09-27

Submission

Guillotine Choke From Guard

R1 3:34

SubmissionGuillotine Choke From Guard·R1 3:34

WIN

vs Omar Morales

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3· 2023-03-18

Decision - Split

R3 5:00

Decision - Split·R3 5:00

WIN

vs Terrance McKinney

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Submission

Anaconda Choke On Ground

R1 2:30

SubmissionAnaconda Choke On Ground·R1 2:30

Fighter Archetype

Technical Striker

Counter Striker

Why This Archetype

This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.

Striking

4.6/min

Grappling

3.17 TD

Defense

52%

⚖️Chris adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies

📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

Striking Foundation

14 rounds of fight film analyzed

🎯

Signature Technique

Knees

Core of offensive identity

Dominant Level+85% vs div avg

86%

Of striking volume

Mastery Progress

Primary Arsenal

High Importance

Head Kicks

57%of arsenal

0%100%

Medium Importance

Jabs

57%of arsenal

0%100%

Supporting Techniques

⭐Other

Counters

57%

🤼Clinch

Elbows

50%

🦵Leg Strike

Leg Kicks

43%

Common Combinations

Distance → Clinch

3× detected

Clinch → Takedown

3× detected

Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data

Striking Pattern Analysis

◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Knees (86%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
▲Mixed arsenal: Primary technique (Knees) and secondary (Head Kicks) complement each other well.
●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (143%) of offensive output.
◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 307% of offense - limited but refined.
▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.

Finish Techniques

Striking Finishes

0% of career finishes

Submission Finishes

100% of career finishes

🔒 Submission Arsenal (3 techniques, 3 total finishes)

From Guard

Guillotine Choke From Guard

33% of subs

Standing/Scramble

Guillotine Choke After Drop to Guard

33% of subs

Other

Anaconda Choke On Ground

33% of subs

Finish Pattern Analysis

⚡🔒 Submission specialist: 100% of career finishes via submission. Elite grappling with dangerous ground finishing.
🎯🔒 Submission arsenal: 3 different submission techniques. Led by Anaconda Choke On Ground (1x). Versatile ground finisher.

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

⚔️

All-around threat: Elite on both feet and mat. Adapts to any opponent's style.

💪

Peak strengths: TD/15min (3.2) and Strikes/Min (4.6).

⚠️

Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (18/100). Opponents exploit this.

🛡️

Defensive stance: Strong defense (52%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.

📈

Pace builder: Output increases in later rounds (166% in R3). Outworks opponents.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy

44%

Below Avg

Division Rank#41 of 57

0%100%

Striking Defense

52%

Average

Division Rank#31 of 57

0%100%

Range Breakdown

Distance

46% acc81%

Clinch

73% acc7%

Ground

89% acc12%

Striking Differential+0.11/min

4.64 landed/min4.53 absorbed/min

4.64

Landed/Min

4.53

Absorbed/Min

0.45

KD Avg

1st Rd Finishes

Sig. Strikes Landed307

Sig. Strikes Attempted692

Key Insights

Chris is a distance-first striker, with 89% of output at range.

Utilizes an effective jab.

Distance-dominant: 81% of output at range with 46% accuracy.

High pace fighter: 4.8 strikes/min engagement.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy

42%

Below Avg

Division Rank#15 of 57

0%100%

TD Defense

50%

Average

Division Rank#49 of 57

0%100%

TD Success Rate

15%

Landed

Defended

Total

3.17

TD / 15min

0.45

Sub / 15min

TD Landed

TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Clinch Takedowns

Landed

Attempted

42%

Accuracy

Submission Timing

3 total attempts

Early Hunter

67%

33%

Key Insights

Aggressive wrestler averaging 3.17 TD/15min.

3 career submission wins.

Submission timing: "Early Hunter" — most active early.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange

Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight

Dealt

614

1.02

Ratio

Absorbed

600

Chin Rating

Good

KD Exchange

4/2

KD Recovery

Pace & Momentum

Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends

Engagement Score

36.7

High

Strikes/Min

4.8

Standing %

78%

R3 vs R1 Output

166%

Strong Finisher

Key Insights

🎯 Effective knockdown technician - deals significantly more than absorbs.

⚙️ High engagement score (36.7) - maintains relentless pace.

📈 Improves dramatically in late rounds - R3 output 166% of R1.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 7 fights

R1 Control

0:52

R2 Control

1:07

R3 Control

1:35

R1 to Final

+101%

In-Fight Adaptation

Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns

Shifts to headhunting late (+10.5pp in R3).

Target Selection Evolution

Head

+10.5pp

Body

+2.9pp

Leg

-13.4pp

Range Preference Evolution

Ground Shift

-21.4pp

Round Patterns

⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power

💪 Peak performance in final round

Competitive Profile

Division Rankings

Performance metrics ranked within division

Volume

#24

of 57

🥈 Top 50%

Absorption

#39

of 57

🥉 Mid-range

Accuracy

#41

of 57

🥉 Mid-range

Str Defense

#31

of 57

🥉 Mid-range

Knockdowns

#29

of 57

🥉 Mid-range

Takedowns

#10

of 57

🥇 Top 25%

Submissions

#22

of 57

🥈 Top 50%

Damage Ratio

#34

of 57

🥉 Mid-range

Strength of Schedule

Opponent quality and career progression

Avg Opponent ELO

2810

Elite

Career-wide opponent strength

Elite Wins (ELO 3000+)

/ 2

0% Win Rate

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights