Women's Strawweight#16 RankedACTIVE

Ariane Carnelossi

15-3

Age

Height

5'2"

Weight

1155 lbs

Reach

61.5"

Avg Fight Time

10:55

Gym

—

UFC Record

3-3(6 bouts)

Wins By

1 KO 1 Sub 0 Dec

Losses By

1 KO 1 Sub 1 Dec

Wins by Rd

R2 2R3 1

Last 5

LLWLW

Finish Rate

79%

Bonuses

—

Style

Muay Thai

Location

Alvares Machado, Brazil

Last Fight2025-11-01

L - Talita Alencar

KO/TKOR1 1:34

Kick

Opponent Last Bout

W - Ariane CarnelossiDecision - UnanimousR3 5:00

Fight History

LOSS

vs Ketlen Souza

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim· 2026-06-06

KO/TKO

Kick

R1 1:34

KO/TKOKick·R1 1:34

LOSS

vs Talita Alencar

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama· 2025-11-01

Submission

Rear Naked Choke

R3 4:36

SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R3 4:36

WIN

vs Piera Rodriguez

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy· 2024-05-18

Headbutt by Rodriguez

R2 3:16

DQHeadbutt by Rodriguez·R2 3:16

LOSS

vs Loopy Godinez

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje· 2022-05-07

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

WIN

vs Istela Nunes

UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont· 2021-10-16

Submission

Rear Naked Choke

R3 2:57

SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R3 2:57

WIN

vs Liang Na

UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2· 2021-04-24

KO/TKO

Punches to Head From Guard

R2 1:28

KO/TKOPunches to Head From Guard·R2 1:28

LOSS

vs Angela Hill

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens· 2019-09-21

TKO - Doctor's Stoppage

R3 1:56

TKO - Doctor's Stoppage·R3 1:56

Fighter Archetype

Striker

Boxing-Heavy

Why This Archetype

This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.

Striking

2.9/min

Grappling

1.37 TD

Defense

45%

⚖️Ariane adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies

📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

Striking Foundation

14 rounds of fight film analyzed

🎯

Signature Technique

Knees

Core of offensive identity

Dominant Level+71% vs div avg

71%

Of striking volume

Mastery Progress

Primary Arsenal

High Importance

Counters

64%of arsenal

0%100%

Medium Importance

Elbows

43%of arsenal

0%100%

Supporting Techniques

⭐Other

Triangles

36%

Single Legs

29%

🦵Leg Strike

Leg Kicks

29%

Common Combinations

Distance → Clinch

3× detected

Clinch → Takedown

3× detected

Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data

Striking Pattern Analysis

◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Knees (71%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (135%) of offensive output.
◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 243% of offense - limited but refined.
▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.

Finish Techniques

Striking Finishes

50% of career finishes

Submission Finishes

50% of career finishes

⚡ Knockout Arsenal (1 techniques)

KO/TKO

100% of KOs

🔒 Submission Arsenal (1 techniques, 1 total finishes)

Other

Submission

100% of subs

Finish Pattern Analysis

⚡⚔️ Balanced finisher: 50% KO/TKO, 50% submissions. Equally lethal on feet and ground.
🎯🎯 Signature KO: KO/TKO (1x, 100% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
🔒🔐 Specialized submission: Relies exclusively on Submission (1x). Single-threat grappling finisher.
🎪📊 Style profile: Threat across all ranges. Can finish standing or on ground - all-around dangerous.

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

⚖️

Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.

⚠️

Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (11/100). Opponents exploit this.

🔥

Finisher: 79% of wins end in finish (9 KO + 2 subs).

⏱️

Fast starter: Peaks early in fights (82% in R3). Front-loads pressure.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy

40%

Below Avg

Division Rank#24 of 30

0%100%

Striking Defense

45%

Average

Division Rank#27 of 30

0%100%

Range Breakdown

Distance

33% acc76%

Clinch

51% acc16%

Ground

88% acc8%

Striking Differential-1.87/min

2.87 landed/min4.74 absorbed/min

2.87

Landed/Min

4.74

Absorbed/Min

0.00

KD Avg

1st Rd Finishes

Sig. Strikes Landed157

Sig. Strikes Attempted395

Key Insights

Ariane is a distance-first striker, with 71% of output at range.

Primarily a headhunter with 71% targeting the head.

Absorbs more than landing (1.7:1).

Integrates body kicks.

Distance-dominant: 76% of output at range with 33% accuracy.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy

56%

Above Avg

Division Rank#7 of 30

0%100%

TD Defense

14%

Low

Division Rank#29 of 30

0%100%

TD Success Rate

56%(est)

Landed

Defended

Total

Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage

1.37

TD / 15min

0.27

Sub / 15min

TD Landed

TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Clinch Takedowns

Landed

Attempted

56%

Accuracy

Submission Timing

1 total attempts

Late Round Sub Artist

100%

Key Insights

TD defense at 14% could be a vulnerability.

High TD accuracy (56%).

Submission timing: "Late Round Sub Artist" — dangerous in later rounds.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange

Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight

Dealt

314

0.61

Ratio

Absorbed

518

Chin Rating

Good

KD Exchange

0/2

KD Recovery

100%

Pace & Momentum

Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends

Engagement Score

26.6

Moderate

Strikes/Min

4.4

Standing %

85%

R3 vs R1 Output

82%

Slight Fade

Key Insights

⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.61x) - absorbs more than deals.

🔄 Excellent recovery - 100% win rate after being dropped.

🛡️ Defensive specialist - rarely gets knocked down relative to knockdowns given.

⚙️ High engagement score (26.6) - maintains relentless pace.

🎢 High striking absorption - takes significant damage in exchanges.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 7 fights

R1 Control

0:55

R2 Control

0:51

R3 Control

0:18

R1 to Final

-16%

In-Fight Adaptation

Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns

Adapts targeting and range based on opponent and fatigue.

Target Selection Evolution

Head

-3.5pp

Body

-3.3pp

Leg

+6.7pp

Range Preference Evolution

Ground Shift

-4.6pp

Round Patterns

➡️ Maintains consistent output throughout fight

🥊 Peak performance in Round 1

🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter

Competitive Profile

Division Rankings

Performance metrics ranked within division

Volume

#23

of 30

📉 Below Average

Absorption

#22

of 30

🥉 Mid-range

Accuracy

#24

of 30

📉 Below Average

Str Defense

#27

of 30

📉 Below Average

Knockdowns

#15

of 30

🥈 Top 50%

Takedowns

#14

of 30

🥈 Top 50%

Submissions

#15

of 30

🥈 Top 50%

Damage Ratio

#29

of 30

📉 Below Average

Strength of Schedule

Opponent quality and career progression

Avg Opponent ELO

2678

Strong

Career-wide opponent strength

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights