Women's Strawweight#16 RankedACTIVE

Ariane Carnelossi
15-3
Age
31
Height
5'2"
Weight
1155 lbs
Reach
61.5"
Avg Fight Time
10:55
Gym
—
UFC Record
3-3(6 bouts)
Wins By
1 KO 1 Sub 0 Dec
Losses By
1 KO 1 Sub 1 Dec
Wins by Rd
R2 2R3 1
Last 5
WLWLL
Finish Rate
79%
Bonuses
—
Style
Muay Thai
Location
Alvares Machado, Brazil
Last Fight2025-11-01
TA

L - Talita Alencar
DQR2 3:16
Headbutt by Rodriguez
Opponent Last Bout
W - Ariane CarnelossiDecision - UnanimousR3 5:00
Fight History
WIN
PR

vs Piera Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy· 2025-09-27
DQ
Headbutt by Rodriguez
R2 3:16
DQHeadbutt by Rodriguez·R2 3:16
LOSS
TA

vs Talita Alencar
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama· 2025-09-27
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R3 4:36
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R3 4:36
WIN
IN

vs Istela Nunes
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont· 2025-09-27
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R3 2:57
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R3 2:57
LOSS
AH

vs Angela Hill
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens· 2025-09-27
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
R3 1:56
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage·R3 1:56
LOSS
LG

vs Loopy Godinez
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje· 2022-05-07
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
LN

vs Liang Na
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2· 2021-04-24
KO/TKO
Punches to Head From Guard
R2 1:28
KO/TKOPunches to Head From Guard·R2 1:28
Fighter Archetype
Striker
Boxing-Heavy
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
2.9/min
Grappling
1.37 TD
Defense
45%
⚖️Ariane adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
13 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Knees
Core of offensive identity
Dominant Level+77% vs div avg
77%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Counters
69%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Elbows
46%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
⭐Other
Triangles
38%
Single Legs
31%
Pressure
31%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
3× detected
Clinch → Takedown
3× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Knees (77%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (146%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 261% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
1
33% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
1
33% of career finishes
⚡ Knockout Arsenal (1 techniques)
Punches to Head From Guard
#11
100% of KOs
🔒 Submission Arsenal (1 techniques, 1 total finishes)
From Back Control
Rear Naked Choke
#11
100% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡⚔️ Balanced finisher: 50% KO/TKO, 50% submissions. Equally lethal on feet and ground.
- 🎯🎯 Signature KO: Punches to Head From Guard (1x, 100% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
- 🔒🔐 Specialized submission: Relies exclusively on Rear Naked Choke (1x). Single-threat grappling finisher.
- 🎪📊 Style profile: Threat across all ranges. Can finish standing or on ground - all-around dangerous.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
⚖️
Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (11/100). Opponents exploit this.🔥
Finisher: 79% of wins end in finish (9 KO + 2 subs).⏱️
Fast starter: Peaks early in fights (82% in R3). Front-loads pressure.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
40%
Below Avg
Division Rank#24 of 30
0%100%
Striking Defense
45%
Average
Division Rank#27 of 30
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
33% acc75%
Clinch
51% acc17%
Ground
88% acc8%
Striking Differential-1.87/min
2.87 landed/min4.74 absorbed/min
2.87
Landed/Min
4.74
Absorbed/Min
0.00
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed157
Sig. Strikes Attempted395
Key Insights
Ariane is a distance-first striker, with 71% of output at range.
Primarily a headhunter with 71% targeting the head.
Absorbs more than landing (1.7:1).
Integrates body kicks.
Distance-dominant: 75% of output at range with 33% accuracy.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
56%
Above Avg
Division Rank#7 of 30
0%100%
TD Defense
14%
Low
Division Rank#29 of 30
0%100%
TD Success Rate
56%(est)
Landed
5
Defended
4
Total
9
Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage
1.37
TD / 15min
0.27
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
9
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
10
Landed
18
Attempted
56%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
1 total attempts
Late Round Sub Artist
R1
0%
R2
0%
R3
100%
Key Insights
TD defense at 14% could be a vulnerability.
High TD accuracy (56%).
Submission timing: "Late Round Sub Artist" — dangerous in later rounds.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
314
0.61
Ratio
Absorbed
518
Chin Rating
GoodKD Exchange
0/2
KD Recovery
100%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
27.8
Moderate
Strikes/Min
4.6
Standing %
84%
R3 vs R1 Output
82%
Key Insights
⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.61x) - absorbs more than deals.
🔄 Excellent recovery - 100% win rate after being dropped.
🛡️ Defensive specialist - rarely gets knocked down relative to knockdowns given.
⚙️ High engagement score (27.8) - maintains relentless pace.
🎢 High striking absorption - takes significant damage in exchanges.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 6 fights
R1 Control
1:04
R2 Control
0:51
R3 Control
0:18
R1 to Final
-20%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Adapts targeting and range based on opponent and fatigue.
Target Selection Evolution
Head
-6.0pp
Body
-0.7pp
Leg
+6.7pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-5.7pp
Round Patterns
➡️ Maintains consistent output throughout fight
🥊 Peak performance in Round 1
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter
Competitive Profile
Division Rankings
Performance metrics ranked within division
Volume
#23
of 30
📉 Below Average
Absorption
#22
of 30
🥉 Mid-range
Accuracy
#24
of 30
📉 Below Average
Str Defense
#27
of 30
📉 Below Average
Knockdowns
#15
of 30
🥈 Top 50%
Takedowns
#14
of 30
🥈 Top 50%
Submissions
#15
of 30
🥈 Top 50%
Damage Ratio
#29
of 30
📉 Below Average
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
2678
StrongCareer-wide opponent strength
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights
