UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov — Abu Dhabi

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, July 25, 2026
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Etihad Arena
⚡ Upcoming Event13 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 9:00 AM ET
Main Card Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.
GST (Local)
Abu Dhabi (GST)
Main Card
5:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Main Card
9:00 AM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Main Card
6:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Main Card
2:00 PM
CEST
Central Europe
Main Card
3:00 PM
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Abu Dhabi: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov — Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi — July 25, 2026

The UFC returns to Abu Dhabi with a light heavyweight headliner: Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) faces dangerous knockout artist Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1). Ankalaev pairs suffocating top control with sharp, patient counter-striking; Guskov brings relentless pressure and one-shot knockout power — all 18 of his wins are finishes — that can flip any round.

The Paramount+ card is loaded with intriguing matchups — heavyweights Valter Walker and Rizvan Kuniev, and flyweight contender Steve Erceg. AI-powered analytics cover every bout with best available odds and full card breakdowns.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov?

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov is an MMA event on July 25, 2026, at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The main event pits Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) against Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1) — elite control and counter-striking against explosive knockout power. The card airs on Paramount+ (main card listed at 9:00 AM ET). Highlights include Steve Erceg vs. Ramazan Temirov.

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What are the predictions for Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov?

Ankalaev vs. Guskov is a control-vs-power equation: Ankalaev's wrestling, top pressure and disciplined striking favor a points-and-grind path, while Guskov's concussive power and 100% finish rate create real finishing variance in every exchange. Whether Ankalaev can drag the fight to the mat and neutralize Guskov's offense is the key question. Every fight on the card below includes AI-generated win probabilities, best available odds, and detailed breakdowns.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov takes place Saturday, July 25, 2026. Main card at 9:00 AM ET (5:00 PM local Abu Dhabi / 6:00 AM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi hosts the action — a morning US window for an evening card in the Gulf.

Main Event — Light Heavyweight

Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) faces Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1) at 205 pounds — elite top control and counter-striking against relentless pressure and one-shot knockout power.

Main Card — Flyweight

Erceg vs. Temirov

Former title challenger Steve Erceg (14-4) brings experience and well-roundedness against surging Ramazan Temirov (19-2) in a flyweight main card clash.

Undercard Spotlight

Walker vs. Petersen & Bonfim vs. Sola

Heavyweight Valter Walker (15-1) looks for another finish against Thomas Petersen (11-4), while Ismael Bonfim (20-6) meets unbeaten-minded Axel Sola (11-1-1) at lightweight.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢
Magomed Ankalaev

Magomed Ankalaev

21-2-1

Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

78%VS22%

Market Odds

……
Bogdan Guskov

Bogdan Guskov

“Hitman”

18-3-1

⭐ Co-Main🔴
Steve Erceg

Steve Erceg

14-4-0

Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

62%VS38%

Market Odds

……
Ramazan Temirov

Ramazan Temirov

19-2-0

🟢
Valter Walker

Valter Walker

15-1-0

Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

58%VS42%

Market Odds

……
Thomas Petersen

Thomas Petersen

11-4-0

🔴
Rizvan Kuniev

Rizvan Kuniev

14-3-1

Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

57%VS43%

Market Odds

……
Tyrell Fortune

Tyrell Fortune

18-3-0

🔴
Ismael Bonfim

Ismael Bonfim

20-6-0

Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

45%VS55%

Market Odds

……
Axel Sola

Axel Sola

11-1-1

🔴
Brendson Ribeiro

Brendson Ribeiro

17-10-0

Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

41%VS59%

Market Odds

……
Magomed Tuchalov

Magomed Tuchalov

6-0-0

🔴
Saygid Izagakhmaev

Saygid Izagakhmaev

22-3-0

Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

68%VS32%

Market Odds

……
Abubakar Vagaev

Abubakar Vagaev

24-4-0

🔴
Islam Dulatov

Islam Dulatov

12-1-0

Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

62%VS38%

Market Odds

……
Wellington Turman

Wellington Turman

18-8-0

🔴
Abdul Hussein

Abdul Hussein

15-2-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

55%VS45%

Market Odds

……
Cody Gibson

Cody Gibson

“The Renegade”

21-12-0

🟡
Nurullo Aliev

Nurullo Aliev

11-0-0

Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

60%VS40%

Market Odds

……
Mike Davis

Mike Davis

12-3-0

🔴
Damian Rzepecki

Damian Rzepecki

10-0-0

Lightweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

45%VS55%

Market Odds

……
Magomed Zaynukov

Magomed Zaynukov

8-0-0

🟢
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Santiago Ponzinibbio

“Argentine Dagger”

30-9-0

Welterweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

58%VS42%

Market Odds

……
Sam Patterson

Sam Patterson

“The Future”

14-3-1

🟢
Dustin Jacoby

Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-9-1

Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

55%VS45%

Market Odds

……
Muhammad Said

Muhammad Said

“Kubik”

9-0-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Ankalaev vs Guskov🟢Magomed Ankalaev78%N/A—Bogdan Guskov22%N/A—
Ankalaev +78.0%Elite control & counter-striking vs one-shot power
Walker vs Petersen🟢Valter Walker58%N/A—Thomas Petersen42%N/A—
Walker +58.0%Leg-lock & sub threat vs heavy-handed wrestler
Aliev vs Davis🟡Nurullo Aliev60%N/A—Mike Davis40%N/A—
Aliev +60.0%Undefeated grappling-decision vs veteran
Ponzinibbio vs Patterson🟢Santiago Ponzinibbio58%N/A—Sam Patterson42%N/A—
Ponzinibbio +58.0%Veteran power-striking durability vs rangy submission-heavy prospect
Jacoby vs Said🟢Dustin Jacoby55%N/A—Muhammad Said45%N/A—
Jacoby +55.0%Veteran kickboxing craft & durability vs undefeated debutant finishing instincts

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