UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Poster
Saturday, February 7, 2026
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
UFC Apex
completed13 Fights๐Ÿ† 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET (Local)
Las Vegas (ET shown)
Early
4:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
6:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
1:00 PM
Prelims
2:00 PM
Main
3:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
9:00 PM
Prelims
10:00 PM
Main
11:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
10:00 PM
Prelims
11:00 PM
Main
12:00 AM (Sun)
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
4:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
6:00 PM
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UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira โ€” Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (UFC Apex)

Advanced UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira analysis for Bautista vs Oliveira featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers inโ€‘depth technical breakdowns and predictions for a stacked card including Albazi vs Horiguchi.

We provide superโ€‘detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AIโ€‘powered models to maximize decisionโ€‘making value. Access fightโ€‘byโ€‘fight value betting analysis โ€” model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.

๐Ÿ“ŠAnalysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

๐Ÿ”ด

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

๐ŸŸก

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

๐ŸŸข

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Fights, Analytics & Predictions

๐Ÿ’ก

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highestโ€‘value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

๐Ÿ† Main Event
๐ŸŸข
Bantamweight
VS
Market Odds
...vs...
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Vinicius Oliveira

Vinicius Oliveira

"Lok Dog"

23-3-0

โญ Co-Main Event
๐ŸŸข
Amir Albazi

Amir Albazi

"Prince"

17-2-0

Flyweight
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Market Odds
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๐Ÿ”ด
Light Heavyweight
VS
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Julius Walker

Julius Walker

"Gorilla"

7-1-0

๐ŸŸข
Middleweight
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๐Ÿ”ด
Ryan Spann

Ryan Spann

23-11-0

Heavyweight
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Rizvan Kuniev

Rizvan Kuniev

"Superman"

13-3-1

๐ŸŸก
Bantamweight
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๐ŸŸก
Women's Flyweight
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Eduarda Moura

Eduarda Moura

"Ronda"

12-1-0

๐Ÿ”ด
Welterweight
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๐ŸŸข
Women's Strawweight
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๐Ÿ”ด
Women's Bantamweight
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๐Ÿ”ด
Bantamweight
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๐ŸŸข
Bantamweight
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Javid Basharat

Javid Basharat

"The Snow Leopard"

14-2-0

๐Ÿ”ด
Middleweight
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Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Bautista vs Oliveira๐ŸŸขMario Bautista37.0%N/Aโ€”Vinicius Oliveira63.0%N/Aโ€”
Oliveira +63.0%Pressure and clinch control in small cage
Albazi vs Horiguchi๐ŸŸขAmir Albazi34.0%N/Aโ€”Kyoji Horiguchi66.0%N/Aโ€”
Horiguchi +66.0%Submission threat and early finish potential
Oleksiejczuk vs Barriault๐ŸŸขMichaล‚ Oleksiejczuk67.0%N/Aโ€”Marc-Andrรฉ Barriault33.0%N/Aโ€”
Oleksiejczuk +67.0%Superior damage efficiency and power advantage
Matsumoto vs Basharat๐ŸŸกJean Matsumoto28.0%N/Aโ€”Farid Basharat72.0%N/Aโ€”
Basharat +72.0%Volume-based pace and opportunistic submissions
Wang vs Moura๐ŸŸกCong Wang72.0%N/Aโ€”Eduarda Moura28.0%N/Aโ€”
Wang +72.0%High-volume striking and superior accuracy advantage
Brasil vs Souza๐ŸŸขBruna Brasil65.0%N/Aโ€”Ketlen Souza35.0%N/Aโ€”
Brasil +65.0%Control of fight location and damage economy
Nurmagomedov vs Basharat๐ŸŸขSaid Nurmagomedov34.0%N/Aโ€”Javid Basharat66.0%N/Aโ€”
Basharat +66.0%Volume striking, technical control, and defensive discipline
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

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