UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions
Get picks for this card — model picks + card previews in your inbox.
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot Predictions, Odds & Start Time
Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Lightweight Headliner)
Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Oliveira vs Gamrot featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the lightweight main event and the full card including Luque vs Ponzinibbio and Walker vs Usman.
We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis — model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.
📊Analysis Reliability Framework
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot – Fights, Analytics & Predictions
We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).
Performance of the Night
Jhonata Diniz
9-2-0
Mario Pinto
11-0-0
Ricardo Ramos
17-8-0
Kaan Ofli
12-4-1
Lucas Almeida
15-5-0
Michael Aswell
11-3-0
Performance of the Night
Performance of the Night
Performance of the Night
Saimon Oliveira
18-7-0
Luan Lacerda
13-3-0
Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles vs Mateusz🟢 | Charles Oliveira | 42.0% | — | — | Mateusz Gamrot | 58.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Deiveson vs Montel🟢 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 30.0% | — | — | Montel Jackson | 70.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Vicente vs Joel🟢 | Vicente Luque | 55.0% | — | — | Joel Alvarez | 45.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Vitor vs Thomas🟡 | Vitor Petrino | 39.0% | — | — | Thomas Petersen | 61.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Jafel vs Clayton🟡 | Jafel Filho | 42.0% | — | — | Clayton Carpenter | 58.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Julia vs Karolina🟡 | Julia Polastri | 65.0% | — | — | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 35.0% | — | — | No odds yet |
Accuracy of our Picks
Event Discussion
Related Links
Event Highlights
Lightweight Main Event Spotlight
Charles Oliveira meets wrestling-heavy contender Mateusz Gamrot in a high‑octane lightweight headliner. Oliveira brings world‑class submission threats and pressure boxing, while Gamrot offers elite wrestling, chain‑takedowns and top control.
Veterans and Finishers on the Card
Fan‑favorite bouts include Vicente Luque vs Santiago Ponzinibbio and Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson, plus heavyweight power with Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto. Additional welterweight action features Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown, and flyweight prospects Lucas Rocha vs Stewart Nicoll.
Notable Storylines
Can Oliveira's submission game neutralize Fiziev's striking? Will Luque's durability and pressure overcome Ponzinibbio's boxing? Watch emerging prospects at flyweight and heavyweight for breakout performances. The card also features rising welterweight Gabriel Bonfim and lightweight prospect Lucas Almeida in competitive matchups.