When is UFC 330 and what time does it start?

UFC 330 takes place Saturday, August 15, 2026 at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. Main card starts at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims begin roughly two hours earlier on Paramount+.

Who is fighting at UFC 330?

UFC 330 is headlined by Islam Makhachev (28-1) vs. Ian Machado Garry (17-1) for the welterweight title, with Mackenzie Dern (16-5) vs. Gillian Robertson (17-8) for the strawweight title as co-main. Supporting bouts include Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics, Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Dustin Stoltzfus, Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore, Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes, Joel Alvarez vs. Chidi Njokuani, and Neil Magny on a deep veteran-heavy undercard.

Who does the MMA Analytics model favor in Makhachev vs. Machado Garry?

MMA Analytics' five-model ensemble leans Islam Makhachev at approximately 74% win probability versus Ian Machado Garry at 26%. The projection is driven by Makhachev's elite control, ~91% takedown defense, and submission threat (about 1.13 attempts per 15 minutes). Garry's lone career loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov is treated as a stylistic blueprint for how elite wrestling can neutralize him. The strawweight title co-main (Dern vs. Robertson) is much closer — roughly a 54/46 lean. Full fight pages compare model probabilities to BetOnline market odds across the card.

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Q: What is UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry?

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry is a numbered UFC event on Saturday, August 15, 2026, at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. It features two UFC championship fights on the same night. In the main event, Islam Makhachev (28-1) defends the UFC Welterweight Championship against Ian Machado Garry (17-1). The co-main is Mackenzie Dern (16-5) defending the UFC Strawweight Championship against Gillian Robertson (17-8). The full card streams on Paramount+, with the main card at 5:00 PM ET.

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States

Xfinity Mobile Arena

✅ Completed Event12 Fights🏆 2 Title Fights

Main Card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Start Time: 5:00 PM ET

Start Time by Timezone

Times are estimated; prelims start roughly two hours earlier. Subject to change.

Eastern US/Canada (Local)

Main Card

5:00 PM

Pacific US/Canada

Main Card

2:00 PM

BST

United Kingdom / Ireland

Main Card

10:00 PM

CET

Central Europe

Main Card

11:00 PM

Abu Dhabi, UAE

Main Card

1:00 AM (Sun)

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Philadelphia: Two Belts, One Night — UFC 330 Storylines

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry — Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia — August 15, 2026

UFC 330 is Philadelphia's numbered-card showcase — and it carries two championships on Paramount+. In the main event, Islam Makhachev (28-1) defends the welterweight title against Ian Machado Garry (17-1). This is control-and-chain wrestling at championship pace: Makhachev's ~91% takedown defense and 1.13 submission attempts per 15 minutes against Garry's length, kickboxing, and sole career blemish — a loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov that our model treats as a blueprint. The co-main flips the script to grappling chess: champion Mackenzie Dern (16-5) vs. Gillian Robertson (17-8) for strawweight gold.

Our ensemble currently projects Makhachev near 74%, while Dern–Robertson sits closer to a coin-flip (~54/46). The supporting card is veteran-dense: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics, Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore, Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Dustin Stoltzfus, Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes, and Joel Alvarez vs. Chidi Njokuani. Every bout below includes BetOnline odds, model probabilities, and a full breakdown.

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What is UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry?

UFC 330 is a numbered UFC event on August 15, 2026, at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, headlined by two title fights on Paramount+. Islam Makhachev (28-1) defends the welterweight championship against Ian Machado Garry (17-1), while champion Mackenzie Dern (16-5) defends the strawweight title against Gillian Robertson (17-8). Main card starts at 5:00 PM ET.

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What is the matchup between Makhachev and Machado Garry?

Makhachev vs. Machado Garry is championship control against a long, dangerous kickboxer. Makhachev's ~91% takedown defense and 1.13 submission attempts per 15 minutes define the favorite case; Garry's lone loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov is the clearest tape of how elite wrestling can stall him. Our model currently leans Makhachev near 74%. Garry's path is early range management and cumulative damage before the clinch tax compounds. Every fight below includes BetOnline odds and a full breakdown.

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How to watch UFC 330 and what time does it start?

UFC 330 takes place Saturday, August 15, 2026. Main card at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT) on Paramount+. Prelims start roughly two hours earlier, also on Paramount+. Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia hosts the action.

Main Event — UFC Welterweight Championship

Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Champion Islam Makhachev (28-1) defends against Ian Machado Garry (17-1) in a title bout with real stakes at the top of the welterweight division.

Co-Main — UFC Strawweight Championship

Dern vs. Robertson

Champion Mackenzie Dern (16-5) defends the strawweight title against Gillian Robertson (17-8) — the card's second title fight, and a pure grappler-versus-wrestler clash.

Undercard Spotlight

Barboza vs. Ribovics

Veteran Edson Barboza (24-14) meets Esteban Ribovics (15-3) in a lightweight striker's clash — one of the most fan-friendly style matchups on the Paramount+ main card.

Deepest Card of the Summer

A Veteran-Heavy Lineup

Neil Magny (31-14), Edson Barboza (24-14) and Gillian Robertson (17-8) each carry 20+ Octagon bouts into this card. At the other end, six fighters here have yet to clear five UFC appearances — including Lucas Fernando, who is making his debut.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

Fight	Fighter A	Model Prob A	Market Odds A	Implied Prob A	Fighter B	Model Prob B	Market Odds B	Implied Prob B
Makhachev vs Garry🟢	Islam Makhachev	74%	N/A	—	Ian Machado Garry	26%	N/A	—
Dern vs Robertson🟢	Mackenzie Dern	54%	N/A	—	Gillian Robertson	46%	N/A	—
Barboza vs Ribovics🟢	Edson Barboza	45%	N/A	—	Esteban Ribovics	55%	N/A	—
Abdul-Malik vs Stoltzfus🟢	Mansur Abdul-Malik	70%	N/A	—	Dustin Stoltzfus	30%	N/A	—
Alvarez vs Njokuani🟢	Joel Alvarez	58%	N/A	—	Chidi Njokuani	42%	N/A	—
Turner vs Fernandes🟢	Jalin Turner	60%	N/A	—	Kauê Fernandes	40%	N/A	—
Johnson vs McConico🟡	Donte Johnson	56%	N/A	—	Eric McConico	44%	N/A	—
Magny vs Brahimaj🟢	Neil Magny	60%	N/A	—	Ramiz Brahimaj	40%	N/A	—
Johnson vs Ochoa🟡	Charles Johnson	57%	N/A	—	Jose Ochoa	43%	N/A	—
Luque vs Gore🟢	Vicente Luque	77%	N/A	—	Tresean Gore	23%	N/A	—
Wells vs Orolbai🟢	Jeremiah Wells	36%	N/A	—	Myktybek Orolbai	64%	N/A	—

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