UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 — Las Vegas

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, June 20, 2026
Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Meta APEX
⚡ Upcoming Event11 Fights🏆 0 Title Fights
Main Card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Start Time: 5:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
PT (Local)
Las Vegas (PT shown)
Early
11:00 AM
Prelims
1:00 PM
Main
2:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
2:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
7:00 PM
Prelims
8:00 PM
Main
10:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
8:00 PM
Prelims
9:00 PM
Main
11:00 PM
AEST
Australia (East)
Early
6:00 AM (Sun)
Prelims
7:00 AM (Sun)
Main
9:00 AM (Sun)
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UFC Apex: Full Card Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 — Meta APEX, Las Vegas — June 20, 2026

The UFC returns to the Meta APEX with an explosive flyweight main event: Manel Kape (22-7) meets former Rizin and UFC title challenger Kyoji Horiguchi (36-5) over five rounds on Paramount+. Both bring championship-level resumes — expect pace, counters and non-stop scrambles at 125 pounds.

The main card also features Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos, Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil, Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling, and Giga Chikadze vs. Vinicius Oliveira, plus six prelims. Model probabilities, community picks and odds tooling cover every bout below.

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What is UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2?

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 is an MMA event on June 20, 2026, at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The five-round flyweight main event pits Manel Kape (22-7) against Kyoji Horiguchi (36-5). The card streams on Paramount+ with prelims leading into the main card on the same platform.

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What are the predictions for Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi?

The flyweight main event pairs two veterans with elite striking and fight IQ — small margins and round-by-round adjustments will matter. Every fight on the card below includes AI-generated win probabilities, best available odds where loaded, and detailed analytics to support informed picks.

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How to watch UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 and what time does it start?

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 takes place Saturday, June 20, 2026. Main card at 5:00 PM ET (2:00 PM PT) on Paramount+, with prelims roughly two hours earlier on Paramount+. Meta APEX in Las Vegas hosts the event.

Main Event — Flyweight

Kape vs. Horiguchi

Portuguese finisher Manel Kape (22-7) faces Kyoji Horiguchi (36-5), one of the most decorated lighter-weight fighters of his era. Five rounds at the Apex — elite timing vs. championship patience.

Co-Main — Bantamweight

Rosa vs. Santos

Karol Rosa (19-7) and Luana Santos (10-2) collide at 135 — volume and clinch work vs. athletic pressure in a pivotal rankings bout.

Undercard Spotlight

Chikadze vs. Oliveira

Giga Chikadze (15-6) meets Vinicius Oliveira (23-4) in a featherweight striker's clash with serious finishing upside — plus Cutelaba vs. Stirling and prospect-heavy prelims.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

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High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

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Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

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Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 Fights, Analytics & Predictions

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We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🏆 Main Event🟢
Manel Kape

Manel Kape

22-7-0

Flyweight
5 Rounds(Championship)

ML Model

62%VS38%

Market Odds

……
Kyoji Horiguchi

Kyoji Horiguchi

36-5-0

⭐ Co-Main🟢
Karol Rosa

Karol Rosa

19-7-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Luana Santos

Luana Santos

10-2-0

🟢
Christian Rodriguez

Christian Rodriguez

12-4-0

Featherweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Hyder Amil

Hyder Amil

11-2-0

🟡
Ion Cutelaba

Ion Cutelaba

20-11-1

Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Navajo Stirling

Navajo Stirling

9-0-0

🟢
Giga Chikadze

Giga Chikadze

15-6-0

Featherweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Vinicius Oliveira

Vinicius Oliveira

23-4-0

🔴
Jhonata Diniz

Jhonata Diniz

9-2-0

Heavyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
José Luiz

José Luiz

6-1-0

🟡
André Lima

André Lima

11-0-0

Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Kevin Borjas

Kevin Borjas

10-5-0

🟡
Bia Mesquita

Bia Mesquita

7-0-0

Bantamweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Melissa Mullins

Melissa Mullins

7-2-0

🟢
Mitch Raposo

Mitch Raposo

10-3-0

Flyweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Allan Nascimento

Allan Nascimento

22-6-0

🔴
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Melsik Baghdasaryan

8-3-0

Featherweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Murtazali Magomedov

Murtazali Magomedov

10-0-0

🟢
Michael Aswell Jr.

Michael Aswell Jr.

11-4-0

Featherweight
3 Rounds

ML Model

Coming Soon

Market Odds

……
Gaston Bolaños

Gaston Bolaños

8-5-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Kape vs Horiguchi🟢Manel Kape62%N/A—Kyoji Horiguchi38%N/A—
Kape +62.0%Volume supremacy (+37% SLpM), iron chin (12-0 KD), southpaw reach advantage
Rosa vs Santos🟢Karol RosaUpcomingN/A—Luana SantosUpcomingN/A—
Upcoming
Rodriguez vs Amil🟢Christian RodriguezUpcomingN/A—Hyder AmilUpcomingN/A—
Upcoming
Cutelaba vs Stirling🟡Ion CutelabaUpcomingN/A—Navajo StirlingUpcomingN/A—
Upcoming
Chikadze vs Oliveira🟢Giga ChikadzeUpcomingN/A—Vinicius OliveiraUpcomingN/A—
Upcoming
Lima vs Borjas🟡André LimaUpcomingN/A—Kevin BorjasUpcomingN/A—
Upcoming
Mesquita vs Mullins🟡Bia MesquitaUpcomingN/A—Melissa MullinsUpcomingN/A—
Upcoming
Raposo vs Nascimento🟢Mitch RaposoUpcomingN/A—Allan NascimentoUpcomingN/A—
Upcoming
Jr. vs Bolaños🟢Michael Aswell Jr.UpcomingN/A—Gaston BolañosUpcomingN/A—
Upcoming

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