Picks Results
All-time and per-event accuracy and performance for our model picks.
Note: These metrics are reference-only. We use flat staking of 1.00 unit per pick regardless of model confidence or probability. Historical units reflect this constant stake size.
All-Time Summary
Since Jun 14, 2025
Overall Accuracy
66%
68 / 103 correct • P&L Units +7.54
Optimal Setup
63%
46 / 73 correct • P&L Units +2.68
Moderate Risk
73%
22 / 30 correct • P&L Units +4.86
Overall P&L Units
+7.54
Optimal P&L Units
+2.68
Moderate P&L Units
+4.86
Overall ROI
7%
Units Risked +103.00 • Units Net +7.54
Favorites
83% hit • 72 picks
P&L +13.26 • ROI 18% • Avg Win Odds -238
Underdogs
28% hit • 25 picks
P&L -0.90 • ROI -4% • Avg Win Odds +216
Quick Event Stats
Event Breakdown
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot
October 11, 2025
Overall P&L Units
-4.82
Optimal P&L Units
-4.00
Moderate P&L Units
-0.82
Overall Accuracy
17%
1 / 6 • P&L Units -4.82
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 4 • P&L Units -4.00
Moderate Risk
50%
1 / 2 • P&L Units -0.82
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
October 4, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes
September 27, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC Fight Night Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
September 13, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
September 6, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang
August 23, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
August 16, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
August 9, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.35
Optimal P&L Units
+0.54
Moderate P&L Units
-0.19
Overall Accuracy
82%
9 / 11 • P&L Units +0.35
Optimal Setup
83%
5 / 6 • P&L Units +0.54
Moderate Risk
80%
4 / 5 • P&L Units -0.19
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
August 2, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
July 26, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 (BMF Title)
July 19, 2025
Overall P&L Units
-0.52
Optimal P&L Units
-1.08
Moderate P&L Units
+0.56
Overall Accuracy
63%
5 / 8 • P&L Units -0.52
Optimal Setup
57%
4 / 7 • P&L Units -1.08
Moderate Risk
100%
1 / 1 • P&L Units +0.56
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Teixeira
July 12, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+0.00
Optimal P&L Units
+0.00
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira
June 29, 2025
Overall P&L Units
+3.33
Optimal P&L Units
+2.41
Moderate P&L Units
+0.92
Overall Accuracy
82%
9 / 11 • P&L Units +3.33
Optimal Setup
86%
6 / 7 • P&L Units +2.41
Moderate Risk
75%
3 / 4 • P&L Units +0.92
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree
June 21, 2025
Overall P&L Units
-1.55
Optimal P&L Units
-1.55
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
33%
1 / 3 • P&L Units -1.55
Optimal Setup
33%
1 / 3 • P&L Units -1.55
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley
June 14, 2025
Overall P&L Units
-0.14
Optimal P&L Units
-0.14
Moderate P&L Units
+0.00
Overall Accuracy
67%
4 / 6 • P&L Units -0.14
Optimal Setup
67%
4 / 6 • P&L Units -0.14
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 • P&L Units +0.00