Picks Results
All-time and per-event accuracy and performance for our model picks.
Note: These metrics are reference-only. We use flat staking of 1.00 unit per pick regardless of model confidence or probability. Historical units reflect this constant stake size.
All-Time Summary
Since Jun 14, 2025 • 23 completed events
Overall Accuracy
65%
102 / 156 correct
P&L: +8.54u
Optimal Setup
62%
71 / 114 correct
P&L: +1.33u
Moderate Risk
74%
31 / 42 correct
P&L: +7.21u
Advanced Performance Metrics
Overall ROI
5%
Risked +156.00u • Net +8.54u
Favorites
85% hit
109 picks
P&L: +26.12u
ROI: 24%
Avg Win Odds: -222
Underdogs
19% hit
47 picks
P&L: -17.58u
ROI: -37%
Avg Win Odds: +194
Quick Event Stats
Event Breakdown
Ledger Events: 22
Total Snapshots: 23
From Ledger: 22
Displaying: 23
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape📊 Ledger Data
December 13, 2025
Overall P&L
+2.46u
Optimal P&L
+1.24u
Moderate P&L
+1.22u
Overall Accuracy
100%
3 / 3 correct
Optimal Setup
100%
2 / 2 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
1 / 1 correct
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2📊 Ledger Data
December 6, 2025
Overall P&L
-3.37u
Optimal P&L
-3.82u
Moderate P&L
+0.45u
Overall Accuracy
42%
5 / 12 correct
Optimal Setup
36%
4 / 11 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
1 / 1 correct
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs Hooker📊 Ledger Data
November 22, 2025
Overall P&L
+0.54u
Optimal P&L
-1.34u
Moderate P&L
+1.88u
Overall Accuracy
71%
5 / 7 correct
Optimal Setup
50%
2 / 4 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
3 / 3 correct
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev📊 Ledger Data
November 15, 2025
Overall P&L
+0.42u
Optimal P&L
+1.42u
Moderate P&L
-1.00u
Overall Accuracy
70%
7 / 10 correct
Optimal Setup
78%
7 / 9 correct
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 1 correct
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown📊 Ledger Data
November 8, 2025
Overall P&L
+0.41u
Optimal P&L
-0.24u
Moderate P&L
+0.65u
Overall Accuracy
71%
5 / 7 correct
Optimal Setup
60%
3 / 5 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
2 / 2 correct
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama📊 Ledger Data
November 1, 2025
Overall P&L
+1.18u
Optimal P&L
+0.33u
Moderate P&L
+0.85u
Overall Accuracy
80%
4 / 5 correct
Optimal Setup
67%
2 / 3 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
2 / 2 correct
UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane📊 Ledger Data
October 25, 2025
Overall P&L
-0.48u
Optimal P&L
+0.04u
Moderate P&L
-0.52u
Overall Accuracy
57%
4 / 7 correct
Optimal Setup
60%
3 / 5 correct
Moderate Risk
50%
1 / 2 correct
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs Allen📊 Ledger Data
October 18, 2025
Overall P&L
-4.98u
Optimal P&L
-2.98u
Moderate P&L
-2.00u
Overall Accuracy
25%
2 / 8 correct
Optimal Setup
33%
2 / 6 correct
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 2 correct
October 11, 2025
Overall P&L
+0.00u
Optimal P&L
+0.00u
Moderate P&L
+0.00u
Overall Accuracy
0%
0 / 0 correct
Optimal Setup
0%
0 / 0 correct
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 correct
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2📊 Ledger Data
October 4, 2025
Overall P&L
-1.13u
Optimal P&L
-1.67u
Moderate P&L
+0.54u
Overall Accuracy
67%
6 / 9 correct
Optimal Setup
57%
4 / 7 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
2 / 2 correct
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes📊 Ledger Data
September 27, 2025
Overall P&L
+4.04u
Optimal P&L
+3.25u
Moderate P&L
+0.79u
Overall Accuracy
100%
3 / 3 correct
Optimal Setup
100%
2 / 2 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
1 / 1 correct
UFC Fight Night Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva📊 Ledger Data
September 13, 2025
Overall P&L
+0.50u
Optimal P&L
+0.50u
Moderate P&L
+0.00u
Overall Accuracy
67%
4 / 6 correct
Optimal Setup
67%
4 / 6 correct
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 correct
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho📊 Ledger Data
September 6, 2025
Overall P&L
+1.62u
Optimal P&L
-0.71u
Moderate P&L
+2.33u
Overall Accuracy
67%
4 / 6 correct
Optimal Setup
50%
1 / 2 correct
Moderate Risk
75%
3 / 4 correct
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang📊 Ledger Data
August 23, 2025
Overall P&L
+4.41u
Optimal P&L
+0.94u
Moderate P&L
+3.47u
Overall Accuracy
83%
5 / 6 correct
Optimal Setup
75%
3 / 4 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
2 / 2 correct
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev📊 Ledger Data
August 16, 2025
Overall P&L
-0.64u
Optimal P&L
-0.16u
Moderate P&L
-0.48u
Overall Accuracy
38%
3 / 8 correct
Optimal Setup
33%
2 / 6 correct
Moderate Risk
50%
1 / 2 correct
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez📊 Ledger Data
August 9, 2025
Overall P&L
+0.15u
Optimal P&L
+0.54u
Moderate P&L
-0.39u
Overall Accuracy
78%
7 / 9 correct
Optimal Setup
83%
5 / 6 correct
Moderate Risk
67%
2 / 3 correct
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park📊 Ledger Data
August 2, 2025
Overall P&L
+2.92u
Optimal P&L
+1.53u
Moderate P&L
+1.39u
Overall Accuracy
86%
6 / 7 correct
Optimal Setup
75%
3 / 4 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
3 / 3 correct
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder📊 Ledger Data
July 26, 2025
Overall P&L
-1.89u
Optimal P&L
-0.15u
Moderate P&L
-1.74u
Overall Accuracy
43%
3 / 7 correct
Optimal Setup
50%
2 / 4 correct
Moderate Risk
33%
1 / 3 correct
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 (BMF Title)📊 Ledger Data
July 19, 2025
Overall P&L
-0.30u
Optimal P&L
-0.86u
Moderate P&L
+0.56u
Overall Accuracy
63%
5 / 8 correct
Optimal Setup
57%
4 / 7 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
1 / 1 correct
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Teixeira📊 Ledger Data
July 12, 2025
Overall P&L
+2.37u
Optimal P&L
+2.82u
Moderate P&L
-0.45u
Overall Accuracy
88%
7 / 8 correct
Optimal Setup
100%
5 / 5 correct
Moderate Risk
67%
2 / 3 correct
UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira📊 Ledger Data
June 29, 2025
Overall P&L
+2.34u
Optimal P&L
+2.34u
Moderate P&L
+0.00u
Overall Accuracy
86%
6 / 7 correct
Optimal Setup
86%
6 / 7 correct
Moderate Risk
0%
0 / 0 correct
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree📊 Ledger Data
June 21, 2025
Overall P&L
-1.28u
Optimal P&L
-1.55u
Moderate P&L
+0.27u
Overall Accuracy
50%
2 / 4 correct
Optimal Setup
33%
1 / 3 correct
Moderate Risk
100%
1 / 1 correct
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley📊 Ledger Data
June 14, 2025
Overall P&L
-0.75u
Optimal P&L
-0.14u
Moderate P&L
-0.61u
Overall Accuracy
67%
6 / 9 correct
Optimal Setup
67%
4 / 6 correct
Moderate Risk
67%
2 / 3 correct