Hyder Amil vs Jose Delgado
UFC Featherweight Division • UFC 337
Sunday, June 29, 2025
Hyder Amil
11-0-0
🥊 Undefeated Veteran
Veteran Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Jose Delgado
9-1-0
🚀 Rising Prospect
Prospect Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 3 Fights - Hyder Amil
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | William Gomis | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-07-20 | JeongYeong Lee | W | KO/TKO (R1, 1:05) |
| 2024-02-10 | Fernie Garcia | W | KO/TKO (R2, 2:12) |
Last 5 Fights - Jose Delgado
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | Connor Matthews | W | TKO (R1, 2:58) |
| 2024-08-13 | Ernie Juarez | W | TKO (R2, 1:25) |
| 2024-07-12 | Lucas Faria | W | TKO (R1, 1:20) |
| 2024-04-27 | Alberto Romo | W | TKO (R3, 0:16) |
| 2024-02-02 | Desmond Manabat | W | Submission - D'arce Choke (R1, 1:38) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🥊 Hyder Amil Key Advantages
Superior 57% striking accuracy vs 44% - lands shots with much higher precision
1.18 submission attempts per 15 minutes vs 0.00 - constant submission danger
3 UFC fights vs 1 - proven ability to adapt to Octagon pressure and high-level competition
🚀 Jose Delgado Key Advantages
Elite 100% takedown defense vs 81% - exceptional ability to keep fights standing
2" height and 3" reach advantage with prime age (26) - can control distance effectively
Perfect UFC finish rate with diverse methods - explosive power and submission skills
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
🎯Hyder Amil Victory Methods
🎯Jose Delgado Victory Methods
📊 Fight Metrics & Derived Props
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Detailed value assessment in the betting market
📊Market Odds
Market Props
🤖Analytical Model
Model Props
💎Value Opportunities
MAXIMUM VALUE
Model: 57% | Market: 40.0%
STRONG VALUE
Model: 35% | Market: 25.0%
AVOID
Model: 43% | Market: 63.6%
⚠️Key Market Discrepancies
- • Overvalues Delgado's wrestling - Market favors grappling over striking efficiency
- • Undervalues Amil's finishing power - 67% finish rate and undefeated record
- • Physical attributes ignored - Amil's takedown defense and striking accuracy overlooked
- • Experience bias - Market overweights UFC debut vs regional dominance
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Amil
61% of his wins | Superior striking accuracy and volume
Superior conditioning and technical dominance
Limited submission opportunities vs strong takedown defense
💥Outcome Distribution - Delgado
Primary finishing method via wrestling control
Ground-and-pound or early power shots
Unlikely due to striking disadvantage
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
⚡Window of Opportunity - Delgado
- • First 8 minutes: Early wrestling pressure and takedown attempts
- • Grappling control: 7.01 takedowns per 15 minutes creates danger
- • Ground dominance: Elite 75% takedown accuracy
- • Submission opportunities: Capitalize on top position
- • Physical advantages: Height and reach for striking entries
🎯Progressive Dominance - Amil
- • Striking superiority: 57% vs 44% accuracy advantage
- • Volume output: Higher significant strike rate
- • Takedown defense: 81% stuffing percentage vs wrestling
- • Cardio advantage: Undefeated conditioning record
- • Late round control: Technical precision under pressure
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level and uncertainty factors
Confidence Level
High confidence due to clear technical advantages
✅Supporting Factors
- • Clear striking accuracy advantage (57% vs 44%)
- • Undefeated record with proven finishing ability
- • Strong takedown defense (81%) vs wrestling threat
- • Excellent betting value at +150 odds
- • Superior conditioning for extended exchanges
- • High-level regional competition experience
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Delgado's elite wrestling credentials
- • Perfect 100% takedown defense for Delgado
- • Featherweight division volatility
- • Physical disadvantages (height/reach)
- • Limited UFC-level experience sample
- • One successful takedown changes dynamics
🏁Executive Summary
This featherweight clash presents a classic striker versus grappler dynamic, with Amil's proven striking efficiency facing Delgado's elite wrestling credentials. Our analysis reveals significant market mispricing, with the betting public overvaluing Delgado's grappling while underestimating Amil's takedown defense and finishing ability.
While Delgado holds advantages in wrestling (7.01 takedowns per 15 minutes) and physical dimensions, Amil presents clear paths to victory through his superior striking accuracy (57% vs 44%) and proven finishing rate (67%). The market's heavy favoritism of Delgado at -175 creates exceptional value on Amil as a +150 underdog.
Prediction: Expect early wrestling pressure from Delgado, leveraging his grappling credentials and physical advantages. However, Amil's superior takedown defense (81%) and striking efficiency should allow him to keep the fight standing where his technical advantages become decisive. The undefeated Filipino's finishing ability creates genuine upset potential that the market significantly undervalues.