WelterweightNOT FIGHTING

Tony Ferguson

26-11

Age

Height

5'11"

Weight

170 lbs

Reach

76.5"

Avg Fight Time

11:19

Gym

Reign Training Center Lake Forrest

Wins By

13 KO · 8 Sub · 5 Dec

Losses By

—

Wins by Rd

R1 5R2 5R3 4R5 1

Last 5

LWWWL

Finish Rate

81%

Bonuses

—

Style

Freestyle

Location

Oxnard, United States

Fight History

LOSS

vs Michael Chiesa

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov· 2025-09-27

Submission

Rear Naked Choke

R1 3:44

SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R1 3:44

WIN

vs Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson· 2025-09-27

Decision - Unanimous

R5 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R5 5:00

WIN

vs Lando Vannata

UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker· 2025-09-27

Submission

D'Arce Choke After Drop to Ground

R2 2:22

SubmissionD'Arce Choke After Drop to Ground·R2 2:22

WIN

vs Josh Thomson

UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee· 2025-09-27

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

LOSS

vs Paddy Pimblett

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington· 2023-12-16

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

LOSS

vs King Green

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2· 2023-07-29

Submission

Arm Triangle From Half Guard

R3 4:54

SubmissionArm Triangle From Half Guard·R3 4:54

LOSS

vs Nate Diaz

UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson· 2022-09-10

Submission

Guillotine Choke From Bottom Guard

R4 2:52

SubmissionGuillotine Choke From Bottom Guard·R4 2:52

LOSS

vs Michael Chandler

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje· 2022-05-07

KO/TKO

Kick to Head At Distance Front kick

R2 0:17

KO/TKOKick to Head At Distance Front kick·R2 0:17

LOSS

vs Beneil Dariush

UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler· 2021-05-15

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

LOSS

vs Charles Oliveira

UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno· 2020-12-12

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

LOSS

vs Justin Gaethje

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje· 2020-05-09

KO/TKO

Punch to Head At Distance

R5 3:39

KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R5 3:39

WIN

vs Donald Cerrone

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes· 2019-06-08

TKO - Doctor's Stoppage

R2 5:00

TKO - Doctor's Stoppage·R2 5:00

WIN

vs Anthony Pettis

UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor· 2018-10-06

KO/TKO

to Corner Stoppage

R2 5:00

KO/TKOto Corner Stoppage·R2 5:00

WIN

vs Kevin Lee

UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee· 2017-10-07

Submission

Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard

R3 4:02

SubmissionTriangle Choke From Bottom Guard·R3 4:02

WIN

vs Gleison Tibau

UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano· 2015-02-28

Submission

Rear Naked Choke

R1 2:37

SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R1 2:37

WIN

vs Abel Trujillo

UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II· 2014-12-06

Submission

Rear Naked Choke

R2 4:19

SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 4:19

WIN

vs Danny Castillo

UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto· 2014-08-30

Decision - Split

R3 5:00

Decision - Split·R3 5:00

WIN

vs Katsunori Kikuno

UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw· 2014-05-24

KO/TKO

Punch to Head At Distance

R1 4:06

KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 4:06

WIN

vs Mike Rio

UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3· 2013-10-19

Submission

D'Arce Choke On Ground

R1 1:52

SubmissionD'Arce Choke On Ground·R1 1:52

WIN

vs Aaron Riley

UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage· 2011-09-24

TKO - Doctor's Stoppage

Jaw Injury

R1 5:00

TKO - Doctor's StoppageJaw Injury·R1 5:00

LOSS

vs Michael Johnson

UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

WIN

vs Ramsey Nijem

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale

KO/TKO

Punches to Head At Distance

R1 3:54

KO/TKOPunches to Head At Distance·R1 3:54

WIN

vs Edson Barboza

The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale

Submission

D'Arce Choke On Ground

R2 2:54

SubmissionD'Arce Choke On Ground·R2 2:54

WIN

vs Yves Edwards

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale

Decision - Unanimous

R3 5:00

Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00

Fighter Archetype

Submission Artist

Versatile Grappler

Why This Archetype

This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.

Striking

4.9/min

Grappling

0.39 TD

Defense

55%

⚖️Tony adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies

📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

Striking Foundation

23 rounds of fight film analyzed

🎯

Signature Technique

Elbows

Core of offensive identity

Dominant Level

74%

Of striking volume

Mastery Progress

Primary Arsenal

High Importance

Leg Kicks

57%of arsenal

0%100%

Medium Importance

Triangles

52%of arsenal

0%100%

Supporting Techniques

🥊Head/Hand

Jabs

39%

⭐Other

Knees

39%

⭐Other

Counters

30%

Common Combinations

Distance → Clinch

3× detected

Clinch → Takedown

3× detected

Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data

Striking Pattern Analysis

◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Elbows (74%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (131%) of offensive output.
◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 261% of offense - limited but refined.
▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.

Finish Techniques

Striking Finishes

45% of career finishes

Submission Finishes

55% of career finishes

⚡ Knockout Arsenal (5 techniques)

Jaw Injury

20% of KOs

Punch to Head At Distance

20% of KOs

Punches to Head At Distance

20% of KOs

to Corner Stoppage

20% of KOs

🔒 Submission Arsenal (4 techniques, 6 total finishes)

From Back Control

Rear Naked Choke

33% of subs

From Guard

Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard

17% of subs

Other

D'Arce Choke On Ground

33% of subs

D'Arce Choke After Drop to Ground

17% of subs

Finish Pattern Analysis

⚡💥 KO arsenal: Jaw Injury leads with 1 finishes. Multiple KO paths available.
🎯🔒 Submission arsenal: 4 different submission techniques. Led by D'Arce Choke On Ground (2x). Versatile ground finisher.
🔒🎪 Finishing tool collection: 9 different techniques used. No clear pattern - adapts based on position and opportunity.
🎪📊 Style profile: Threat across all ranges. Can finish standing or on ground - all-around dangerous.

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

🥊

Striking specialist: Dominates with devastating volume and accuracy. Avoids ground exchanges.

⚠️

Vulnerability: TD/15min is below average (9/100). Opponents exploit this.

🔥

Finisher: 81% of wins end in finish (13 KO + 8 subs).

🛡️

Defensive stance: Strong defense (55%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy

46%

Average

0%100%

Striking Defense

55%

Above Avg

0%100%

Range Breakdown

Distance

43% acc91%

Clinch

68% acc2%

Ground

81% acc7%

Striking Differential+0.54/min

4.91 landed/min4.37 absorbed/min

4.91

Landed/Min

4.37

Absorbed/Min

0.17

KD Avg

1st Rd Finishes

Sig. Strikes Landed1332

Sig. Strikes Attempted2905

Key Insights

Tony is a distance-first striker, with 91% of output at range.

Uses leg kicks strategically (20%).

Utilizes an effective jab.

Distance-dominant: 91% of output at range with 43% accuracy.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy

35%

Below Avg

0%100%

TD Defense

66%

Elite

0%100%

TD Success Rate

30%

Landed

Defended

Total

0.39

TD / 15min

0.88

Sub / 15min

TD Landed

TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Clinch Takedowns

Landed

Attempted

35%

Accuracy

Submission Timing

16 total attempts

Opportunistic

44%

13%

Key Insights

Rarely initiates takedowns (0.39/15min).

Solid TD defense at 66%.

8 career submission wins.

Prolific submission hunter: 16 career attempts.

Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange

Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight

Dealt

1,332

1.22

Ratio

Absorbed

1,090

Chin Rating

Good

KD Exchange

3/5

KD Recovery

40%

Pace & Momentum

Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends

Engagement Score

27.8

Moderate

Strikes/Min

5.2

Standing %

97%

R3 vs R1 Output

107%

Steady

Key Insights

🛡️ Defensive specialist - rarely gets knocked down relative to knockdowns given.

⚙️ High engagement score (27.8) - maintains relentless pace.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 24 fights

R1 Control

0:08

R2 Control

0:15

R3 Control

0:01

R1 to Final

-17%

In-Fight Adaptation

Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns

Adapts targeting and range based on opponent and fatigue.

Target Selection Evolution

Head

-6.9pp

Body

+4.4pp

Leg

+2.5pp

Range Preference Evolution

Ground Shift

+4.0pp

Round Patterns

⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power

🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter

Championship Rounds

Based on 3 five-round fights

Rounds 1-3 Avg

22.0

sig strikes / round

Rounds 4-5 Avg

28.8

sig strikes / round

Output Change

131%

R4-5 vs R1-3

Championship Ready

Competitive Profile

Strength of Schedule

Opponent quality and career progression

Avg Opponent ELO

3091

Championship

Career-wide opponent strength

Elite Wins (ELO 3000+)

/ 6

0% Win Rate

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights