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WelterweightNOT FIGHTING
TJ Waldburger

TJ Waldburger

16-9
Age
35
Height
5'11"
Weight
171 lbs
Reach
75"
Avg Fight Time
07:26
Gym
Wins By
0 KO · 0 Sub · 0 Dec
Losses By
Wins by Rd
R1 2R2 1R3 1
Last 5
WWLLL
Finish Rate
Bonuses
Style
Location
United States

Fight History

WIN
MS
vs Mike Stumpf
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger· 2025-09-27
SubmissionTriangle Choke On Ground·R1 3:52
WIN
DM
vs David Mitchell
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
JH
vs Johny Hendricks
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis· 2025-09-27
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 1:35
LOSS
MP
vs Mike Pyle
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann· 2014-02-22
KO/TKOElbows to Head From Mount·R3 4:03
LOSS
AA
vs Adlan Amagov
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3· 2013-10-19
KO/TKOPunch to Head In Clinch·R1 3:00
WIN
JH
vs Jake Hecht
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann· 2013-05-18
SubmissionArmbar On Ground·R1 0:55
LOSS
BE
vs Brian Ebersole
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida· 2013-05-18
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
NC
vs Nick Catone
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale
SubmissionTriangle Choke From Bottom Guard Technical Submission·R2 1:04
Fighter Archetype
Submission Artist
Versatile Grappler
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
2.0/min
Grappling
3.03 TD
Defense
40%
⚖️TJ adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
🧬Competent across all ranges — 51% striking and 46% TD accuracy
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

No commentary data for technique analysis

Finish Techniques

Striking Finishes
0
0% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
3
100% of career finishes
🔒 Submission Arsenal (3 techniques, 3 total finishes)
From Guard
Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard Technical Submission
#2
1
33% of subs
Other
Armbar On Ground
#1
1
33% of subs
Triangle Choke On Ground
#3
1
33% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
  • 🔒 Submission specialist: 100% of career finishes via submission. Elite grappling with dangerous ground finishing.
  • 🎯🔒 Submission arsenal: 3 different submission techniques. Led by Armbar On Ground (1x). Versatile ground finisher.

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

🤼
Grappling master: Controls through wrestling and submissions. Prefers mat exchanges.
💪
Peak strengths: Sub/15min (4.8) and TD/15min (3.0).
⚠️
Vulnerability: Strikes/Min is below average (24/100). Opponents exploit this.
⏱️
Fast starter: Peaks early in fights (85% in R3). Front-loads pressure.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy
51%
Average
0%100%
Striking Defense
40%
Below Avg
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
57% acc49%
Clinch
80% acc17%
Ground
78% acc34%
Striking Differential-0.37/min
2.02 landed/min2.39 absorbed/min
2.02
Landed/Min
2.39
Absorbed/Min
0.50
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed120
Sig. Strikes Attempted234

Key Insights

TJ is active on the ground (34%).

Uses leg kicks strategically (20%).

Effective ground striker: 34% from ground at 78% accuracy.

Durability concern: Vulnerable chin rating.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy
46%
Average
0%100%
TD Defense
40%
Below Avg
0%100%
TD Success Rate
46%(est)
Landed
12
Defended
14
Total
26
Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage
3.03
TD / 15min
4.79
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
26
TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Submission Timing
19 total attempts
Opportunistic
R1
42%
R2
47%
R3
11%

Key Insights

Aggressive wrestler averaging 3.03 TD/15min.

TD defense at 40% could be a vulnerability.

Active submission threat (4.79/15min).

Prolific submission hunter: 19 career attempts.

Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.

Ground active: 34% of output from ground position.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
0
0.00
Ratio
Absorbed
258
Chin Rating
Vulnerable
KD Exchange
0/4
KD Recovery
0%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
23.7
Low Output
Strikes/Min
2.4
Standing %
72%
R3 vs R1 Output
85%
Slight Fade

Key Insights

⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.00x) - absorbs more than deals.

⚡ Vulnerable chin - susceptible to power shots.

🛡️ Defensive specialist - rarely gets knocked down relative to knockdowns given.

⚙️ High engagement score (23.7) - maintains relentless pace.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 8 fights
R1 Control
1:26
R2 Control
0:59
R3 Control
1:52
R1 to Final
+53%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+27.3pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+27.3pp
Body
-14.9pp
Leg
-12.4pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
+23.4pp
Round Patterns
⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power
💪 Peak performance in final round

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights
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