Light Heavyweight#16 RankedACTIVE
Rafael Tobias
“Bipolar”
14Wins-2Losses
Age
23
Height
6'2"
Weight
—
Reach
74.5"
Avg Fight Time
—
Gym
—
Wins By
5 KO · 6 Sub · 3 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
—
Last 2
LL
Finish Rate
79%
Bonuses
—
Style
Submission-Heavy Finisher / Well-Rounded Attacker
Location
Lambari, Minas Gerais, Brazil
Next Fight2026-03-07
DN
vs Diyar Nurgozhay
Opponent Last Bout
L - Uran SatybaldievKO/TKOR1 4:59
Fight History
LOSS
LF
vs Lucas Fernando
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry· 2026-08-15
KO/TKO
Knee
R3 1:10
KO/TKOKnee·R3 1:10
LOSS
DN
vs Diyar Nurgozhay
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2· 2026-03-07
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
Fighter Archetype
Muay Thai Fighter
Clinch-Heavy Nak Muay
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
0.0/min
Grappling
0.00 TD
Defense
0%
⚖️Rafael adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
01
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
6 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Leg Kicks
Core of offensive identity
Dominant Level+82% vs div avg
83%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Jabs
83%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Knees
83%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
⭐Other
Counters
50%
🥊Head/Hand
Head Kicks
33%
🤼Clinch
Elbows
33%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
1× detected
Clinch → Takedown
1× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Leg Kicks (83%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (166%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 332% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
02
Finish Techniques
No finishes recorded (decision specialist)
03
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
⚖️
Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (0/100). Opponents exploit this.🔥
Finisher: 79% of wins end in finish (5 KO + 6 subs).📈
Pace builder: Output increases in later rounds (130% in R3). Outworks opponents.04
Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
0%
Low
0%100%
Striking Defense
0%
Low
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
32% acc67%
Clinch
58% acc10%
Ground
82% acc23%
0.00
Landed/Min
0.00
Absorbed/Min
0.00
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Key Insights
Utilizes an effective jab.
Effective ground striker: 23% from ground at 82% accuracy.
05
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
0%
Low
0%100%
TD Defense
0%
Low
0%100%
0.00
TD / 15min
0.00
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
0
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Submission Timing
1 total attempts
Late Round Sub Artist
R1
0%
R2
0%
R3
100%
Key Insights
TD defense at 0% could be a vulnerability.
6 career submission wins.
Submission timing: "Late Round Sub Artist" — dangerous in later rounds.
Ground active: 23% of output from ground position.
07
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 1 fights
R1 Control
--
R2 Control
1:44
R3 Control
0:47
R1 to Final
+30%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+11.5pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+11.5pp
Body
+0.8pp
Leg
-12.3pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
0.0pp
Round Patterns
⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights