MiddleweightRETIRED
Rafael Natal
21-9-1
Age
40
Height
6'0"
Weight
1852 lbs
Reach
76"
Avg Fight Time
12:27
Gym
Renzo gracie Academy- Houston, Texas
Wins By
0 KO · 0 Sub · 0 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
R3 9
Last 5
LWLLW
Finish Rate
—
Bonuses
—
Style
—
Location
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
Fight History
LOSS
RA
vs Rich Attonito
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
CC
vs Chris Camozzi
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
EH
vs Ed Herman
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
TK
vs Tim Kennedy
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R1 4:40
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 4:40
WIN
TT
vs Tor Troeng
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
EA
vs Eryk Anders
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head In Clinch
R1 2:54
KO/TKOPunch to Head In Clinch·R1 2:54
LOSS
TB
vs Tim Boetsch
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor· 2016-11-12
KO/TKO
Punches to Head At Distance
R1 3:22
KO/TKOPunches to Head At Distance·R1 3:22
LOSS
RW
vs Robert Whittaker
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux· 2016-04-23
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
UH
vs Uriah Hall
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier· 2015-05-23
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
WIN
TW
vs Tom Watson
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz· 2015-01-31
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
JZ
vs Joao Zeferino
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold· 2013-05-18
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
AC
vs Andrew Craig
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman· 2013-03-02
KO/TKO
Kick to Head At Distance
R2 4:52
KO/TKOKick to Head At Distance·R2 4:52
WIN
MK
vs Michael Kuiper
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit· 2012-02-04
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
PB
vs Paul Bradley
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2· 2011-08-06
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
DRAW
JB
vs Jesse Bongfeldt
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2· 2010-12-11
Decision - Majority
R3 5:00
Decision - Majority·R3 5:00
WIN
SS
vs Sean Spencer
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Submission
Arm Triangle From Mount
R3 2:13
SubmissionArm Triangle From Mount·R3 2:13
WIN
KC
vs Kevin Casey
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
KO/TKO
Punches to Head From Mount
R3 3:37
KO/TKOPunches to Head From Mount·R3 3:37
Fighter Archetype
Striker
Boxing-Heavy
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
3.1/min
Grappling
2.55 TD
Defense
58%
⚖️Rafael adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
No commentary data for technique analysis
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
1
50% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
1
50% of career finishes
⚡ Knockout Arsenal (1 techniques)
Punches to Head From Mount
#11
100% of KOs
🔒 Submission Arsenal (1 techniques, 1 total finishes)
From Mount
Arm Triangle From Mount
#11
100% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡⚔️ Balanced finisher: 50% KO/TKO, 50% submissions. Equally lethal on feet and ground.
- 🎯🎯 Signature KO: Punches to Head From Mount (1x, 100% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
- 🔒🔐 Specialized submission: Relies exclusively on Arm Triangle From Mount (1x). Single-threat grappling finisher.
- 🎪📊 Style profile: Threat across all ranges. Can finish standing or on ground - all-around dangerous.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
⚖️
Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (20/100). Opponents exploit this.🛡️
Defensive stance: Strong defense (58%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.🚫
Anti-wrestler: 77% TD defense. Keeps fights standing.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
48%
Average
0%100%
Striking Defense
58%
Above Avg
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
40% acc66%
Clinch
69% acc12%
Ground
61% acc22%
Striking Differential+0.62/min
3.10 landed/min2.48 absorbed/min
3.10
Landed/Min
2.48
Absorbed/Min
0.35
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed656
Sig. Strikes Attempted1370
Key Insights
Uses leg kicks strategically (28%).
Effective ground striker: 22% from ground at 61% accuracy.
High pace fighter: 4.8 strikes/min engagement.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
34%
Low
0%100%
TD Defense
77%
Elite
0%100%
TD Success Rate
34%
Landed
36
Defended
69
Total
105
2.55
TD / 15min
0.50
Sub / 15min
36
TD Landed
105
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
72
Landed
210
Attempted
34%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
7 total attempts
Late Round Sub Artist
R1
14%
R2
14%
R3
71%
Key Insights
Moderate TD threat at 2.55/15min.
Solid TD defense at 77%.
Lower TD accuracy (34%).
Submission timing: "Late Round Sub Artist" — dangerous in later rounds.
Ground active: 22% of output from ground position.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
1,312
1.76
Ratio
Absorbed
744
Chin Rating
AverageKD Exchange
10/10
KD Recovery
0%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
38.3
High
Strikes/Min
4.8
Standing %
76%
R3 vs R1 Output
103%
Key Insights
📊 Favorable damage ratio (1.76x) - consistent striking dominance.
⚙️ High engagement score (38.3) - maintains relentless pace.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 17 fights
R1 Control
0:56
R2 Control
1:42
R3 Control
1:05
R1 to Final
-1%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+22.6pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+22.6pp
Body
-6.7pp
Leg
-15.9pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
+25.8pp
Round Patterns
➡️ Maintains consistent output throughout fight
Competitive Profile
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
3014
ChampionshipCareer-wide opponent strength
Elite Wins (ELO 3000+)
0
/ 2
0% Win Rate
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights