LightweightNOT FIGHTING
Paul Kelly
12-4
Age
38
Height
5'9"
Weight
155 lbs
Reach
—
Avg Fight Time
11:13
Gym
—
Wins By
0 KO · 0 Sub · 0 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
R2 2R3 3
Last 5
LWWLW
Finish Rate
—
Bonuses
—
Style
—
Location
Liverpool, United Kingdom
Fight History
LOSS
DC
vs Donald Cerrone
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort· 2011-02-05
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R2 3:48
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 3:48
WIN
TO
vs TJ O'Brien
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida· 2010-11-20
KO/TKO
Elbows to Head From Crucifix
R2 3:16
KO/TKOElbows to Head From Crucifix·R2 3:16
WIN
MV
vs Matt Veach
UFC 112: Invincible· 2010-04-10
Submission
Guillotine Choke From Front Headlock
R2 3:41
SubmissionGuillotine Choke From Front Headlock·R2 3:41
LOSS
DS
vs Dennis Siver
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera· 2009-11-14
KO/TKO
Punches to Head In Clinch
R2 2:53
KO/TKOPunches to Head In Clinch·R2 2:53
WIN
RD
vs Rolando Delgado
UFC 99: The Comeback· 2009-06-13
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
TM
vs Troy Mandaloniz
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson· 2009-02-21
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
MD
vs Marcus Davis
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben· 2008-10-18
Submission
Guillotine Choke From Bottom Guard
R2 2:16
SubmissionGuillotine Choke From Bottom Guard·R2 2:16
WIN
PT
vs Paul Taylor
UFC 80: Rapid Fire· 2008-01-19
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
JV
vs Jacob Volkmann
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
Fighter Archetype
Wrestler
Wrestle-to-Submit
Why This Archetype
Classified as Wrestler due to elite takedown prowess (1.34 TD/15min) with dominant top position control and relentless ground pressure.
TD Rate
1.34/15m
TD Accuracy
60%
Clinch %
14%
🎯High conversion rate — 60% takedown accuracy
📊Dominates Strikers but can be neutralized by elite Grapplers off the back
Technique DNA
No commentary data for technique analysis
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
1
50% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
1
50% of career finishes
⚡ Knockout Arsenal (1 techniques)
Elbows to Head From Crucifix
#11
100% of KOs
🔒 Submission Arsenal (1 techniques, 1 total finishes)
Standing/Scramble
Guillotine Choke From Front Headlock
#11
100% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡⚔️ Balanced finisher: 50% KO/TKO, 50% submissions. Equally lethal on feet and ground.
- 🎯🎯 Signature KO: Elbows to Head From Crucifix (1x, 100% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
- 🔒🔐 Specialized submission: Relies exclusively on Guillotine Choke From Front Headlock (1x). Single-threat grappling finisher.
- 🎪📊 Style profile: Threat across all ranges. Can finish standing or on ground - all-around dangerous.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
⚖️
Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.💪
Peak strengths: Strike Def% (60%) and TD Acc% (60%).⚠️
Vulnerability: TD/15min is below average (30/100). Opponents exploit this.🛡️
Defensive stance: Strong defense (60%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.⏱️
Fast starter: Peaks early in fights (88% in R3). Front-loads pressure.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
38%
Below Avg
0%100%
Striking Defense
60%
Above Avg
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
25% acc35%
Clinch
45% acc14%
Ground
50% acc51%
Striking Differential+0.61/min
3.22 landed/min2.61 absorbed/min
3.22
Landed/Min
2.61
Absorbed/Min
0.15
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed325
Sig. Strikes Attempted856
Key Insights
Paul is active on the ground (51%).
Primarily a headhunter with 77% targeting the head.
Effective ground striker: 51% from ground at 50% accuracy.
High pace fighter: 6.8 strikes/min engagement.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
60%
Above Avg
0%100%
TD Defense
31%
Low
0%100%
TD Success Rate
60%(est)
Landed
9
Defended
6
Total
15
Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage
1.34
TD / 15min
1.49
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
15
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
18
Landed
30
Attempted
60%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
10 total attempts
Opportunistic
R1
40%
R2
30%
R3
30%
Key Insights
TD defense at 31% could be a vulnerability.
Active submission threat (1.49/15min).
High TD accuracy (60%).
Clinch TD specialist: 60% accuracy from clinch.
Prolific submission hunter: 10 career attempts.
Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
650
1.73
Ratio
Absorbed
376
Chin Rating
AverageKD Exchange
2/6
KD Recovery
50%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
40.9
High
Strikes/Min
6.8
Standing %
64%
R3 vs R1 Output
88%
Key Insights
📊 Favorable damage ratio (1.73x) - consistent striking dominance.
🛡️ Defensive specialist - rarely gets knocked down relative to knockdowns given.
⚙️ High engagement score (40.9) - maintains relentless pace.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 9 fights
R1 Control
1:24
R2 Control
1:54
R3 Control
2:34
R1 to Final
+12%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Transitions to grappling-heavy strategy in later rounds (+28.0pp).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+1.9pp
Body
-4.0pp
Leg
+2.1pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
+28.0pp
Round Patterns
➡️ Maintains consistent output throughout fight
💪 Peak performance in final round
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights