WelterweightNOT FIGHTING
Matthew Semelsberger
11-8
Age
32
Height
6'1"
Weight
171 lbs
Reach
75"
Avg Fight Time
10:49
Gym
—
Wins By
6 KO · 1 Sub · 4 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
R1 2R3 3
Last 5
LLLWW
Finish Rate
64%
Bonuses
—
Style
Freestyle
Location
Rockville, United States
Fight History
LOSS
CR
vs Charles Radtke
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punches to Head At Distance
R1 0:51
KO/TKOPunches to Head At Distance·R1 0:51
LOSS
PP
vs Preston Parsons
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
KW
vs Khaos Williams
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
JW
vs Jason Witt
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R1 0:16
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 0:16
WIN
CM
vs Carlton Minus
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
JW
vs Jeremiah Wells
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
WIN
JM
vs Jake Matthews
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
AF
vs AJ Fletcher
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
UM
vs Uros Medic
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2· 2023-07-29
KO/TKO
Spinning Back Elbow to Head At Distance
R3 2:36
KO/TKOSpinning Back Elbow to Head At Distance·R3 2:36
LOSS
AM
vs Alex Morono
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2· 2022-07-30
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
MS
vs Martin Sano
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega· 2021-09-25
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R1 0:15
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 0:15
Fighter Archetype
Technical Striker
Counter Striker
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
3.8/min
Grappling
1.01 TD
Defense
54%
⚖️Matthew adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
24 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Elbows
Core of offensive identity
Dominant Level
54%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Jabs
50%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Knees
50%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
⭐Other
Counters
42%
Damage Events
29%
🦵Leg Strike
Leg Kicks
38%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
3× detected
Clinch → Takedown
3× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Elbows (54%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (104%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 234% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
2
100% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
0
0% of career finishes
⚡ Knockout Arsenal (1 techniques)
Punch to Head At Distance
#12
100% of KOs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡⚡ Striking finisher: 100% of career finishes via knockout/TKO. Devastating striking power and end-game precision.
- 🎯🎯 Signature KO: Punch to Head At Distance (2x, 100% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
🥊
Striking specialist: Dominates with devastating volume and accuracy. Avoids ground exchanges.⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (15/100). Opponents exploit this.🛡️
Defensive stance: Strong defense (54%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
43%
Below Avg
0%100%
Striking Defense
54%
Average
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
44% acc80%
Clinch
66% acc8%
Ground
58% acc12%
Striking Differential-0.47/min
3.77 landed/min4.24 absorbed/min
3.77
Landed/Min
4.24
Absorbed/Min
1.26
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed449
Sig. Strikes Attempted1045
Key Insights
Matthew is a distance-first striker, with 80% of output at range.
Primarily a headhunter with 65% targeting the head.
High KD rate (1.26/fight).
Utilizes an effective jab.
Distance-dominant: 80% of output at range with 44% accuracy.
Elite KD exchange: deals 10.0x more knockdowns than absorbed.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
57%
Above Avg
0%100%
TD Defense
46%
Average
0%100%
TD Success Rate
21%
Landed
3
Defended
11
Total
14
1.01
TD / 15min
0.38
Sub / 15min
3
TD Landed
14
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
16
Landed
28
Attempted
57%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
3 total attempts
Late Round Sub Artist
R1
0%
R2
33%
R3
67%
Key Insights
TD defense at 46% could be a vulnerability.
High TD accuracy (57%).
Submission timing: "Late Round Sub Artist" — dangerous in later rounds.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
898
1.14
Ratio
Absorbed
786
Chin Rating
GoodKD Exchange
20/2
KD Recovery
0%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
23.3
Low Output
Strikes/Min
3.8
Standing %
85%
R3 vs R1 Output
99%
Key Insights
🎯 Effective knockdown technician - deals significantly more than absorbs.
⚙️ High engagement score (23.3) - maintains relentless pace.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 11 fights
R1 Control
0:33
R2 Control
0:53
R3 Control
0:56
R1 to Final
+29%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+8.2pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+8.2pp
Body
-6.4pp
Leg
-1.7pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-9.6pp
Round Patterns
⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter
Competitive Profile
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
2834
EliteCareer-wide opponent strength
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights