WelterweightNOT FIGHTING

Matt Arroyo
3-3
Age
40
Height
6'0"
Weight
171 lbs
Reach
—
Avg Fight Time
09:27
Gym
—
Wins By
0 KO · 0 Sub · 0 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
R1 1
Last 3
LWL
Finish Rate
—
Bonuses
—
Style
—
Location
Cobleskill, United States
Fight History
LOSS
DC

vs Dan Cramer
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2· 2009-01-31
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
WIN
JK
vs John Kolosci
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale
Submission
Armbar From Bottom Guard
R1 4:42
SubmissionArmbar From Bottom Guard·R1 4:42
LOSS
MB

vs Matt Brown
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
KO/TKO
Punches to Head From Guard
R2 3:40
KO/TKOPunches to Head From Guard·R2 3:40
Fighter Archetype
Well-Rounded
Balanced MMA
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
1.6/min
Grappling
2.12 TD
Defense
59%
⚖️Matt adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
No commentary data for technique analysis
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
0
0% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
1
100% of career finishes
🔒 Submission Arsenal (1 techniques, 1 total finishes)
From Guard
Armbar From Bottom Guard
#11
100% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡🔒 Submission specialist: 100% of career finishes via submission. Elite grappling with dangerous ground finishing.
- 🎯🔐 Specialized submission: Relies exclusively on Armbar From Bottom Guard (1x). Single-threat grappling finisher.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
🤼
Grappling master: Controls through wrestling and submissions. Prefers mat exchanges.💪
Peak strengths: Sub/15min (5.3) and Strike Def% (59%).⚠️
Vulnerability: Strikes/Min is below average (19/100). Opponents exploit this.🛡️
Defensive stance: Strong defense (59%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.🚫
Anti-wrestler: 100% TD defense. Keeps fights standing.📈
Pace builder: Output increases in later rounds (120% in R3). Outworks opponents.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
47%
Average
0%100%
Striking Defense
59%
Above Avg
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
31% acc39%
Clinch
16% acc20%
Ground
95% acc41%
Striking Differential-0.39/min
1.62 landed/min2.01 absorbed/min
1.62
Landed/Min
2.01
Absorbed/Min
0.00
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed46
Sig. Strikes Attempted97
Key Insights
Matt is active on the ground (41%).
Primarily a headhunter with 70% targeting the head.
Effective ground striker: 41% from ground at 95% accuracy.
Iron chin: exceptional durability under fire.
High pace fighter: 6.7 strikes/min engagement.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
36%
Below Avg
0%100%
TD Defense
100%
Elite
0%100%
TD Success Rate
36%(est)
Landed
4
Defended
7
Total
11
Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage
2.12
TD / 15min
5.29
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
11
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
8
Landed
22
Attempted
36%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
10 total attempts
Early Hunter
R1
70%
R2
0%
R3
30%
Key Insights
Moderate TD threat at 2.12/15min.
Elite TD defense (100%).
Active submission threat (5.29/15min).
Prolific submission hunter: 10 career attempts.
Submission timing: "Early Hunter" — most active early.
Ground active: 41% of output from ground position.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
92
0.82
Ratio
Absorbed
112
Chin Rating
IronKD Exchange
0/0
KD Recovery
Never Dropped
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
44.4
High
Strikes/Min
6.7
Standing %
83%
R3 vs R1 Output
120%
Key Insights
⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.82x) - absorbs more than deals.
🥊 Iron chin - rarely compromised by strikes.
⚙️ High engagement score (44.4) - maintains relentless pace.
📈 Improves dramatically in late rounds - R3 output 120% of R1.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 3 fights
R1 Control
1:01
R2 Control
0:03
R3 Control
2:03
R1 to Final
-44%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+17.7pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+17.7pp
Body
-15.6pp
Leg
-2.1pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
+52.0pp
Round Patterns
⬇️ Stronger in early rounds – starts fast
🥊 Peak performance in Round 1
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights
