FlyweightNOT FIGHTING
Matheus Nicolau
19-6-1
Age
32
Height
5'6"
Weight
1255 lbs
Reach
66"
Avg Fight Time
11:13
Gym
Nova Uniao - Rio de Janeiro
Wins By
5 KO · 5 Sub · 9 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
R2 1R3 6
Last 5
WLLWW
Finish Rate
53%
Bonuses
—
Style
Boxing
Location
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
Fight History
WIN
BK
vs Bruno Korea
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3· 2025-09-27
Submission
Guillotine Choke From Half Guard
R3 3:27
SubmissionGuillotine Choke From Half Guard·R3 3:27
LOSS
AP
vs Alex Perez
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R2 2:16
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R2 2:16
LOSS
BR
vs Brandon Royval
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Knee to Head At Distance
R1 2:09
KO/TKOKnee to Head At Distance·R1 2:09
WIN
MS
vs Matt Schnell
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R2 1:44
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R2 1:44
WIN
DD
vs David Dvorak
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
TE
vs Tim Elliott
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
MK
vs Manel Kape
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
DO
vs Dustin Ortiz
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Kick to Head At Distance
R1 3:49
KO/TKOKick to Head At Distance·R1 3:49
LOSS
AA
vs Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
LS
vs Louis Smolka
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm· 2017-12-30
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
JM
vs John Moraga
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
Fighter Archetype
Technical Striker
Counter Striker
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
3.3/min
Grappling
1.22 TD
Defense
66%
⚖️Matheus adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
🧬Competent across all ranges — 52% striking and 43% TD accuracy
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
14 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Leg Kicks
Core of offensive identity
Dominant Level
64%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Jabs
43%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Elbows
43%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
⭐Other
Knees
43%
⭐Other
Counters
43%
🥊Head/Hand
Head Kicks
36%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
3× detected
Clinch → Takedown
3× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Leg Kicks (64%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Mixed arsenal: Primary technique (Leg Kicks) and secondary (Jabs) complement each other well.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (107%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 236% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
1
50% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
1
50% of career finishes
⚡ Knockout Arsenal (1 techniques)
Punch to Head At Distance
#11
100% of KOs
🔒 Submission Arsenal (1 techniques, 1 total finishes)
Standing/Scramble
Guillotine Choke From Half Guard
#11
100% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡⚔️ Balanced finisher: 50% KO/TKO, 50% submissions. Equally lethal on feet and ground.
- 🎯🎯 Signature KO: Punch to Head At Distance (1x, 100% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
- 🔒🔐 Specialized submission: Relies exclusively on Guillotine Choke From Half Guard (1x). Single-threat grappling finisher.
- 🎪📊 Style profile: Threat across all ranges. Can finish standing or on ground - all-around dangerous.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
⚖️
Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.💪
Peak strengths: Strike Def% (66%) and Strike Acc% (52%).⚠️
Vulnerability: TD/15min is below average (27/100). Opponents exploit this.🛡️
Defensive stance: Strong defense (66%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.🚫
Anti-wrestler: 90% TD defense. Keeps fights standing.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
52%
Average
0%100%
Striking Defense
66%
Elite
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
50% acc87%
Clinch
80% acc1%
Ground
66% acc12%
Striking Differential+0.33/min
3.31 landed/min2.98 absorbed/min
3.31
Landed/Min
2.98
Absorbed/Min
0.97
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed408
Sig. Strikes Attempted786
Key Insights
Matheus is a distance-first striker, with 87% of output at range.
Effective body attack (34%).
Strong defense at 66%.
Utilizes an effective jab.
Distance-dominant: 87% of output at range with 50% accuracy.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
43%
Below Avg
0%100%
TD Defense
90%
Elite
0%100%
TD Success Rate
26%
Landed
6
Defended
17
Total
23
1.22
TD / 15min
0.85
Sub / 15min
6
TD Landed
23
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
20
Landed
46
Attempted
44%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
7 total attempts
Late Round Sub Artist
R1
29%
R2
29%
R3
43%
Key Insights
Elite TD defense (90%).
5 career submission wins.
Submission timing: "Late Round Sub Artist" — dangerous in later rounds.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
816
1.11
Ratio
Absorbed
736
Chin Rating
AverageKD Exchange
16/10
KD Recovery
20%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
27.8
Moderate
Strikes/Min
4.4
Standing %
87%
R3 vs R1 Output
98%
Key Insights
⚠️ Struggles after knockdowns - only 20% win rate when dropped.
🎯 Effective knockdown technician - deals significantly more than absorbs.
⚙️ High engagement score (27.8) - maintains relentless pace.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 11 fights
R1 Control
0:37
R2 Control
0:25
R3 Control
1:03
R1 to Final
+12%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Adapts targeting and range based on opponent and fatigue.
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+1.7pp
Body
+5.5pp
Leg
-7.2pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-6.2pp
Round Patterns
➡️ Maintains consistent output throughout fight
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter
Competitive Profile
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
2943
EliteCareer-wide opponent strength
Elite Wins (ELO 3000+)
2
/ 4
50% Win Rate
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights