LightweightACTIVE
Justin Gaethje
27-5
2 Win Streak
Age
36
Height
5'11"
Weight
156 lbs
Reach
70"
Avg Fight Time
11:14
Gym
Genesis Training Center
UFC Record
10-5(15 bouts)
Wins By
6 KO 0 Sub 4 Dec
Losses By
3 KO 2 Sub 0 Dec
Wins by Rd
R1 3R2 2R3 3R5 2
Last 5
WLWWW
Finish Rate
78%
Bonuses
15
Style
MMA
Location
Tucson, United States
Last Fight2026-01-24
PP
W - Paddy Pimblett
KO/TKOR1 4:18
Punch to Head At Distance
Opponent Last Bout
L - Justin GaethjeSubmissionR2 2:46· Rear Naked Choke
Fight History
WIN
DC
vs Donald Cerrone
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R1 4:18
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 4:18
LOSS
DP
vs Dustin Poirier
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head In Clinch
R4 0:33
KO/TKOPunch to Head In Clinch·R4 0:33
WIN
JV
vs James Vick
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head In Clinch
R1 1:27
KO/TKOPunch to Head In Clinch·R1 1:27
WIN
EB
vs Edson Barboza
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R1 2:30
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R1 2:30
WIN
RF
vs Rafael Fiziev
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev· 2025-03-08
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
MH
vs Max Holloway
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill· 2024-04-13
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R5 4:59
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R5 4:59
WIN
DP
vs Dustin Poirier
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2· 2023-07-29
KO/TKO
Kick to Head At Distance
R2 1:00
KO/TKOKick to Head At Distance·R2 1:00
WIN
RF
vs Rafael Fiziev
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3· 2023-03-18
Decision - Majority
R3 5:00
Decision - Majority·R3 5:00
LOSS
CO
vs Charles Oliveira
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje· 2022-05-07
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R1 3:22
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R1 3:22
WIN
MC
vs Michael Chandler
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2· 2021-11-06
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
KN
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje· 2020-10-24
Submission
Triangle Choke From Bottom Guard
R2 1:34
SubmissionTriangle Choke From Bottom Guard·R2 1:34
WIN
TF
vs Tony Ferguson
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje· 2020-05-09
KO/TKO
Punch to Head At Distance
R5 3:39
KO/TKOPunch to Head At Distance·R5 3:39
LOSS
EA
vs Eddie Alvarez
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2· 2017-12-02
KO/TKO
Knee to Head In Clinch
R3 3:59
KO/TKOKnee to Head In Clinch·R3 3:59
WIN
MJ
vs Michael Johnson
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
KO/TKO
Knees to Head In Clinch
R2 4:48
KO/TKOKnees to Head In Clinch·R2 4:48
WIN
PP
vs Paddy Pimblett
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Decision - Unanimous
R5 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R5 5:00
Fighter Archetype
Technical Striker
Outside Fighter
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
6.6/min
Grappling
0.10 TD
Defense
52%
⚖️Justin adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
29 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Leg Kicks
Core of offensive identity
Dominant Level+75% vs div avg
76%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Knees
72%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Jabs
62%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
⭐Other
Uppercuts
52%
Damage Events
45%
🥊Head/Hand
Head Kicks
41%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
3× detected
Clinch → Takedown
3× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Leg Kicks (76%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (148%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 307% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
6
100% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
0
0% of career finishes
⚡ Knockout Arsenal (4 techniques)
Punch to Head At Distance
#13
50% of KOs
Kick to Head At Distance
#21
17% of KOs
Knees to Head In Clinch
#31
17% of KOs
Punch to Head In Clinch
#41
17% of KOs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡⚡ Striking finisher: 100% of career finishes via knockout/TKO. Devastating striking power and end-game precision.
- 🎯🎯 Signature KO: Punch to Head At Distance (3x, 50% of KOs). Opponents specifically game-plan for this threat.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
🥊
Striking specialist: Dominates with devastating volume and accuracy. Avoids ground exchanges.💪
Peak strengths: Strikes/Min (6.6) and Strike Acc% (59%).⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (0/100). Opponents exploit this.🔥
Finisher: 78% of wins end in finish (20 KO + 1 subs).📈
Pace builder: Output increases in later rounds (122% in R3). Outworks opponents.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
59%
Above Avg
Division Rank#3 of 57
0%100%
Striking Defense
52%
Average
Division Rank#31 of 57
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
57% acc84%
Clinch
85% acc13%
Ground
74% acc4%
Striking Differential-0.59/min
6.59 landed/min7.18 absorbed/min
6.59
Landed/Min
7.18
Absorbed/Min
0.67
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed1036
Sig. Strikes Attempted1762
Key Insights
Justin is a distance-first striker, with 86% of output at range.
Uses leg kicks strategically (27%).
Utilizes an effective jab.
Distance-dominant: 84% of output at range with 57% accuracy.
Elite KD exchange: deals 3.5x more knockdowns than absorbed.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
14%
Low
Division Rank#49 of 57
0%100%
TD Defense
68%
Elite
Division Rank#32 of 57
0%100%
TD Success Rate
14%(est)
Landed
1
Defended
6
Total
7
Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage
0.10
TD / 15min
0.00
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
7
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
2
Landed
14
Attempted
14%
Accuracy
Key Insights
Rarely initiates takedowns (0.10/15min).
Solid TD defense at 68%.
Lower TD accuracy (14%).
Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
2,072
1.08
Ratio
Absorbed
1,926
Chin Rating
GoodKD Exchange
14/4
KD Recovery
0%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
33.2
Moderate
Strikes/Min
6.3
Standing %
94%
R3 vs R1 Output
122%
Key Insights
🎯 Effective knockdown technician - deals significantly more than absorbs.
⚙️ High engagement score (33.2) - maintains relentless pace.
📈 Improves dramatically in late rounds - R3 output 122% of R1.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 15 fights
R1 Control
0:09
R2 Control
0:25
R3 Control
0:17
R1 to Final
+20%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+10.5pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+10.5pp
Body
+2.6pp
Leg
-13.1pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-1.6pp
Round Patterns
➡️ Maintains consistent output throughout fight
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter
Championship Rounds
Based on 4 five-round fights
Rounds 1-3 Avg
29.5
sig strikes / round
Rounds 4-5 Avg
25.1
sig strikes / round
Output Change
85%
R4-5 vs R1-3
Slight Fade
Competitive Profile
Division Rankings
Performance metrics ranked within division
Volume
#3
of 57
🥇 Top 25%
Absorption
#57
of 57
📉 Below Average
Accuracy
#3
of 57
🥇 Top 25%
Str Defense
#31
of 57
🥉 Mid-range
Knockdowns
#13
of 57
🥇 Top 25%
Takedowns
#50
of 57
📉 Below Average
Submissions
#38
of 57
🥉 Mid-range
Damage Ratio
#44
of 57
📉 Below Average
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
3109
ChampionshipCareer-wide opponent strength
Elite Wins (ELO 3000+)
2
/ 6
33% Win Rate
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights