LightweightNOT FIGHTING

Joe Ellenberger

15-2

Age

Height

5'9"

Weight

156 lbs

Reach

72"

Avg Fight Time

14:12

Gym

Premier Combat Center

Wins By

8 KO · 4 Sub · 3 Dec

Losses By

—

Wins by Rd

R3 1

Last 2

Finish Rate

80%

Bonuses

—

Style

—

Location

Omaha, United States

Fight History

WIN

vs James Moontasri

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens· 2025-09-27

Decision - Split

R3 5:00

Decision - Split·R3 5:00

LOSS

vs Bryan Barberena

UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic

KO/TKO

Punches to Head On Ground

R3 3:24

KO/TKOPunches to Head On Ground·R3 3:24

Fighter Archetype

Well-Rounded

Balanced MMA

Why This Archetype

This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.

Striking

1.6/min

Grappling

3.17 TD

Defense

48%

⚖️Joe adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies

📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against

Technique DNA

No commentary data for technique analysis

Finish Techniques

No finishes recorded (decision specialist)

Fighter Skills Radar

Key Insights

🤼

Grappling master: Controls through wrestling and submissions. Prefers mat exchanges.

💪

Peak strengths: TD/15min (3.2) and Strike Def% (48%).

⚠️

Vulnerability: Strikes/Min is below average (19/100). Opponents exploit this.

🔥

Finisher: 80% of wins end in finish (8 KO + 4 subs).

⏱️

Fast starter: Peaks early in fights (37% in R3). Front-loads pressure.

Striking Profile

Striking Accuracy

47%

Average

0%100%

Striking Defense

48%

Average

0%100%

Range Breakdown

Distance

32% acc39%

Clinch

66% acc30%

Ground

85% acc30%

Striking Differential-1.83/min

1.62 landed/min3.45 absorbed/min

1.62

Landed/Min

3.45

Absorbed/Min

0.00

KD Avg

1st Rd Finishes

Sig. Strikes Landed46

Sig. Strikes Attempted97

Key Insights

Joe incorporates heavy clinch work (30%).

Primarily a headhunter with 65% targeting the head.

Absorbs more than landing (2.1:1).

Clinch active: 30% of output in the clinch (66% accuracy).

Effective ground striker: 30% from ground at 85% accuracy.

Grappling Profile

TD Accuracy

40%

Below Avg

0%100%

TD Defense

Low

0%100%

TD Success Rate

40%

Landed

Defended

Total

3.17

TD / 15min

1.06

Sub / 15min

TD Landed

TD Attempted

Extended Grappling

Clinch Takedowns

Landed

Attempted

40%

Accuracy

Submission Timing

2 total attempts

Opportunistic

100%

Key Insights

Aggressive wrestler averaging 3.17 TD/15min.

TD defense at 0% could be a vulnerability.

Active submission threat (1.06/15min).

Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.

Ground active: 30% of output from ground position.

Offensive vs Defensive Balance

Damage Exchange

Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight

Dealt

0.47

Ratio

Absorbed

196

Chin Rating

Good

KD Exchange

0/4

KD Recovery

50%

Pace & Momentum

Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends

Engagement Score

29.6

Moderate

Strikes/Min

2.8

Standing %

71%

R3 vs R1 Output

37%

Fades Late

Key Insights

⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.47x) - absorbs more than deals.

🛡️ Defensive specialist - rarely gets knocked down relative to knockdowns given.

⚙️ High engagement score (29.6) - maintains relentless pace.

📉 Struggles with fatigue - R3 output only 37% of R1 pace.

🎢 High striking absorption - takes significant damage in exchanges.

Round-by-Round Profile

Career average across 2 fights

R1 Control

1:23

R2 Control

1:31

R3 Control

1:30

R1 to Final

-63%

In-Fight Adaptation

Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns

Shifts to headhunting late (+18.8pp in R3).

Target Selection Evolution

Head

+18.8pp

Body

-17.3pp

Leg

-1.5pp

Range Preference Evolution

Ground Shift

-6.8pp

Round Patterns

⬇️ Stronger in early rounds – starts fast

Conclusions Summary

Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights