LightweightNOT FIGHTING

Jason Novelli
11-3
Age
44
Height
6'0"
Weight
156 lbs
Reach
75"
Avg Fight Time
10:43
Gym
Portland, Oregon
Wins By
3 KO · 6 Sub · 2 Dec
Losses By
—
Wins by Rd
—
Last 2
LL
Finish Rate
82%
Bonuses
—
Style
—
Location
Anchorage, United States
Fight History
LOSS
MP
vs Marco Polo Reyes
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
LOSS
DT

vs David Teymur
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punches to Head At Distance
R2 1:25
KO/TKOPunches to Head At Distance·R2 1:25
Fighter Archetype
Striker
Boxing-Heavy
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
1.7/min
Grappling
0.70 TD
Defense
67%
⚖️Jason adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
No commentary data for technique analysis
Finish Techniques
No finishes recorded (decision specialist)
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
🥊
Striking specialist: Dominates with devastating volume and accuracy. Avoids ground exchanges.💪
Peak strengths: Strike Def% (67%) and TD Acc% (33%).⚠️
Vulnerability: Sub/15min is below average (0/100). Opponents exploit this.🔥
Finisher: 82% of wins end in finish (3 KO + 6 subs).🛡️
Defensive stance: Strong defense (67%) limits opponent output. Conservative approach.🚫
Anti-wrestler: 100% TD defense. Keeps fights standing.📈
Pace builder: Output increases in later rounds (150% in R3). Outworks opponents.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
24%
Low
0%100%
Striking Defense
67%
Elite
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
26% acc92%
Clinch
25% acc3%
Ground
67% acc5%
Striking Differential-1.82/min
1.73 landed/min3.55 absorbed/min
1.73
Landed/Min
3.55
Absorbed/Min
0.00
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed37
Sig. Strikes Attempted154
Key Insights
Jason is a distance-first striker, with 92% of output at range.
Uses leg kicks strategically (35%).
Absorbs more than landing (2.1:1).
Strong defense at 67%.
Distance-dominant: 92% of output at range with 26% accuracy.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
33%
Low
0%100%
TD Defense
100%
Elite
0%100%
TD Success Rate
33%(est)
Landed
1
Defended
2
Total
3
Note: Takedowns landed estimated from accuracy percentage
0.70
TD / 15min
0.00
Sub / 15min
0
TD Landed
3
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
2
Landed
6
Attempted
33%
Accuracy
Key Insights
Elite TD defense (100%).
6 career submission wins.
Lower TD accuracy (33%).
Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
74
1.42
Ratio
Absorbed
52
Chin Rating
GoodKD Exchange
0/2
KD Recovery
0%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
15.6
Low Output
Strikes/Min
2.4
Standing %
94%
R3 vs R1 Output
150%
Key Insights
🛡️ Defensive specialist - rarely gets knocked down relative to knockdowns given.
⚙️ High engagement score (15.6) - maintains relentless pace.
📈 Improves dramatically in late rounds - R3 output 150% of R1.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 2 fights
R1 Control
0:06
R2 Control
0:14
R3 Control
0:50
R1 to Final
+88%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Shifts to headhunting late (+16.2pp in R3).
Target Selection Evolution
Head
+16.2pp
Body
+0.8pp
Leg
-17.1pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
+13.3pp
Round Patterns
⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power
💪 Peak performance in final round
🔄 Low control time – movement-focused fighter
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights
