Welterweight#16 RankedACTIVE
Gunnar Nelson
19-6-1
Age
36
Height
5'11"
Weight
170 lbs
Reach
72"
Avg Fight Time
10:20
Gym
Mjolnir, Reykjavik Iceland
UFC Record
10-6(16 bouts)
Wins By
0 KO 8 Sub 2 Dec
Losses By
1 KO 0 Sub 5 Dec
Wins by Rd
R1 4R2 4R3 2
Last 5
LLWWL
Finish Rate
89%
Bonuses
5
Style
Grappler
Location
Akureyri, Iceland
Last Fight2025-03-22
KH
L - Kevin Holland
Decision - UnanimousR3 5:00
Opponent Last Bout
L - Mike MalottDecision - UnanimousR3 5:00
Fight History
LOSS
KH
vs Kevin Holland
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
SP
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio· 2025-09-27
KO/TKO
Punches to Head At Distance
R1 1:22
KO/TKOPunches to Head At Distance·R1 1:22
WIN
AJ
vs Alan Jouban
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson· 2025-09-27
Submission
Guillotine Choke On Ground
R2 0:46
SubmissionGuillotine Choke On Ground·R2 0:46
WIN
AT
vs Albert Tumenov
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski· 2025-09-27
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R2 3:15
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 3:15
LOSS
RS
vs Rick Story
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split
R5 5:00
Decision - Split·R5 5:00
WIN
ZC
vs Zak Cummings
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao· 2025-09-27
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R2 4:48
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 4:48
WIN
OA
vs Omari Akhmedov
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa· 2025-09-27
Submission
Guillotine Choke On Ground
R1 4:36
SubmissionGuillotine Choke On Ground·R1 4:36
WIN
TS
vs Takashi Sato
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
GB
vs Gilbert Burns
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier· 2025-09-27
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
LOSS
LE
vs Leon Edwards
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal· 2025-09-27
Decision - Split
R3 5:00
Decision - Split·R3 5:00
WIN
BB
vs Bryan Barberena
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3· 2023-03-18
Submission
Armbar From Mount
R1 4:51
SubmissionArmbar From Mount·R1 4:51
WIN
AO
vs Alex Oliveira
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega· 2018-12-08
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R2 4:17
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R2 4:17
LOSS
DM
vs Demian Maia
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor· 2015-12-12
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
WIN
BT
vs Brandon Thatch
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor· 2015-07-11
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R1 2:54
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R1 2:54
WIN
DJ
vs DaMarques Johnson
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic· 2013-03-02
Submission
Rear Naked Choke
R1 3:34
SubmissionRear Naked Choke·R1 3:34
WIN
JS
vs Jorge Santiago
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald· 2013-03-02
Decision - Unanimous
R3 5:00
Decision - Unanimous·R3 5:00
Fighter Archetype
Well-Rounded
Balanced MMA
Why This Archetype
This fighter displays a unique approach that transcends traditional archetypes.
Striking
1.8/min
Grappling
2.00 TD
Defense
49%
⚖️Gunnar adapts strategy based on opponent — no predictable tendencies
🧬Competent across all ranges — 61% striking and 52% TD accuracy
📊Balanced approach can be difficult to game-plan against
Technique DNA
Striking Foundation
7 rounds of fight film analyzed
🎯
Signature Technique
Leg Kicks
Core of offensive identity
Master Level+42% vs div avg
43%
Of striking volume
Mastery Progress
Primary Arsenal
High Importance
Jabs
43%of arsenal
0%100%
Medium Importance
Elbows
43%of arsenal
0%100%
Supporting Techniques
⭐Other
Knees
43%
⭐Other
Triangles
43%
Mount
29%
Common Combinations
Distance → Clinch
3× detected
Clinch → Takedown
3× detected
Patterns detected from round-by-round fight data
Striking Pattern Analysis
- ◆Signature technique: Heavy reliance on Leg Kicks (43%). Opponents must prepare specifically for this threat.
- ▲Technical diversity: Multiple techniques used at similar rates - adapts based on situations.
- ●Comprehensive striker: Uses head strikes, leg kicks, and varied attacks across distance.
- ■Two-pillar system: Top 2 techniques account for majority (86%) of offensive output.
- ◇Focused arsenal: Top 5 techniques comprise 215% of offense - limited but refined.
- ▶Mixed martial artist: Uses both takedown techniques and submissions in the striking phase.
- ★Adaptive tempo: Switches between pressure and counter-fighting mid-round.
Finish Techniques
Striking Finishes
0
0% of career finishes
Submission Finishes
8
100% of career finishes
🔒 Submission Arsenal (3 techniques, 8 total finishes)
From Back Control
Rear Naked Choke
#15
63% of subs
From Mount
Armbar From Mount
#31
13% of subs
Standing/Scramble
Guillotine Choke On Ground
#22
25% of subs
Finish Pattern Analysis
- ⚡🔒 Submission specialist: 100% of career finishes via submission. Elite grappling with dangerous ground finishing.
- 🎯🔒 Submission arsenal: 3 different submission techniques. Led by Rear Naked Choke (5x). Versatile ground finisher.
Fighter Skills Radar
Key Insights
⚖️
Balanced fighter: Threatens equally on feet and mat. No clear weaknesses.💪
Peak strengths: Strike Acc% (61%) and TD Acc% (52%).⚠️
Vulnerability: Strikes/Min is below average (21/100). Opponents exploit this.🔥
Finisher: 89% of wins end in finish (4 KO + 13 subs).⏱️
Fast starter: Peaks early in fights (82% in R3). Front-loads pressure.Striking Profile
Striking Accuracy
61%
Above Avg
Division Rank#5 of 54
0%100%
Striking Defense
49%
Average
Division Rank#43 of 54
0%100%
Range Breakdown
Distance
55% acc51%
Clinch
75% acc11%
Ground
82% acc39%
Striking Differential-1.29/min
1.77 landed/min3.06 absorbed/min
1.77
Landed/Min
3.06
Absorbed/Min
0.09
KD Avg
0
1st Rd Finishes
Sig. Strikes Landed292
Sig. Strikes Attempted477
Key Insights
Gunnar is active on the ground (39%).
Primarily a headhunter with 76% targeting the head.
Absorbs more than landing (1.7:1).
Elite accuracy at 61%.
Utilizes an effective jab.
Effective ground striker: 39% from ground at 82% accuracy.
Grappling Profile
TD Accuracy
52%
Average
Division Rank#11 of 54
0%100%
TD Defense
68%
Elite
Division Rank#27 of 54
0%100%
TD Success Rate
24%
Landed
10
Defended
32
Total
42
2.00
TD / 15min
1.00
Sub / 15min
10
TD Landed
42
TD Attempted
Extended Grappling
Clinch Takedowns
22
Landed
42
Attempted
52%
Accuracy
Submission Timing
11 total attempts
Opportunistic
R1
46%
R2
36%
R3
18%
Key Insights
Moderate TD threat at 2.00/15min.
Solid TD defense at 68%.
Active submission threat (1.00/15min).
Prolific submission hunter: 11 career attempts.
Submission timing: "Opportunistic" — consistent threat.
Ground active: 39% of output from ground position.
Offensive vs Defensive Balance
Damage Exchange
Offensive dominance vs damage absorbed per fight
Dealt
292
0.73
Ratio
Absorbed
398
Chin Rating
GoodKD Exchange
1/4
KD Recovery
0%
Pace & Momentum
Fight pacing and round-over-round performance trends
Engagement Score
23.5
Low Output
Strikes/Min
2.9
Standing %
68%
R3 vs R1 Output
82%
Key Insights
⚠️ Damage ratio below 1.0 (0.73x) - absorbs more than deals.
🛡️ Defensive specialist - rarely gets knocked down relative to knockdowns given.
⚙️ High engagement score (23.5) - maintains relentless pace.
Round-by-Round Profile
Career average across 16 fights
R1 Control
1:42
R2 Control
1:42
R3 Control
1:47
R1 to Final
-22%
In-Fight Adaptation
Detected across career, comparing R1 vs R3+ patterns
Keeps distance in R3, avoids grappling when fatigued.
Target Selection Evolution
Head
-10.8pp
Body
+6.8pp
Leg
+4.1pp
Range Preference Evolution
Ground Shift
-30.9pp
Round Patterns
⬆️ Improves with fight duration – strong finishing power
💪 Peak performance in final round
Championship Rounds
Based on 1 five-round fight
Rounds 1-3 Avg
7.8
sig strikes / round
Rounds 4-5 Avg
13.0
sig strikes / round
Output Change
166%
R4-5 vs R1-3
Championship Ready
Competitive Profile
Division Rankings
Performance metrics ranked within division
Volume
#54
of 54
📉 Below Average
Absorption
#18
of 54
🥈 Top 50%
Accuracy
#5
of 54
🥇 Top 25%
Str Defense
#43
of 54
📉 Below Average
Knockdowns
#41
of 54
📉 Below Average
Takedowns
#15
of 54
🥈 Top 50%
Submissions
#7
of 54
🥇 Top 25%
Damage Ratio
#53
of 54
📉 Below Average
Strength of Schedule
Opponent quality and career progression
Avg Opponent ELO
2997
EliteCareer-wide opponent strength
Elite Wins (ELO 3000+)
0
/ 2
0% Win Rate
Conclusions Summary
Fighter characteristics, strengths, patterns, and competitive insights