UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

Kayla Harrison: Get to the clinch in the first minute, land the throw or the trip, and hold top position the way she did against Holm, Vieira and Peña. Look for the finish in round two, as in both UFC stoppages.

Amanda Nunes: Win the first round on the feet as she always has, keep Harrison off her hips with the 81% takedown defence, and use her power and reach before the clinch forms. If the fight gets past round three, she has been there six times and Harrison never has in the UFC.

Luis Gurule: Get through round one without giving up the body shots or the takedown, then build volume as he always does and take the second and third rounds on output, the way he beat Barez 73-51 in the third.

Bilal Hasan: Use six inches of reach and the body attack to win round one clearly, then finish before the third, when Gurule's output peaks.

Caio Borralho: Go back to the wrestling of his early UFC fights: take Belgaroui down in round one, hold position and make him carry weight, as Bekoev and Abdul-Malik did for stretches. On the feet, stay at a range where his lower-volume, accurate striking can keep rounds close.

Yousri Belgaroui: Keep it a kickboxing match, make Borralho pay for every entry with the knee, and keep building the lead on the strike count until the finish comes, as it did in round three against Bekoev and Abdul-Malik.

Uros Medic: Close the ten inches early and commit to the left hand, as in the Neal and Salikhov fights. He does not need to out-point Holland over fifteen minutes; he needs one clean exchange in the first round.

Kevin Holland: Survive round one with the long jab and lateral movement, then win the second and third on volume, as he did against Randy Brown. If Medic clinches without a plan, the D'Arce and anaconda are there.

Adrian Yanez: Keep it a boxing match. Yanez wins striking exchanges on volume, and six of his seven UFC wins ended on the feet. The key moment is the first takedown attempt: circle off the fence, punish the level change and get back to the middle of a 30-foot Octagon. If the early shots come up empty, the Garbrandt and Salvador nights — finishes inside three minutes — are where the numbers point.

Juan Díaz: Make it the Wellmaker fight. Díaz does not need to win the striking — he lost it in his debut and still finished — he needs the clinch and the first takedown early, then back control. Yanez has spent almost no time wrestling in the UFC, so every scramble is Díaz's territory, and the longer he keeps Yanez carrying weight the more the knockout threat fades.

Stephen Thompson: Keep it at kicking range. Thompson's stance, 75-inch reach and side kick are built to make opponents reach, and Radtke is a low-volume striker who has been knocked out twice when he stood and exchanged. Stay off the fence, punish the entries and bank rounds on output: three rounds of Thompson's usual volume, about 58 landed, is a clear points lead over Radtke's usual 31.

Charles Radtke: Turn it into the Bonfim fight. Radtke does not need to out-strike Thompson; he needs the clinch, the takedown and long stretches of top control, which is how he beat Mathetha, Frunza and Prado. Every minute on the mat is a minute the karate cannot score, and the Frunza choke says he can finish from there.

Drew Dober: Make it a fistfight at range. Every UFC win Dober has had since 2018 is a knockout, and his ten UFC knockdowns say the southpaw power travels. Keep the head up on entries so Duncan's front-headlock chokes never find a neck, stay off the fence, and let the heavier punches decide exchanges before the wrestling does.

Chris Duncan: Mix the level change into the striking and make Dober carry weight. Duncan's UFC finishes are chokes from the front headlock, and Dober has been submitted four times in the UFC. Takedown attempts force Dober to defend, defending exposes the neck, and the longer the fight goes the more Duncan's late-round output and control come into play.

Jim Miller: Survive the opening burst and invite the entry. Miller does not need to win exchanges — he rarely does — he needs McKinney to shoot or rush forward with his head low, the way Gordon did in May. The guillotine is there on every level change. If the first round passes without a finish, the fight moves into rounds McKinney has not seen in the UFC, and Miller's ten career decision wins say he can manage a long fight.

Terrance McKinney: Start fast and stay disciplined. McKinney lands almost eight significant strikes a minute and finished 17 of his 18 wins in round one; a clean first round is the base case. The danger is his own aggression: shooting into a guillotine specialist, or chasing a finish with his chin exposed. Strike first, keep the takedowns selective and the neck tucked, and the numbers favour him clearly.

Macy Chiasson: Use every inch. Chiasson has five inches of height and four and a half of reach, and Mesquita has never had to strike her way through someone that long. Jab, front kick and circle; if Mesquita closes, frame off and get back to space rather than clinching. A fifteen-minute fight at range, where Chiasson's output can build, is the version her decision and knockout record points to.

Bia Mesquita: Close the distance and get the fight down. Mesquita has submitted every UFC opponent inside two rounds, and Chiasson's recent losses came when opponents took her down or controlled her. Chiasson clinches often, which offers Mesquita the body lock, the trip and the back. She does not need to win a striking exchange — Mullins beat her on the feet and still tapped.

Donte Johnson: Close the distance through the kicks and land in Round 1, where Almeida has been knocked down three times in six UFC fights — or catch a kick and take him down, as five of Almeida's six UFC opponents have.

César Almeida: Stay upright and at range: calf kicks to slow the blitz, rear body kicks, hands high, the counter left hook when Johnson swings — and bank the first two rounds on his 60% accuracy.

Melquizael Costa: Vary the attack that Gordon must cross, exit before the pressure becomes a secure body connection and punish compromised entries without sacrificing position. Use submission threats to support the striking rather than replacing defensive discipline.

Jared Gordon: Cut the exit, establish inside position and make Costa work from a restricted stance. Keep the head safe during entries and produce strikes or advancement once the clinch or takedown is secured.

Evan Elder: Build pressure through compact combinations and controlled clinch entries, then remain defensively organised when the connection breaks. Make Sanches work through repeated sequences instead of offering one decisive reset.

Samuel Sanches: Deny settled control, recover a balanced striking stance after separation and punish Elder while he is changing phases. Use the first hard response to create more space rather than abandoning position in pursuit of an instant finish.