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UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev Event Analytics & Predictions

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev Poster - UFC Fight Analytics
Saturday, November 15, 2025
New York, New York
Madison Square Garden
⚑ Upcoming Event15 FightsπŸ† 2 Title Fights
Main Card: Pay Per View
Prelims: ESPN
Start Time: 06:00 PM ET
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET (Local)
New York, USA
Early
6:00 PM
Prelims
8:00 PM
Main
10:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
3:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
7:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
11:00 PM
Prelims
1:00 AM (Sunday)
Main
3:00 AM (Sunday)
CET
Central Europe
Early
12:00 AM (Sunday)
Prelims
2:00 AM (Sunday)
Main
4:00 AM (Sunday)
AEST
Australia (Perth)
Early
8:00 AM (Sunday)
Prelims
10:00 AM (Sunday)
Main
12:00 PM (Sunday)

UFC 322 New York: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (MSG Showcase)

Advanced UFC 322 analysis for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns and predictions for the championship double‑header and the full card including Shevchenko vs Zhang.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis β€” model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks.

πŸ“ŠAnalysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

πŸ”΄

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟑

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟒

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC 322 Fights, Analytics & Predictions

πŸ’‘

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

Main Event
🟒
UFC Welterweight Championship
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
Co-Main Event
🟒
UFC Women's Flyweight Championship
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
🟒
Women's Flyweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
🟒
Welterweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
🟒
Lightweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
Benoit Saint-Denis

Benoit Saint-Denis

"God of War"

16-3-0

🟑
Angela Hill

Angela Hill

"Overkill"

18-16-0

Women's Strawweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
Fatima Kline

Fatima Kline

"The Archangel"

9-1-0

🟒
Gerald Meerschaert

Gerald Meerschaert

"GM3"

37-21-0

Middleweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
Kyle Daukaus

Kyle Daukaus

"The D'Arce Knight"

17-4-0

🟒
Middleweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
Rodolfo Vieira

Rodolfo Vieira

"The Black Belt Hunter"

11-4-0

🟒
Middleweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
Gregory Rodrigues

Gregory Rodrigues

"Robocop"

18-6-0

πŸ”΄
Baisangur Susurkaev

Baisangur Susurkaev

"Hunter"

11-0-0

Middleweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
🟒
Welterweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
πŸ”΄
Bantamweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
🟑
Featherweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
πŸ”΄
Lightweight
VS
Odds:.../...
No picks yet
β›” CANCELLED
πŸ”΄
Bantamweight
CANCELLED
Odds:.../...
No picks yet

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Maddalena vs Makhachev🟒Jack Della Maddalena30.0%N/Aβ€”Islam Makhachev70.0%N/Aβ€”Makhachev +70.0%
Shevchenko vs Zhang🟒Valentina Shevchenko72.0%N/Aβ€”Weili Zhang28.0%N/Aβ€”Shevchenko +72.0%
Blanchfield vs Cortez🟒Erin Blanchfield75.0%N/Aβ€”Tracy Cortez25.0%N/Aβ€”Blanchfield +75.0%
Edwards vs Prates🟒Leon Edwards70.0%N/Aβ€”Carlos Prates30.0%N/Aβ€”Edwards +70.0%
Dariush vs Saint-Denis🟒Beneil Dariush42.0%N/Aβ€”Benoit Saint-Denis58.0%N/Aβ€”Saint-Denis +58.0%
Hill vs Kline🟑Angela Hill62.0%N/Aβ€”Fatima Kline38.0%N/Aβ€”Hill +62.0%
Meerschaert vs Daukaus🟒Gerald Meerschaert43.0%N/Aβ€”Kyle Daukaus57.0%N/Aβ€”Daukaus +57.0%
Nickal vs Vieira🟒Bo Nickal66.0%N/Aβ€”Rodolfo Vieira34.0%N/Aβ€”Nickal +66.0%
Kopylov vs Rodrigues🟒Roman Kopylov38.0%N/Aβ€”Gregory Rodrigues62.0%N/Aβ€”Rodrigues +62.0%
Brady vs Morales🟒Sean Brady60.0%N/Aβ€”Michael Morales40.0%N/Aβ€”Brady +60.0%
Mariscal vs Sabatini🟑Chepe Mariscal63.0%N/Aβ€”Pat Sabatini37.0%N/Aβ€”Mariscal +63.0%
Borshchev vs Camilo🟒Viacheslav Borshchev50.0%N/Aβ€”Matheus Camilo50.0%N/Aβ€”Camilo +50.0%
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Accuracy of our Picks

Note: These metrics are reference-only. We use flat staking of 1.00 unit per pick regardless of model confidence or probability. Historical units reflect this constant stake size.
70%
Prediction Accuracy (Overall)
7
Correct Predictions (Overall)
10
Total Picks
+0.42u
Betting Units (Overall)
78%
Prediction Accuracy (Optimal)
7
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
9
Optimal Picks
+1.42u
Betting Units (Optimal)
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev
Pick: Islam Makhachev (-250) | +0.40u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Valentina Shevchenko vs Weili Zhang
Pick: Valentina Shevchenko (-135) | +0.74u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez
Pick: Erin Blanchfield (-240) | +0.42u
Result: Submission
Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis
Pick: Benoit Saint-Denis (-195) | +0.51u
Result: KO/TKO
Gerald Meerschaert vs Kyle Daukaus
Pick: Kyle Daukaus (-350) | +0.29u
Result: Submission
Bo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira
Pick: Bo Nickal (-230) | +0.43u
Result: KO/TKO
Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues
Pick: Gregory Rodrigues (-160) | +0.63u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Incorrect Predictions (Optimal)
Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates
Pick: Leon Edwards | -1.00u
Result: KO/TKO
Sean Brady vs Michael Morales
Pick: Sean Brady | -1.00u
Result: KO/TKO
Moderate Risk Picks Summary
0%
Prediction Accuracy (Moderate)
0
Correct Predictions (Moderate)
1
Moderate Picks
-1.00u
Betting Units (Moderate)
Correct Predictions (Moderate)
None
Incorrect Predictions (Moderate)
Chepe Mariscal vs Pat Sabatini
Pick: Chepe Mariscal | -1.00u
Result: Decision - Unanimous

Performance of the Night ($50,000)

  • Michael Moralesvs Sean Brady
  • Carlos Pratesvs Leon Edwards
  • Benoit Saint-Denisvs Beneil Dariush
  • Bo Nickalvs Rodolfo Vieira

Event Discussion

No comments yet

Event Highlights

Event Preview

Welterweight Championship at MSG

Jack Della Maddalena steps up against Islam Makhachev for the UFC Welterweight title in New York. Elite striking meets world‑class grappling in a stylistic showcase.

Champion vs Champion Spotlight

The co‑main event features a superfight at flyweight: Valentina Shevchenko vs Weili Zhang, a championship‑caliber clash with legacy implications.

Divisional Stakes and Contenders

Rising contenders collide as Erin Blanchfield faces Tracy Cortez in women's flyweight action, while former champion Leon Edwards battles Carlos Prates in a welterweight showcase.

Related Links

Event Analytics Overview

15
Total Fights
2
Title Fight
7
Divisions
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