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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes Poster - UFC Analytics
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
4:00 AM
Prelims
6:00 AM
Main
8:00 AM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
1:00 AM
Prelims
3:00 AM
Main
5:00 AM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
9:00 AM
Prelims
11:00 AM
Main
1:00 PM
CET
Central Europe
Early
10:00 AM
Prelims
12:00 PM
Main
2:00 PM
Local
Perth, Australia
Early
1:00 PM
Prelims
3:00 PM
Main
5:00 PM
Saturday, September 27, 2025
Perth, Western Australia, Australia
RAC Arena
Upcoming Event16 Fights
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET

UFC Fight Night Perth: Ulberg vs Reyes Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Light Heavyweight Headliner)

Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Ulberg vs Reyes featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the light heavyweight main event and the full card including Jimmy Crute vs Ivan Erslan.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes – Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

Main Event
🟢
Carlos Ulberg

Carlos Ulberg

"Black Jag"

12-1-0

Light Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
Dominick Reyes

Dominick Reyes

"The Devastator"

15-4-0

🔴
Light Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
Rodolfo Bellato

Rodolfo Bellato

"Trator"

12-2-1

🔴
Women's Strawweight
VS
Odds:
Alexia Thainara

Alexia Thainara

"Burguesinha"

12-1-0

🟡
Junior Tafa

Junior Tafa

"The Juggernaut"

6-4-0

Light Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
Ibo Aslan

Ibo Aslan

"The Last Ottoman"

14-3-0

🟡
Lightweight
VS
Odds:
Rolando Bedoya

Rolando Bedoya

"La Bala"

14-4-0

🔴
Featherweight
VS
Odds:
🔴
Jimmy Crute

Jimmy Crute

"The Brute"

13-4-2

Light Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
🟢
Welterweight
VS
Odds:
Neil Magny

Neil Magny

29-12-0

🔴
Welterweight
VS
Odds:
🔴
Colby Thicknesse

Colby Thicknesse

"Slickness"

7-1-0

Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
🔴
Women's Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
Luana Carolina

Luana Carolina

"Dread"

11-4-0

🔴
Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
🔴
Heavyweight
VS
Odds:
🔴
Middleweight
VS
Odds:
FIZZLED UFC 320
🔴
Daniel Santos

Daniel Santos

"Willycat"

12-2-0

FIZZLED UFC 320
VS
Odds:
CANCELLED — Elder Leg injury
🟡
Lightweight
CANCELLED
Odds:
Evan Elder

Evan Elder

"The Phenom"

10-2-0

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Carlos vs Dominick🟢Carlos Ulberg62%Dominick Reyes38%No odds yet
Junior vs Ibo🟡Junior Tafa35%Ibo Aslan65%No odds yet
Jamie vs Rolando🟡Jamie Mullarkey62%Rolando Bedoya38%No odds yet
Jake vs Neil🟢Jake Matthews42%Neil Magny58%No odds yet
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Event Highlights

Light Heavyweight Main Event in Perth

Carlos Ulberg faces former title challenger Dominick Reyes in a pivotal light heavyweight main event. Ulberg brings high-volume kickboxing and sharp defense, while Reyes offers proven five‑round experience and power.

Deep Card With Rising Prospects

Feature bouts include Jimmy Crute vs Ivan Erslan and Tom Nolan vs Evan Elder, plus competitive women's matchups and powerful light heavyweight clashes.

Notable Storylines

Expect tactical adjustments from Reyes returning to form, Ulberg's step up in competition, and several live underdogs across the prelims with grappling upside.

Event Analytics Overview

16
Total Fights
4
Main Card Fights
12
Divisions
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