UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions
UFC Fight Night Perth: Ulberg vs Reyes Predictions, Odds & Start Time
Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Light Heavyweight Headliner)
Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Ulberg vs Reyes featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the light heavyweight main event and the full card including Jimmy Crute vs Ivan Erslan.
We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis — model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.
📊Analysis Reliability Framework
Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.
High Risk (**)
<3 UFC Bouts
Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.
Moderate Risk (*)
3-4 UFC Bouts
Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.
Optimal Data
5+ UFC Bouts
Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.
Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes – Fights, Analytics & Predictions
We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).
Ivan Erslan
14-6-0
Navajo Stirling
8-0-0
Loma Lookboonmee
10-4-0
Jamie Mullarkey
18-8-0
Jack Jenkins
14-4-0
Ramon Taveras
10-4-0
Jake Matthews
22-8-0
Neil Magny
31-13-0
Tom Nolan
10-1-0
Josias Musasa
8-2-0
Michelle Montague
7-0-0
Brando Peričić
5-1-0
Elisha Ellison
5-2-0
Andre Petroski
13-5-0
Cam Rowston
13-3-0
Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary
| Fight | Fighter A | Model Prob A | Market Odds A | Implied Prob A | Fighter B | Model Prob B | Market Odds B | Implied Prob B | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos vs Dominick🟢 | Carlos Ulberg | 62% | — | — | Dominick Reyes | 38% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Jamie vs Rolando🟡 | Jamie Mullarkey | 62% | — | — | Rolando Bedoya | 38% | — | — | No odds yet |
| Jake vs Neil🟢 | Jake Matthews | 42% | — | — | Neil Magny | 58% | — | — | No odds yet |
Accuracy of our Picks
Overall Summary (Optimal + Moderate)
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
Incorrect Predictions (Optimal)
Moderate Risk Picks Summary
Event Discussion
Related Links
Event Highlights
Light Heavyweight Main Event in Perth
Carlos Ulberg faces former title challenger Dominick Reyes in a pivotal light heavyweight main event. Ulberg brings high-volume kickboxing and sharp defense, while Reyes offers proven five‑round experience and power.
Deep Card With Rising Prospects
Feature bouts include Jimmy Crute vs Ivan Erslan and Tom Nolan vs Evan Elder, plus competitive women's matchups and powerful light heavyweight clashes.
Notable Storylines
Expect tactical adjustments from Reyes returning to form, Ulberg's step up in competition, and several live underdogs across the prelims with grappling upside.