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UFC Fight Night Noche UFC: Lopes vs Silva - Event Fights, Analytics & Predictions

UFC Fight Night Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva Poster - UFC Featherweight Analytics
Saturday, September 13, 2025
San Antonio, Texas, United States
Frost Bank Center
completed16 FightsNoche UFC
Main Card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Start Time: 10:00 PM ET / 9:00 PM CT
Start Time by Timezone
Times are estimated; Early Prelims ~2h, Prelims ~2h, Main Card ~2h. Subject to change.
CT (Local)
Central Mexico
Early
5:00 PM
Prelims
7:00 PM
Main
9:00 PM
ET
Eastern US/Canada
Early
6:00 PM
Prelims
8:00 PM
Main
10:00 PM
PT
Pacific US/Canada
Early
3:00 PM
Prelims
5:00 PM
Main
7:00 PM
BST
United Kingdom / Ireland
Early
11:00 PM
Prelims
1:00 AM
Main
3:00 AM
CET
Central Europe
Early
12:00 AM
Prelims
2:00 AM
Main
4:00 AM

Noche UFC San Antonio: Lopes vs Silva Predictions, Odds & Start Time

Full Fight Card Analytics & Breakdowns (Featherweight Headliner)

Advanced UFC Fight Night analysis for Lopes vs Silva featuring detailed fighter performance metrics, model probabilities vs market odds, expert UFC betting picks, how to watch and start time. Our MMA analytics platform delivers in‑depth technical breakdowns, statistical analysis and predictions for the featherweight main event and the full card.

We provide super‑detailed fight analyses using proprietary MMA data and AI‑powered models to maximize decision‑making value. Access fight‑by‑fight value betting analysis model probabilities vs market odds, best value bets, projected odds and actionable fight picks. Stay updated with UFC Fight Night news on fighters and camps, training and preparation notes, weigh‑ins, injuries and market movement — aligned to high‑intent keywords like predictions, odds, full fight card, value bets and model edges.

📊Analysis Reliability Framework

Our analytical model considers UFC experience as one of several factors for optimal predictions. While we can analyze any fight, fighters with 5+ UFC bouts provide more comprehensive data for our statistical modeling. This doesn't diminish the quality of our analysis for newer fighters - it's simply one criterion we factor into our confidence assessments.

🔴

High Risk (**)

<3 UFC Bouts

Limited UFC data available. Analysis relies more heavily on external sources and pre-UFC performance patterns.

🟡

Moderate Risk (*)

3-4 UFC Bouts

Meaningful UFC sample size with good analytical foundation. Reliable insights with solid confidence levels.

🟢

Optimal Data

5+ UFC Bouts

Comprehensive statistical foundation enabling highest confidence analysis and predictive accuracy.

Note: All fights receive thorough analysis regardless of UFC experience levels. This framework simply helps calibrate confidence in our predictions.

UFC Fight Night Noche UFC: Lopes vs Silva Fights, Analytics & Predictions

💡

We display the best available odds for each fighter to maximize value. Preference is given to BetOnline when available; otherwise, we select the highest‑value line and show the sportsbook and implied probability (I.P %).

🟢
Main Event
Diego Lopes
Performance of the NightFight of the Night
Featherweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO
R23:12
TKO via strikes
Jean SilvaFight of the Night

Jean Silva

"Lord of War"

16-3-0

🔴
Co-Main Event
Rob Font

Rob Font

22-9-0

Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
30-27, 29-28, 29-28
David Martinez

David Martinez

"Black Spartan"

13-1-0

🟢
Women's Strawweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
30-27, 30-27, 29-28
🟢
Jared Gordon

Jared Gordon

"Flash"

21-8-0

Lightweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO
R22:18
TKO via punches
🟢
Lightweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO
R14:11
KO via punches
🔴
Flyweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
30-27, 30-27, 29-28
🔴
Women's Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Split
R35:00
Split Decision
🟢
Claudio Puelles

Claudio Puelles

"The Prince"

12-5-0

Lightweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Split
R35:00
Split Decision
🔴
Middleweight
VS
Odds:
Submission
R22:10
Rear Naked Choke
Duško Todorović

Duško Todorović

"Thunder"

13-6-0

🟢
Middleweight
VS
Odds:
No Contest
R10:00
No Contest
🔴
Bantamweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO
R12:37
KO/TKO via strikes
Santiago Luna
Performance of the Night
🔴
Welterweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO
R23:05
KO/TKO via strikes
🔴
Alessandro Costa

Alessandro Costa

"Nono"

14-5-0

Flyweight
VS
Odds:
KO/TKO
R21:45
TKO via strikes
Alden Coria

Alden Coria

"Cobra"

12-3-0

🟢
Middleweight
VS
Odds:
Decision - Unanimous
R35:00
30-27, 30-27, 29-28
🟡
CANCELLED
Flyweight
CANCELLED
Odds:
🔴
CANCELLED
David Martinez

David Martinez

"Black Spartan"

12-1-0

Bantamweight
CANCELLED
Odds:
Carlos Vera

Carlos Vera

"Pequeño"

12-4-0

🟢
CANCELLED
Raquel Pennington

Raquel Pennington

"Rocky"

18-9-0

Women's Bantamweight
CANCELLED
Odds:
🟢
CANCELLED
Rob Font

Rob Font

22-8-0

Bantamweight
CANCELLED
Odds:

Model Probabilities vs Market Odds Summary

FightFighter AModel Prob AMarket Odds AImplied Prob AFighter BModel Prob BMarket Odds BImplied Prob BValue
Diego vs Jean🟢Diego Lopes40.0%Jean Silva60.0%No odds yet
Tatiana vs Amanda🟢Tatiana Suárez70.0%Amanda Lemos30.0%No odds yet
Jared vs Rafa🟢Jared Gordon64.0%Rafa García36.0%No odds yet
Alexander vs Diego🟢Alexander Hernandez61.0%Diego Ferreira39.0%No odds yet
Claudio vs Joaquim🟢Claudio Puelles38.0%Joaquim Silva62.0%No odds yet
Zach vs Sedriques🟢Zach Reese66.0%Sedriques Dumas34.0%No odds yet
Kelvin vs Dustin🟢Kelvin Gastelum65.0%Dustin Stoltzfus35.0%No odds yet
High Value
15%+ Edge
Medium Value
10-15% Edge
Low Value
5-10% Edge
No Value
Under 5% Edge

Accuracy of our Picks

Note: These metrics are reference-only. We use flat staking of 1.00 unit per pick regardless of model confidence or probability. Historical units reflect this constant stake size.

Overall Summary (Optimal + Moderate)

57%
Prediction Accuracy (Overall)
4
Correct Predictions (Overall)
7
Total Setup Fights
+0.50
Betting Units (Overall)
57%
Prediction Accuracy (Optimal)
4
Correct Predictions (Optimal)
7
Optimal Setup Fights
+0.50
Betting Units (Optimal)

Correct Predictions (Optimal)

Tatiana Suárez vs Amanda Lemos
Pick: Tatiana Suárez (-400) | +0.25u
Result: Decision - Unanimous
Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira
Pick: Alexander Hernandez (-110) | +0.91u
Result: KO/TKO
Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva
Pick: Joaquim Silva (-110) | +0.91u
Result: Decision - Split
Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus
Pick: Kelvin Gastelum (-230) | +0.43u
Result: Decision - Unanimous

Incorrect Predictions (Optimal)

Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva
Pick: Jean Silva | -1.00u
Result: KO/TKO
Jared Gordon vs Rafa García
Pick: Jared Gordon | -1.00u
Result: KO/TKO

Event Highlights

Event Preview

Featherweight Main Event in Texas

The main event showcases explosive Brazilian featherweights Diego Lopes and Jean "Lord of War" Silva at the Frost Bank Center. This high-octane bout features two dangerous finishers, with Lopes' well-rounded skill set meeting Silva's devastating striking power. Both fighters are looking to break into the top 15 featherweight rankings.

Noche UFC Celebration

This special Noche UFC event celebrates Mexican Independence Day with former flyweight champion Brandon Moreno headlining against elite contender Amir Albazi. The card features multiple Mexican fighters including Yazmin Jauregui, Alexa Grasso, and rising prospects, creating an electric atmosphere in San Antonio.

Notable Storylines

This Frost Bank Center card features compelling matchups across six weight classes, from flyweight to welterweight. Key storylines include Moreno's flyweight title chase, rising Mexican prospects like Raul Rosas Jr. and Daniel Zellhuber establishing themselves, and veteran Rose Namajunas making her flyweight debut. With passionate Mexican fans and elite Latin American talent, UFC Fight Night Noche UFC promises explosive finishes and emotional moments in celebration of Mexican Independence Day.

Event Analytics Overview

16
Total Fights
2
Main Card Fights
7
Divisions
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