Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker
UFC 320
Saturday, October 4, 2025
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Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Contender Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Veteran Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Veronica Hardy
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-16 | Eduarda Moura | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-05-11 | JJ Aldrich | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-12-02 | Jamey-Lyn Horth | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-03-18 | Juliana Miller | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2020-03-14 | Bea Malecki | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Brogan Walker
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-22 | Iasmin Lucindo | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-08-06 | Juliana Miller | L | TKO - Elbows (R3, 3:57) |
| 2021-08-27 | Emilee King | W | Submission - Armbar (R1, 4:28) |
| 2020-07-30 | Erin Blanchfield | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2019-10-04 | Pearl Gonzalez | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (75 vs 40) and Grappling Composite (65 vs 40). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Veronica Hardy Key Advantages
3.12 SLpM at 45% accuracy vs 2.04 at 31% — sustained output edge.
Ability to mix takedowns against Walker's 11% TDD opens control time.
Proven against UFC-caliber opposition with three wins in last four before 2024 loss.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
If she allows a slow-paced, outside fight, Walker's 3" reach can narrow scorecards.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Maintain higher pace, add takedown attempts to exploit TDD and bank control.
🚀 Brogan Walker Key Advantages
Can manage distance when jabbing and teeping effectively.
Tends to see the scorecards; tough to finish when fresh.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
11% takedown defense is exploitable; control time bleeds rounds.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Keep it long, avoid clinch and ground, out-point at range to chase decision.
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data-driven prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏆Championship Dynamics
Hardy's broader UFC exposure and statistical edges point to control in a three-round setting, while Walker's durability and reach favor long, lower-paced rounds.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Hardy leads SLpM (+53%), accuracy (+14 pts), and brings a live takedown threat (0.93/15) against Walker's 11% TDD. Walker's best route is distance striking at measured pace.
⚡Key Battle Areas
Range control early vs. level changes and clinch entries. If Hardy secures periodic takedowns, control minutes accumulate and rounds bank decisively.
🔮Victory Scenarios
Hardy: decision most often, with submission chances if top control stacks up. Walker: competitive decision when she keeps it long and minimizes clinch/ground phases.
🏁Final Prediction
Lean: Veronica Hardy by Decision. Statistical profile and styles suggest a clear decision edge with occasional late-round finish potential.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Detailed value assessment in the betting market
📊Market Odds
Market Props
🤖Analytical Model
Model Props
💎Value Opportunities
MAXIMUM VALUE
Model: 55% | Market: ~54.5%
GOOD VALUE
Model: 75% | Market: 75%
SPECULATIVE
Model: 7% | Long-shot flyer
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical fight simulation based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Veronica Hardy
Primary path via pace and control
Accumulation and late stoppage chances
Live if control time mounts
💥Outcome Distribution - Brogan Walker
Most plausible route
Low power profile
Occasional grappling scrambles only
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level and uncertainty factors
Confidence Level
High confidence with clear statistical edges
✅Supporting Factors
- • Significant output and accuracy advantage
- • Offensive takedown threat vs 11% TDD
- • Broader UFC experience and recent form
- • Diverse victory methods including submission threat
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Walker's reach and durability support close decisions
- • Pace variability if Hardy accepts low-output kickboxing
- • Three-round variance in judges' optics
🏁Executive Summary
We expect Veronica Hardy to steer a clean, mixed-phase fight — steady winning moments on the feet layered with well-timed takedowns — to a clear decision most often, with occasional attritional stoppage potential.
Pick: Veronica Hardy by Decision.