Farid Basharat vs Chris Gutierrez
UFC 320
Saturday, October 4, 2025
Explore Detailed Fighter Profiles
Click on either the fighter's name or profile image for each fighter to access comprehensive UFC statistics including striking metrics, grappling data, clinch performance, complete fight history, offensive & defensive analytics, and round-by-round breakdowns.
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Fighter Metrics
Victory Methods
Win Round Distribution
Last 5 Fights - Farid Basharat
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-26 | Victor Hugo | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-01-13 | Taylor Lapilus | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-09-02 | Kleydson Rodrigues | W | Submission - Arm Triangle (R1, 4:15) |
| 2023-03-04 | Da'Mon Blackshear | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2022-09-13 | Allan Begosso | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Last 5 Fights - Chris Gutierrez
| Date | Opponent | Result | Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | John Castaneda | W | Decision - Split (R3, 5:00) |
| 2024-08-10 | Quang Le | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-12-09 | Yadong Song | L | Decision - Unanimous (R5, 5:00) |
| 2023-10-14 | Heili Alateng | W | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
| 2023-04-15 | Pedro Munhoz | L | Decision - Unanimous (R3, 5:00) |
Technical Analysis
Technical Score
Cardio Score
Overall Rating
📊 Technical Score
Calculated as the average of Striking Composite (72 vs 78) and Grappling Composite (82 vs 52). Combines overall striking effectiveness with grappling ability to measure complete technical skills.
💪 Cardio Score
Based on average fight duration, striking rate per minute, takedown rate, and fight finish rate. Measures cardiovascular endurance and ability to maintain pace throughout fights.
🎯 Overall Rating
Simple average of Technical Score and Cardio Score. Provides a holistic view of fighter capabilities combining skill level with physical conditioning and fight performance.
Striking Composite
Grappling Composite
🥊 Striking Composite
Weighted combination of Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM), Striking Accuracy (StrAcc), Striking Defense (StrDef), and Strikes Absorbed per Minute. Measures overall striking effectiveness including offensive output, precision, and defensive ability.
🤼 Grappling Composite
Calculated from Takedowns per 15min (TD15), Takedown Accuracy (TDAcc), Takedown Defense (TDDef), and Submission Attempts per 15min (SubPer15). Evaluates complete grappling game including takedown ability, defensive wrestling, and submission threat.
Technical Radar Comparison
Metrics Legend
Detailed Statistical Comparison
🥊 Fight Analysis Breakdown
🏆 Farid Basharat Key Advantages
3.97 takedowns per 15min vs 0.33 — reliable entries to dictate location and bank control time.
71" reach supports safe jabs into level changes and clinch entries.
Proven finishing lane with arm‑triangle and back‑takes when rides accumulate.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Leg damage can blunt level‑changes and stance integrity.
At range, Gutierrez's 59% accuracy and 64% defense win minutes.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Use reach to enter clinch, chain to rides and mat returns.
Prioritize rides and wrist control over early submission dives.
🚀 Chris Gutierrez Key Advantages
High precision with 4.68 SLpM and 64% defense — wins range minutes.
Leg‑kick game disrupts stance and level‑change base.
Veteran composure in 3‑round range fights with strong minute‑winning profile.
⚠️ Unfavorable Scenarios
Repeated rides and mat returns drain clock and limit output.
Basharat's back‑take and arm‑triangle chains increase late‑round risk.
📋 Likely Gameplan
Slow entries; keep center; force resets and counters at range.
Stuff first layer, pivot off fence, resume volume striking lanes.
🎯 Fight Prediction Analysis
Data‑driven 3‑round prediction model based on statistical analysis
📊Detailed Analysis Summary
🏟️Range & Location
Basharat wins when the fight touches the fence and mat; Gutierrez wins when it stays in the center at kicking range.
🎯Technical Breakdown
Grappling differential (3.97 vs 0.33 TD/15) is the most stable round‑winning lever. Gutierrez carries striking quality (59% accuracy, 64% defense) that narrows margins if takedowns are denied.
🏁Final Prediction
Edge to Basharat over 3 rounds via control and attempts. Gutierrez's best path is a clean range‑striking decision or R2 KO flurry off calf‑kicks.
💰 Betting Analysis: Model vs Market
Comprehensive value assessment and betting opportunities
📊Market Odds
🤖Analytical Model
💎Value Opportunities
GOOD VALUE
Model: 38% | Market: N/A
FAIR VALUE
Model: 17% | Market: N/A
SLIGHT VALUE
Model: 30% | Market: N/A
🎯 Comprehensive Probabilistic Analysis
100 hypothetical 3‑round fight simulations based on statistical data
🏆Outcome Distribution - Farid Basharat
Primary path via control and rides
Arm‑triangle or back‑take chains
Ground‑and‑pound or opportunistic counter
💥Outcome Distribution - Chris Gutierrez
Clean counters off calf‑kick setups
Range control, volume, leg damage
Minimal historical submission threat
⏰Fight Timeline Analysis
⚡Window of Opportunity - Chris Gutierrez
- • First 10 minutes: best volume and counter equity
- • Calf‑kicks: disrupt stance, force square entries
- • Center resets: avoid fence clinch cycles
🎯Progressive Dominance - Farid Basharat
- • Round 3: control minutes via clinch and rides
- • Mat returns: prioritize wrist control to hold positions
- • Finish threat: back‑takes into arm‑triangle chains
🎯 Final Confidence Assessment
Confidence level and uncertainty factors
Confidence Level
Grappling/control gap tends to decide 3‑rounders.
✅Supporting Factors
- • +12x takedown volume differential
- • Effective top control and rides
- • Reach advantage enables safe entries
- • Submission equity vs low sub defense exposure
⚠️Risk Factors
- • Gutierrez calf‑kicks limiting stance/entries
- • Large‑cage space favors range striking
- • Basharat's UFC sample still developing
🏁Executive Summary
This Bantamweight matchup pits a grappling‑control stylist against a precision kicker. Over 3 rounds, control minutes are more repeatable than pure range striking, tilting the model 62–38 to Basharat.
Prediction: Basharat by Decision or late Submission; live danger from Gutierrez leg‑kick game and counters.